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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1983 Comprehensive PlanPLAN 2000 COMPREHENSIVE PLAN City of College Station, Texas CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING PROGRAM Development Suitability Population Study Housing Analysis Land Use Plans Commercial Development Industrial Development Cost/Benefit Analysis Major Thoroughfares Community Facilities Capital Improvements Future Development Special Concerns September 1983 Prepared By SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES Planning & Management Consultants Dallas, Texas and WAYNE W. SNYDER ASSOCIATES Planning & Development Management Consultants Fort Worth, Texas CUNTENTS SECTION PAGE INTRODUCTION 1 Comprehensive Planning 3 Inter -Relationships 4 Plan Updating 5 Goals and Objectives 6 Planning Design Units 12 Planning Districts 13 DEVELOPMENT 17 Development Suitability 19 Development Trends 19 Existing Features 20 Problems and Issues 26 Criteria and Matrix 27 Holding Capacity 29 POPULATION 35 Population Analysis 37 Current Population 37 Population Projections 39 Population Distribution 45 Population Density 46 HOUSING 51 Housing Analysis 53 Housing Supply 53 Housing Markets 55 Development Standards 62 Future Housing Needs 70 LAND USE 73 Land Use Plans 75 Existing Land Use 75 Land Use Demands 83 Plan Alternatives 86 COMMERCIAL 89 Commercial Development 91 Present Conditions 91 Future Commercial Market 100 INDUSTRIAL 103 Industrial Development 105 Natural Resources 105 Transportation 106 Labor 107 Industrial Development 110 Target Industries 117 Industrial Projections 119 CONTENTS SECTION PAGE COST/BENEFIT 123 Cost/Benefit Analysis 125 Fiscal Impact Models 125 Development Costs 127 Identification of Revenues 129 THOROUGHFARES 131 Thoroughfare Plan 133 Existing Streets 134 Thoroughfare Standards 134 Future Traffic 142 Thoroughfare Program 144 Development Policies 144 FACILITIES 147 Community Facilities 149 Public Buildings 149 Existing Public Buildings 150 Public Building Standards 151 Parks and Recreation 155 Existing Parks 155 Park Standards 158 Parks and Recreation Analysis 160 Parks and Open Space Plan 162 Facilities Program 164 Schools 165 Existing Schools 165 School Standards 166 Future Schools 168 IMPROVEMENTS 169 Capital Improvements 171 Financial Analysis 171 Revenues and Expenditures 173 Debt Structure 181 Improvements Program 182 Solid Waste Disposal 186 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT 195 Development Strategies 196 Land Use Controls 196 Development Policies 198 SPECIAL CONCERNS 205 Public Transportation 205 Bike System 205 Pedestrian System 206 Interstate Highway 207 Air Transportation 207 Railroad 208 Northgate 209 PLATES PLATE TITLE PAGE 1 PLANNING DISTRICTS 15 2 DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS 21 3 NATURAL FEATURES 23 4 MAN-MADE FEATURES 25 5 DEVELOPMENT SUITABILITY 33 6 PREVIOUS POPULATION PROJECTIONS 41 7 PROJECTED CITY AND UNIVERSITY GROWTH 45 8 POPULATION DISTRIBUTION 47 9 RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS 54 10 TOTAL HOUSING SUPPLY CHANGE 1971-1980 55 11 RESIDENTIAL SUITABILITY 63 12 MULTI -FAMILY SUITABILITY 67 13 EXITING LAND USE 77 14 PLAN ALTERNATIVES 85 15 COMMERCIAL SUITABILITY 101 16 INDUSTRIAL SUITABILITY 117 17 EXISTING THOROUGHFARES 139 18 FUTURE THOROUGHFARES 145 19 FACILITIES PLAN 153 20 INSTITUTIONAL/OPEN SPACE SUITABILITY 155 21 PARKS SITE PLAN 163 22 SCHOOLS SITE PLAN 167 23 WATER IMPROVEMENTS 189 24 SEWERAGE IMPROVEMENTS 191 25 FUTURE LAND USE PLAN Inside Back Cover Introduction COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING The development and utilization of a viable Comprehensive Plan is an essent- ial element in providing for the orderly growth and development of the City. The purposes of the planning studies are to quantify the existing nature of the community and to identify needs and opportunities for the future. The findings of these studies will serve as a basis for policy decisions and the formulation of strategies to effect desired change. The Comprehensive Plan can, therefore, contribute in the following ways: * Provide information about the present status and character of the community to identify needs and opportunities. * Set forth objectives for development of the City that will chart the character and quality of the community desired in the future. * Serve as a basis for policy decisions and as a test of the suitabil- ity of development proposals. * Put property interests on notice as to the intent of the City to take action on various locations and in regard to specific projects. * Recommend programs designed specifically to alleviate existing prob- lems and to avoid the occurance of potential problems in the future. * Provide coordinated activities in consonance with other public agen- cies in the area. * Stimulate understanding and support among the local citizens in order to bring forth the necessary fiscal and legal implementation devices. A Comprehensive Plan should not, however, be something that is made once and then followed in total to its ultimate completion. The Plan should be viewed as a guide to future growth and development which must be revised as the information, direction, and decisions on which the Plans are based may change. In order to accommodate change in a growing community, comprehensive planning should be viewed as a continuing process. In this way, comprehensive planning becomes a management process which provides for continuing input, analysis, alternatives, decisions, and implementation of the Plan. The comprehensive planning process, therefore, proceeds through a series of steps, any one of which may provide feedback to previous activities to continually update the process. The steps in this process may be briefly described as: * Issues Identification - Identification of needs and opportunities, input of community desires, establishment of goals and objectives. * Research and Analysis - Collection of data on past development, examination of present status, analysis of problems and resources. * Projections - Projections of the future growth of the community, directions of development, estimations of needs for facilities to serve future growth. 3 * Alternatives - Formulation of alternative plans, discussion and eval- uation of alternative impacts, decision-making on future growth and development. * Plan Development - Uetailea study, refinement, and coordination of plan elements, establishment of policies, formulation of programs and priorities. * Implementation - Administrative procedures for accomplishing programs, relationships to municipal functions, project initiation, monitoring, and feedback on project accomplishment. The comprehensive planning process does not end at this point. As projects are accomplished or as community needs change, new alternatives should be considered which may be re-entered into this process. It is felt that this procedure will assist the City in assessing its present situation and potent- ials for future growth, avoid problems and benefit from mistakes made in other areas, and establish a process which may be utilized in the continued planning for growth and development in the City. The elements of the community which are examined in a comprehensive plan are varied and encompass the physical, social, economic, and administrative factors of community life. The attention given each individual element may differ as the individual needs of the community differ. The elements to be considered herein are Development Suitability, Population, Housing, Land Use, Commercial/Industrial Development, Cost/Benefit, Thoroughfares, Community Facilites, Capital Improvements, Future Development, and Special Concerns. INTER -RELATIONSHIPS The comprehensive plan should encompass all of the physical, social, economic, financial, and administrative elements of community life. Physical elements include the environment, location of various land uses, thoroughfares, community facilities, and utilities. Examples of social elements are population, family income levels, housing programs, education and recreation, health, nd historic and cultural features. Economic/financial components would include such elements as employment, tax base, budgeting, and bonding programs. Administrative elements include management and organization, municipal powers, boards and commissions, and development controls. All of these elements are inter -related, and will affect each other in the implementation of the Comprehensive Plan. The implementation of programs in one area may, therefore, be used to achieve goals in another area. The following discussion presents some examples of these inter -relationships. The achievement of a balanced mix of housing types (social program) may be accomplished through application of zoning and subdivision ordinances (ad- ministrative program). The development of designated housing areas may be accomplished through the provision or withholding of streets, utilities, parks, and other facilities ( physical program). The timing of these improv- ements may be determined through capital budgeting and bonding programs (fin- ancial program). n u The expansion of the tax base (financial) might be accomplished through the designation and zoning of industrial areas (administrative), the development of utilities and access (physical), and the assurance of a trained labor force to attract industry (social). New industry, on the other hand, would provide new fobs (economic) and provide new income sources (social). These new incomes could produce additional sales tax revenues (financial), enabling the City to expand its staff and services to its citizens (administrative) and provide new public buildings (physical). The provision of additional parks and open space (physical) might be accom- plished through subdivision controls and flood plain zoning (administrative) and their development through capital budgeting or grant programs (financial). These new parks could provide improved recreational programs and aesthetics (social), preserve environmentally sensitive areas (physical), and attract new residents (social). Coordination between the City and School District (administrative) could provide for more efficient and timely development of educational facilities (social). The continued expansion and improvement of educational programs could attract new residents and an expanded labor force (social), providing additional attraction to industry (economic), which would expand the tax base (financial) of both the City and School District. The zoning of commercial areas (administrative) would designate the location of particular land uses (physical). Development of shopping centers might be encouraged through street improvements (physical) within a capital improve- ments program ( financial). This development could provide for a new source of tax base and sales tax revenue (financial) while providing needed local shopping facilities near to the residents of the City (social). Many other examples of such inter -relationships will appear in the future development of the City. It is, therefore, recommended that these inter- relationships be examined in each program that is proposed for implementation to insure that goals will also be achieved in other areas. PLAN UPDATING The comprehensive plan should be based on the goals of the community and should be used as a guide toward the achievement of these goals in future development. The comprehensive plan should be used and referred to in guid- ing this growth but must be flexible enough to accomodate changes which may occur in goals or development trends in the future. This can be accomplish- ed only through continued monitoring and updating of the plan. The Plan can be used by the City Council, Planning and Zoning Commission, and citizens groups to evaluate proposals for development assuring that such proposals will serve to attain community goals. Programs to meet the needs of the existing citizens may also be developed from the Plan. An example might be park development in the near future. Such use of the Plan will not only serve to monitor implementation but may also identify needs for change in the direction or components of the Plan. A formal review of the Plan should be made annually as a part of the City's budgeting process. A report should be made of the progress toward implemen- 5 tation of the plan, and anticipated progress under the new budget year. Progress may be measured in terms of number and value of building permits, active utility meters, subdivisions and lots platted, land zoned and developed, open space reserved, and public facilities provided. These actual measures could be compared to Plan projections to determine progress and possible needs for change. Zoning, subdivision, and land use mapping should be kept current to provide a graphic representation of implementation for comparison with the Plan. At the time bonding programs are being considered, a review of the Plan should also be made. An evaluation should be made of how proposed improve- ments would serve to implement the Plan and accomplish community goals. A priority ranking could be given to those improvements best serving these ends and a determination made of projects to be included in the bond program. A complete updating of the Plan should be made at least every five years, or sooner depending on the rate of actual growth in the City. All elements of the Plan should be re-examined and revised as needed. Progress toward the implementation of the Plan should be analyzed, variances noted, and changes in community goals and directions considered in providing revisions to the future Comprehensive Plan. GOALS & OBJECTIVES Goals and objectives represent the foundation of the Comprehensive Plan. The definition of goals and objectives gives meaning and direction to the Plan by focusing all activity and planning upon only those desirable directions chosen by the citizens of the community. Attention to detail and a set of firm convictions regarding the nature of the Plan in this step will result in tremendous dividends as the Plan is developed and as the related development process is instituted. No city, regardless of its size or character, can be expected to be function- al without some direction or course of action. browing and developing cities must have guidance, without which no reasonable purpose can be served. Stability also can be a goal, but status quo techniques are focused upon those factors that produce only survival. Community development, on the other hand, requires that progress and direction become inseparable with day- to-day operations. Goals and objectives are aeoicated to achieving progress and overcoming factors that limit capability. Often the distinction between a "goal" and an "objective" is difficult, and gust as often they are used interchangeably. For the purpose of the Comprehensive Plan, a definite distinctionis should be made. Goals and objectives, as used herein, are related in the following manner: Goal: A goal is a long-range statement of ultimate intent of the City, defining a desirable position or achievement to be sought through implementation of the Plan. Objective: Objectives are those intermediate or short-range achievements or steps necessary in order to achieve the overall goal. [.1 Relationship: The sum total of objective (short-term) achievements will result in the systematic achievement of the goals (long-term). This relationship is of primary consideration in developing goals and objectives for the City. f Often the goal statement represents a desirable position or attainment for a long-range period, such as 20 years. The objective statements represent what must be done in the interim to achieve the goal in 20 years, by 5 -year increments, or budget periods. The purpose of applying goals and objectives in Comprehensive Planning is to focus the capability and potential of the City upon those desirable outcomes or directions which are consistent with the City's overall function or activity. They will serve to guide the overall activity ana efforts as associated with implementation of the Plan toward common achievement levels and to unify their activities for singular, goal -oriented purposes. All planning activity should be related to achieving the defined goals and objectives. Goals and objectives are often used as benchmarks of Comprehensive Planning, and the progression of implementation through the defined goals and objectives indicates that sound progress is being accomplished and a direction has been achieved. The achievement of initial goals and objectives provides an opportunity to redefine additional statements that further the role of the Plan. The process of defining and achieving goals and objectives should be an unending process providing the City with an opportunity for self-determination of the growth and direction of the City proceeding in an orderly manner. Goals and objectives are used to continually focus attention and resources on identifiable problems and opportunities. Solving City problems will not ensure progress. Opportunities must also be sought. Adequate definition of goals and objectives should naturally point out problem solutions sought as well as those opportunities available, simultaneously improving operations and production. The definition of a set of long-range goals and short-term objectives must necessarily be highly flexible in order to be responsive to changes in the City's environment, the local or overall economy, or even political situation. These and other unforseen factors will continually confront any city, requiring differing responses and adjustments. The goals and objectives will necessarily have to be evaluated for their relevance and, if necessary, redefined. This is a normal process, and attention to changing circumstances within which the City operates will permit timely adjustments. Because goals and objectives are to provide the basis for policy statement by the City, their formulation is worthy of considerable thought and evaluation. Widespread participation should be sought in the formulation of goals and objectives in order that these statements reflect as broadly as possible the views of the community. The preliminary goals and objectives given herein have been developed as a result of numerous meetings of the Planning and Zoning Commission and with considerable input from citizen group meetings and City Staff. 7 City Size Goal: Regulate growth to maintain the character of College Station. Objectives: * Regulate the rate, areas, and type of growth through land use control and utility availability. * Integrate growth into the community in a homogeneous manner. Economic Development Goal: Provide a sound economic base through diversification of development. Objectives: * Encourage industrial development compatible with the environment. * Encourage commercial development to adequately serve the needs of the citizenry. * Encourage residential development to insure freedom of choice of lifestyle. * Encourage the development of recreational and entertainment facilities to satisfy the needs of the citizenry and visitors. Land Use Goal: Provide adequate, but not excessive, amounts of land for all necessary types of land use arranged in an efficient, convenient, harmonious, and ecologically sound manner. Objectives: * Protect the integrity of single-family residential areas. * Encourage the use of vacant land within the city limits. * Avoid strip commercial development and encourage centralized commercial development. * Consider energy conservation in the land use decision- making process. * Encourage, through zoning and capital improvements, controlled locations of industrial development. Housing Goal: Insure an adequate supply of safe, decent, and convenient housing with a wide variety of housing types and price ranges for all income levels. 581 Objectives: * Utilize the Housing Code, other controls, and the Health Department to encourage and insure proper maintenance to avoid deteriorating neighborhoods; encourage expansion of the staff to accomplish this task. * Encourage durable and high quality construction through continuous review and effective enforcement of the building codes. * Eliminate dilapidated structures and encourage the upgrading of deteriorating neighborhoods. * Encourage the development of diversified housing types utilizing modern technology and materials to lower housing costs in certain types of selected housing for low/fixed income consumption. * Discourage the use of single-family dwelling units for multi -student housing. v Transportation Goal: Provide for the balanced development of all modes of transportation to assure the fast, convenient, efficient, and safe movement of people and goods to, from, and within the community. Objectives: * uevelop an organized preventive maintenance program for streets to insure safety and a long, economical life for streets. * Provide for the development and redevelopment of major arterial routes as necessary to prevent traffic congestion. * Develop adequate, safe systems for pedestrian and bicycle movement. * Develop a mass transit system to serve the area's needs. * Cooperate with other local entities in the effort to relocate the railroad. * Upgrade air transportation. Utilities Goal: Provide an economic, efficient, dependable system of utility services to adequately support development and to insure public health, safety, and welfare. Objectives: * Encourage improvement and expension of television cable service. M * Work to improve the present quality of telephone service. * Develop solutions to abate flooding and drainage problems in the City. * Develop policies and methods of City operation which conserve energy and natural resources to the maximum extent possible. * Prepare for anticipated, planned growth by insuring adequate reserve utility services. Environment coal: Control development and regulate activities as necessary to provide a beautiful, safe, amenable environment for all citizens. Objectives: * Develop sign controls to eliminate clutter and to insure compatibility with the urban environment. * Develop a program of improved appearance of public properties to provide an example and leadership for community -wide appearance. * Develop necessary controls to promote good design of site development and the improvement of appearance through landscaping. * Develop strong controls to prevent air, water, and noise pollution. * Enforce the sign control ordinance and bring existing signs into compliance with the ordinance. * Discourage unsightly "strip development" that is also wasteful of energy. * Eliminate unsightly conditions such as gunk yards, abandoned vehicles, dilapidated buildings, and excessive weeds and rubbish. * Develop community -wide pride in laity appearance. Citizen Participation Goal: Involve and inform the citizens of the community to promote an awareness of the needs and plans of the City and to encourage maximum citizen participation in good City government. Objectives: * Make frequent use of citizens' advisory committees to assist in decision-making on matters such as comprehensive plan development and amendment, and 10 capital improvement planning. * Encourage attendance and participation at public meetings. Public Protection Goal: Provide for the safety, welfare, and civil rights of all citizens and for the protection of their property. Objective: * In anticipation of growth, plan for expansion of police and fire department personnel, facilities, and - equipment. Parks and Recreation Goal: Develop facilities and programs to satisfy the recreational needs of all citizens of the community. Objective: * Develop and implement a comprehensive parks and recreation plan. Education Goal. Provide each citizen the opportunity to fully develop his or her individual capabilities and potential. Objective: * Cooperate with and support the college Station Independent School District and Texas A&M University. City Administration Goal: Provide a sound, qualified administrative program capable of managing the City's business in an efficient, well -organized manner. Objectives: * Expand the City staff as requirea to at least maintain the present level of service. * Encourage the fair but firm and consistent use of necessary controls; continuously improve and update these controls as necessary. * Encourage strong intergovernmental cooperation programs and projects which are coordinated for mutual benefit. Health Goal: Develop and maintain access to excellent health care facilities for all citizens. Objectives: * Encourage the uevelopment of health care facilities in the City. * Cooperate in regional health care planning and development. 11 Cultural Goal: Objectives. Special Problems Goal: Objective: Provide for a wide range of cultural opportunities available to all income levels. * Encourage the development of cultural programs available to all income levels. * Investigate the need for additional library facilities in the City. Identify and study special problems, formulate solutions and implement plans of action to eliminate these problems. * North Gate Commercial area: Problems of Zoning Ordinance compliance, congestion, parking, safety. PLANNING DESIGN UNITS In order for the City to function properly, the various components and groupings of land uses should be arranged in relation to one another to provide for optimum development and desirability with minimum detrimental or deprediating effect on other areas. The most desirable city is one within which the needs of the individual and family are fully satisfied, and within which business and industry can grow and prosper. In such a city, the various components are developed in sensible and orderly groupings, arranged so that each has its own environment, adequate room for growth, protection from incompatible uses, and forms an efficient overall pattern. A complete and efficient city can be planned and developed through the proper arrangement of the following basic planning units: Neighborhoods: The Neighborhood is the basic planning unit of the city. Properly —planned, the Neighborhood is relatively self-sufficient, providing for the basic needs of everyday family life. The Neighborhood is a predominantly residential area approximately one mile square which is bound, but not bisected, by major streets or thoroughfares. Such an arrangement encourages traffic not destined for the Neighborhood to pass around rather than through the area. Collector streets, which should be discontinuous through the Neighborhood to prevent their being used as shortcuts through the area, pick up traffic from local residential streets and carry it to major thoroughfares which distribute the traffic through the city. Local streets should be relatively short and discontinuous to insure quiet and privancy and to prevent speeding. The population of the Neighborhood should range from 4,000 to 6,000 persons depending on the exact size of the area and the density of development. This population will require an elementary school and neighborhood park. These facilities should oe developed adjacent to one another at the center of the Neighborhood and at the intersection of collector streets. In addition, to be most protected from traffic hazards this location will place all 12 residents within about one-half mile walking distance of the school and park. Local shopping centers to provide for the everyday needs of the residents should be located at high -access points on the perimenter of the Neighborhood. In addition to providing access, perimeter locations keep commercial traffic out of the living areas. Development of apartments, duplexes, or churches adjacent to shopping centers can aid in buffering commercial uses from residential areas. Community: Efficient provision for the less frequent needs and services of individuals and families requires a larger service area; and, therefore, a larger planning unit. The community consists of three or four Neighborhoods with a population adequate to support a Junior High School. This facility should be developed at the center of the Community accessible by one or more major streets. A larger community park should be located adjacent to or near the middle school. Expanded shopping facilities should be provided at high -access points on the perimeter of the Community. Generally, the Community will also provide an adequate service area for a branch library, community center, and fire station. City: The City consists of two or more Community units. The population is sufTicient to support a Senior High School (and in some cases, a junior college), a central park, a central business district, and a civic center. The facilities should be grouped to be convenient and easily accessible to all residents of the City. Other components of the City, such as industrial parks, airports, health facilities, or universities should be located to be readily accessible but to prevent their conflict with or encroachment on residential areas. PLANNING DISTRICTS There are approximately 14,192 acres of land, or about 22.17 square miles, within the present City limits of the City of College Stataion excluding the University property. The City limits have been expanded as the City has grown. In 1973, when the City had a population estimated at 23,752, there were only 10,687 acres, or 16.79 square miles, within the City limits. Because the City limits change periodically, it does not serve as a realistic boundary for future planning purposes. In most cases, the limits of the City's extra -territorial jurisdiction (ETJ), as defined by the Municipal Annexation Act, is used as the future Planning Area. This is generally the area that the City is expected to grow into in the future. The ETJ of the City of College Station extends for two miles from all points from the present City limits. The ETJ covers about 35.87 square miles outside the City limits, making a total of 58.04 square miles within the entire Planning Area. 13 In order to more closely examine the past, present, and future development of the City of College Station, the Planning Area has been divided into 12 study areas, or Planning Districts. The Planning Districts, as shown on Plate 1, generally conform to the Planning Design Units previously discussed. Planning Districts 1 through 9 are located within the present City limits, while Planning Districts 10 through 12 cover the ETJ outside the City limits. Planning District 1: Largely residential, this area provides much of the student housing Texas A&M University. Bisected by College Avenue, it contains the Hensel and North Gate areas. The District has a population of 3,274 and contains 312.82 acres of land, or about 0.49 square miles. It is bound on the north by the City limits, on the south by University Drive, on the west by Wellborn Road, and on the east by Texas Avenue. Planning District 2: This District, east of Texas Avenue, contains the older area known as College Heights and College Hills Woodlands. It contains 617.77 acres, or U.97 square miles. Bound on the north uy the City limits, on the east by the City limits and a line becoming Westover Street, on the south by Lincoln and Dominik, and on the west by Williams Street and Texas Avenue, the District has a population of 1,396 persons. Planning District 3: Partially surrounding Planning District 2, this District contains 657.58 acres of land, or 1.03 square miles, and has a population of 6,724. It is largely residential containing the greater part of College Hills Estates. The area is bound on the north by Planning District 2 and the City limits, on the east by the Last Bypass, on the south by Highway 30, and on the west by Texas Avenue. Planning District 4: Bound on the west by the East Bypass, and on the north, east, and south y the city limits, this District has a population of only 356 people. The area, known as Windwood/Raintree, contains 3,023 acres of land, or 4.72 square miles. Planning District 5: Known as the Golden Triangle, District 5 is bound by Highway 30 on the north, East Bypass on the East and south, and Texas Avenue on the west. The area has a population of 1,109, and contains 1,318.30 acres of land, or 2.06 square miles. Planning District 6: This area, known as Southgate, contains 1,348.69 acres, 2.11 square miles, and has a population of 4,151. It is bound on the north by Jersey Street. The east and south boundaries stairstep from Texas Avenue, zagging back to Anderson, extending west on Holleman Drive, south on Welsh, west on Southwest Parkway, and south on Wellborn Road to the city limits. The western boundary is F.M. 2818 and the city limits. Planning District 7: Bound on the west and north by Planning District 6, on the east by Texas Avenue and on the south Dy F.M. 2818, this District is called South Knoll. It has a population of 8,442, and contains 1,004.37 acres of land, or 1.57 square miles. It is the largest residential area in the City containing both single-family residences and apartments in great number. Planning District 8: The Southwood Valley Area has a population of 3,345 persons. This area, containing 1,067.27 acres, or 1.67 square miles, is 14 15 1 PH 11 INS SON 15 bound on the north by F.M. 2818, on the east by Texas Avenue, on the west by Wellborn Road and the City limits, and on the south by the city limits. Planning District 9: This District is the property of Texas A&M University. It covers a total area of 4,841.64 acres, or 7.57 square miles. Easterwood Airport is located in this area, which is generally bound by the City limits and University Drive on the north, Texas Avenue on the east, the City limits and Jersey Street on the south, and the City limits on the west. Planning District 10: This District is west and south of the City surrounding Easterwood Airport on three sides. It extends from a line running north of and approximately parallel to F.M. 60 to F.M. 2154 south of the City. The area contains 11,094.71 acres of land, or 17.34 square miles, and has a population of 1,296. Planning District 11: This south side planning area contains 2,754.81 acres of land, 4.30 square miles, and has a population of 264. The area is bound by F.M. 2154 on the west dna East Bypass on the east. Planning District 12: The East Side Planning District is actually southeast of the City extending from the city limits on the north, south down F.M. 158, and south and west to East Bypass. It has a population of 543, and contains 9,107.40 acres of land, or 14.23 square miles. 16 Development 17 IN DEVELOPMENT SUITABILITY The future development of the City of College Station will have a significant impact on the community as it exists today. By the year 2000, it is expected that the City will essentially double in population, necessarily resulting in new development within the City and further expansion into presently undeveloped areas. Adequately preparing for such growth demands consideration of a complex of factors influencing and resulting from development. These include physical, social, economic, and aesthetic factors which must be considered. Examples of such considerations include air ana water pollution, traffic congestion, noise pollution, utility capacities, flooding hazards, erosion control, conservation of vegetation and wildlife, protection of sensitive areas, population density, provision of public facilities, land use conflicts, blighting conditions, prevention of suburban sprawl, and many others. A definite relationship exists between these factors, each influencing or impacting the others. The interaction of these considerations compounds a simple problem of growth over time. In order to minimize possible adverse impacts of future development of the City, an analysis was first made of the existing natural and man-made features of the area. The capabilities of various areas to support future development were thus established, and potentially sensitive areas requiring special treatment were identified. The alternative plans for future development were then formulated taking these factors into consideration. Tnis development suitability analysis is intended as a guide to the effective and efficient use of both natural resources and man-made facilities. Care can be taken in locating developments to insure that areas undesirable for development due to steep slopes, poor soil conditions, flood hazard, or other restrictions are left undisturbed. High intensity uses can be located where they will not overload utilities, increase traffic congestion, cause pollution, or create other conflicts. Environmentally sensitive areas can be preserved as natural open space. The primary purpose of the development suitability analysis is to identify and analyze the consequences of possible development actions, thus alerting the public and decision -makers to the potential impacts involved in particular areas. As a result, it is intended that this analysis will build into the local community and its decision -makers a continuing consciousness of these considerations in proposals for future development. DEVELOPMENT TRENDS For decades, the City of Bryan was the primary population and commercial center for the area, with College Station existing primarily to serve the direct residential needs of the University. The history of growth in the area has shown Bryan and College Station both increasing about proportionally, with Bryan always remaining the much larger city. In recent years, due to the growth of the University and increased oil production activity, a substantial change in growth has taken place. Since 1970, the City of College Station has more than doubled its population by over 20,000 people while Bryan has increased by only about 12,000. This impact has brought on many other changes as activity has moved into the newer community. 19 The development of College Station has always been directly tied to the University. The Northgate area, the first area to develop off -campus, is still noticeably oriented to the University. Off -campus development originated to provide housing and services to University employees while virtually all students lived on -campus. When the City was incorporated, it had less than 2,000 residents not including students. The origional City Hall building is located in the Northgate area. During the war military housing was constructed north of the campus further promoting higher intensity development in this direction. Single-family areas, occupied primarily by University professors and other staff, began to develop in the College Park area to the south and in College Hills to the east. During the 1950's and early 1960's, single-family growth continued both to the east and south. Apartment development began during the late 19u0's brought on by growth of the University due to elimination of the mandatory participation in the Corps of Cadets and its historic all-male status. During this time, residential development continued to the south encouraged partly by the construction of Southwest Parkway and the South Loop. The opening of the East Loop during the 1970's has prompted new residential and commercial development in the eastern part of the City. These patterns of development are shown on the Development Patterns Map, Plate 2. The provision of utilities has perhaps influenced development trends as much as access. As orainage within the City is primarily eastward, it has been relatively easy to provide sewerage service, both eastward and to open new areas progressively southward. Since the source of water supply has always been from the north, it has always been ralatively easy to provide water service to the lower elevations eastward and southward. In the future, four primary factors will tend to direct the general path of development. Growth northward is, of course, blocked by the City of Bryan. Carters Creek presents a major flood plain area to the east, creating an obstacleto access as well as provision of utilities. Westward, a major drainage divide runs approximtely along Wellborn Road making provision of sewer service to this area difficult. State Highway 6 is the primary access route running north -south through the area. All of these factors point to a continuing growth trend toward the south. In addition, recent plans by the City, the Industrial Development Foundation, and a private developer, will locate a mayor research, residential, and recreation area south of the City. This development will also act as a magnet, attracting growth to the south. EXISTING FEATURES The City of College Station is located in Brazos County on State Highway 6 south of and adjacent to the county seat at Bryan and 90 miles northwest of downtown Houston. The area is located on the western fringe of the forested Gulf Coastal Plain. About 14 percent of the land in the Planning Area is cropland and 48 percent pasture. The remainder is wooded or devoted to urban uses. 20 DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 21 g1 U II I P, � X NORTH aAARIa L. wrEE Aswcurea o.nu T•... M�g VSATNE SI SNTOER ASSOCIATES Um T The climate of the area is warm temperate, sub-tropical, and humid. Summers are long and warm, and winters are short and mild. The average length of the growing season is 260 days, but this period varies considerably from year to year. The last frost in the spring usually occurs on March 7, and the first frost in the fall comes on November 22. In about one year in five, however, there is a late spring frost or earlier fall frost. The mean average temperature is 68.3 degrees, and ranges from a mean high in August of 84.2 degrees to a mean low in January of 51 degrees. Average annual rainfall is 38.94 inches. The wettest month is May with 4.44 inches and the driest month is August with 2.39 inches. Average annual relative humidity is about 70 percent, and there is little variation from month to month. The prevailing wind is southeaterly. The county receives about 65 percent of the total possible sunshine annually. The cloudiest months are Decembver, January, and February which have about 50 percent of the possible sunshine. The topography of the College Station area is flat to rolling, with slopes normally ranging from zero to five percent. Slightly steeper slopes are found along the many creeks which run through the area. elevations in the area range from 350 feet above sea level on the tops of the hills in the northern portion to less than 250 feet along the Brazos River and streams in the area. The major water courses in the area are the Brazos River, which is a portion of the western boundary of the County. Tributaries of the Brazos River in the area include Hopes Creek and White Creek, which form a portion of the western City limits. Another major stream in the area is Carters Creek, located along the eastern boundary of the City. Tributaries of Carters Creek in the area include Burton Creek, wolf Pen Creek, Bee Creek, Lick Creek, Spring Creek, Alum Creek and Brushy Creek. There are flood plains delineated along all of these streams. Drainage in the area is divided along a high ridge running from northwest to southeast and generally defined by the tracks of the Southern Pacific Railroad. Natural drainage west of this line flows to the Brazos River while drainage east of the ridge drains into Carters Creek and the Navasota River, which in turn, flows into the Brazos River at the southern tip of the County. There are four mayor soil associations found in the College Station area. The Lufkin-Tabor Association covers the northern two-thirds of the Planning Area. The soils are heavy, very compact clays with very low ntural fertility. The Lufkin-Edge Association is found south and east of the City. This Association consists of nearly level and gently sloping grayish, droughty claypan that is also low in fertility. The Lakeland-Derby Association is found along the Brazos River west of the City. These are mostly deep sands and not susceptible to erosion and have good drainage. The Gowen-OchIockonee Association is located within the flood plains of local streams and has moderately good drainage characteristics. 22 L E G E N I Flood Plains Drainage Divides View Points Steep Slopes Creeks OWN\\ Z_ Z 11s, B00 J CII IF if 2 _j to WELLBORN PLATE 3 a. oo NATURAL NORTH SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES FEATURES PI..:,nq & m ... o—t C .... Itw. ( �J�J D.11 T.... PLAN 2000 WAYNE W. SNYDER ASSOCIATES CITY OF COLLEGE STATION ;I ... In. .— - ...—nt m ....... ,, TEXAS .0 W-th T.... i NATURAL FEATURES S PLAN CITY OF COLLEGE S MAN - MADE FEATURES PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 25 Y _ L L E G E N O 5� r / Developed Area O 1 1 Utmay Eervlee Area l Holes Zone Easements — — PLATE 4 R ' $ rNORTH= SAMUEL I. W YSE ASSOCIATES Fb�.... Mnr.w� GMYI1Yr�. WATNE W SNIDER ASSOCIATES Fort r • T.... PROBLEMS AND ISSUES The most important factor concerning the effects of the environment is the amount of population increase and resulting development that will occur. Care must be taken to protect environmentally sensitive areas, and development must be controlled and directed to provide for the efficient use of the existing utilities system. Coordination of all aspects of development will be necessary for the quality of life the citizens of College Station desire. The College Station area is heavily wooded in oak trees, which have long contributed to the beauty of the area. Increased development will strip many of these tall trees from the landscape. Beside affecting the aesthetics of the area, reduction of the wooded areas will increase runoff and erosion hazard and eliminate wildlife areas. There are flood plains located along mayor creeks as well as extensive flood plains along Carters Creek and the Brazos River. There have been residential developments within these flood plains in recent years. The hazards of such development were pointed out by a recent flood within a major residential subdivision along Carters Creek north of College Station in Bryan. Oil field development in the College Station area presents particular problems to development. In addition to possible fire or explosive hazard from wells and pipelines, these areas present the potential for stream and ground water pollution from both petroleum and salt water. Increased development will also bring increased vehicular traffic. Many residents of the College Station area presently commute to work at Texas A&M University. During peak hours, tnere is capacity -level traffic on Texas Avenue (State Highway 6) through College Station. Traffic is further expanded during special events at Texas A&M University which compounds the problem. Most industrial development in the area is located in the eastern part of the City along State Highway 6, the East Loop. While these are for the most part clean industries, urban expansion in this area nas brought about conflicts due to the incompatibility of industrial and residential uses. Such conflicts might include noise, air and stream pollution and increased truck traffic. Future plans call for the development of an extensive industrial park south of the City. This development should help alleviate some conflicts between industrial and residential uses. Development in College Station has maintained a fairly compact pattern with minimal sprawl and little vacant land within the interior of the City. This has been due largely to the association of the populace with the University, and has been perpetuated through the recent trend toward higher density residential development. The increased demand for multi -family dwellings, again oriented to the University, coupled with increased financial difficulty for consumers to purchase single-family homes, has maintained the compact character of the City. It may be possible, however, that the proposed industrial park development could radically change this pattern, serving as an attraction for development to tend southward along State Highway 6. 26 The increased development of multi -family housing types also present some cause for concern. Increased densities of population can cause overloading of public facilities which may have been designed only for lesser population densities. Examples of such problems could be overloaded sewer lines, lowered water pressures, traffic congestion, overuse of recreational facilities, and overcrowding of schools. Major drainage areas also present problems to development. The ridge dividing the Carters Creek and Brazos River drainage areas runs generally along the Southern Pacific Railroad. All sewage collection and treatment facilities are presently located within the Carters Creek area. In order for any significant development to take place west of the railroad or Wellborn Road, another sewage treatment plant would have to be constructed along Hopes Creek or a lift station installed to pump sewage back to the Carters Creek plant. Carters Creek itself presents a problem to development in the eastern part of the City. The extensive flood plain tends to isolate the Harvey Area and presents a major physical obstacle which must be bridged to provide adequate access to this area. while sewage service can be readily provided, water distribution is generally oriented to the western and southern parts of the City. Any major develpment east of Carters Creek could require additional water storage, distribution, and pumping facilities. CRITERIA AND MATRIX In order to make a quantitative analysis of the existing environmental features of the area, a system of environmental criteria was developed. This criteria was based on both natural and man-made features of the area. Ten elements of the environment were chosen for this analysis. For the purposes of this analysis, the assumption was made that any particular piece of land might be developed for single-family residential use. A numerical value ranging from one to four was then assigned to the particular characteristics of each environmental element as it might affect residential development. Under these values, the highest numbers have the greatest adverse effect on residential development. Any given piece of land could, therefore, nave a total value ranging from 10 to 40. These criteria and the numerical value assigned are detailed in Table 2. To facilitate the analysis of the 60 square miles of the College Station Planning Area, a matrix was developed which divided the Planning Area into squares 1,000 feet on the side, each containing about 25 acres of land. There are a total of'1,809 of these areas in the matrix. A statistical analysis was made of the distribution of total values for these areas. The results of this statistical analysis are shown on Table 3. Those areas having a value concentrated in the middle or average range constituted 46 percent of the areas and would be considered as normal areas for residential development. Conversely, areas with higher numerical values would have a lower potential. 27 It should be noted, however, that although an area may have a very low potential for residential development, this evaluation may not preclude development altogether. Factors which may be adverse to residential development may be most advantageous to industrial development, for example. At the same time, extensive flood plains may entirely preclude development of any kind. In order to determine the suitability for other types of development, the environmental criteria were reweighted to conform to the needs and characteristics of multi -family, commercial, industrial, institutional, and open -space land. The results of these analyses are also shown on Table 4. TABLE 2 City of College Station, Texas ENVIRONMENTAL CRITERIA NATURAL ELEMENTS MAN-MADE ELEMENTS Soils & Geology 1 - Slight Restrictions 2 - Moderate Restrictions 3 - Severe Restrictions 4 - Exposed Rock Topography 1 - Less than 5% Slopes 2 - 5%-8% Slope 3 - 8%-12% Slope 4 - Over 12% Slope Drainage 1 - Well Drained 2 - Small Stream 3 - Drainage Problems 4 - Flood Plain Vegetation 1 - Existing High Quality 2 - Existing Low Quality 3 - Open Good Potential 4 - Open Poor Potential Visual Character 1 - Open Vistas 2 - Closed Vistas 3 - Flat Open 4 - Visual Barriers urce: Consultants 28 Accessibility 1 - Secondary Road 2 - Major Road 3 - Major Intersection 4 - Limited Access Utilities 1 - Existing Utilities 2 - Utility Extensions 3 - Planned Utilities 4 - No Planned Utilities Noise 1 - Minimal Noise 2 - Noise Proximity 3 - Major Road 4 - Freeway/Railroad Land Use o Use 2 - Residential 3 - Public 4 - Commercial/Industrial Other Uses 1 - No Uses 2 - Ponds 3 - Easement/Railroad 4 - Gravel Pits/Quarries TABLE 3 City of College Station, Texas ENVIRONMENTAL MATRIX TOTAL VALUE NUMBER OF AREAS PERCEN-TILt RANKING RESIDENTIAL POTENTIAL 0-13 -0- -0- N.A. 14 6 99.60 Very High 15 14 98.80 Very High 16 27 97.20 Very High 17 42 94.70 Very High 18 118 87.70 High 19 197 76.10 High 20 195 64.50 Normal 21 226 51.20 Normal 22 273 35.00 Normal 23 291 17.80 Low 24 132 10.00 Low 25 92 4.50 Very Low 26 50 1.60 Very Low 27 16 0.65 Very Low 28 10 0.06 Very Low 29 1 0.01 Very Low 30-40 -0- -0- N.A. Source: Analysis by Consultants Those areas having the highest suitability for development are located generally within the area bounded by the East Loop(State HIghway 6) and F.M. 2818 around the Southern and Western parts of the City. These are the primary areas presently served by utilities and transportation. Conversely, the areas least suited for development are located along Carters Creek and West of Easterwood airport. These areas have the most hazards from potential flooding, and the least access to utilities and transportation. Assuming the future expansion of the utility and street systems, good potentials for residential growth exist throughout the Planning Area, with the highest potential toward the South. The highest potentials for Multi- family and commercial development will exist near the intersections of major streets and roads. Industrial growth potentials will be located near the railroad and in the industrial district South along Highway 6. The University property and tloodplains along creeks and rivers have the most potential for Institutional/Open Space uses. 29 S■ W J m Q M X_ F - Q E H J [o Q N F - Z W Cl. O J W > W F - z WJ J. ttt Q ►-I •r •r- •r r i= CO M(z 00000 OZ Q S S S S O)D)E E E O O JJJJJQ W W Z>) >,SS 0 0 OJJ >) Z > F-- S_ S_ L S_ Z Z Z S_ S- i i i W O aJ aJ aJ aJ a) aJ a) a) a) J Z W O U V) I I 1 F- Or 1D 00010 MMNGtNOCMf�:3-OO 1-4Z I M 10MMMe-rO�-Zd-N::r(\J I I F- W r CV N Ct N N r N d Z O I -I J N Q Q i- + W F- Q I I V) ON Lna11or-r-m ) MLnONc:j- O =LLJ I rN tr M Ln Ln r 0 Gfi MkoM I C=l LN 10 M M r Z O Q Q�I.- 11.1 W O ct C n I- 00 C A M r Gt C V N N O r- M M O X: W I r-NNdrer1.0LD1DN0p10LnN i X: Ln IO M C\J C O U J � Q Q LLJ L.L.. = I I I Q O N:I- p 1 LO C V N 1 D -:I- C O N 00 1 D O r 00 N 0 ►-+ I �00cY10M471LnrnOMr-• I W J N C C f J Q N t-+ Q F- LJ W Q O10MI--Ll7M MO1DMM Cr-koM C) � 1 rNcfr OrOrI�MCil lnr 1 -ILLI r-NNM MNr V) V) LU O J 4J Q O F- J M OQ rd' Lr) 1p1--0001OrNMGj-Ln10t,00a):F F-> t r r r r - CV NCV NNNNNNN I O O M 30 7 i7 Areas indicating the highest potential for various types of land uses are shown on the Development Suitability Map, Plate 5. It should be noted that these potentials for development are based entirely on existing conditions, including the present capacities of streets and utility systems. Improvements to these facilities and extensions into presently undeveloped areas could serve to increase the development potentials of certain areas. For example, those areas indicating limited development at present on the Development Suitability map could have normal suitability for residential uses if streets ana utilities are provided. Coordinates of each area in the matrix are given in the Appendix to this report. The suitability for development in each type of land use is also shown for each area. HOLDING CAPACITY In order to determine the potential impact of development on each area of the matrix, a holding capacity was calculated. This holding capacity is given for each area in the Appendix and is shown for the entire 25 acre area rather than on a per -acre basis. This holding capacity is also given in terms of population equivalents rather than actual residents. Population equivalents are used because commercial, industrial, and other uses do not have actual residents. These equivalents represent the normal number of people that would be expected to utilize a particular activity. These equivalents will vary based on type of use, intensity of development, utilization of water and sewer utilities, traffic generation, and other factors. For calculation of these holding capacities, an average population equivalent has been assumed for each type of land use. These equivalents have been based on actual development, utility capacities, and traffic generations within the City at present. In some areas, improvements to existing facilities or extensions into undeveloped areas could increase the holding capacity of a particular area. Population equivalents used in this study are given on Table 5. Table 6 presents a aistribution of the number of areas found within various ranges of holding capacities. The best utilization of land uses tends to fall within ranges of holding capacities also shown on Table 5. It should be noted that holding capacities given represent only an average figure calculated from the development suitability of each area. Any par- ticular area could have capacities which might allow for more, or less, intense development. This holding capacity should not therefore be used as an absolute figure, but rather as a guide to the types of uses to be permitted in various areas. 31 TABLE 5 City of College Station, Texas POPULATION EQUIVALENTS LAND EQUIVALENT MAXIMUM NORMAL USE PER ACRE PER AREA CAPACITY Residential Uses 14 322 190-219 Multi -Family Uses 33 768 270-389 Commercial Uses 30 690 240-279 Industrial Uses 15 345 220-249 Institutional/Open Space 6 138 100-189 Source: Analysis by Consultants TABLE 6 City of College Station, Texas DISTRIBUTION OF HOLDING CAPACITIES CAPACITY CAPACITY NUMBER PERCENT PER AREA PER ACRE OF AREAS OF AREAS 100-109 4.3- 4.7 6 0.3% 110-119 4.8- 5.1 69 3.8 120-129 5.2- 5.6 92 5.1 130-139 5.7- 6.0 119 6.6 140-149 6.1- 6.4 31 1.7 150-159 6.5- 6.9 71 3.9 160-169 7.0- 7.3 54 3.0 170-179 7.4- 7.7 44 2.4 180-189 7.8- 8.2 91 5.0 190-199 8.3- 8.6 225 12.4 200-209 8.7- 9.0 256 14.2 210-219 9.1- 9.5 221 12.2 220-229 9.6- 9.9 85 4.7 230-239 10.0-10.3 62 3.4 240-249 10.4-10.8 46 2.5 250-259 10.9-11.2 22 1.2 260-269 11.3-11.6 43 2.4 270-279 11.7-12.1 37 2.0 280-289 12.2-12.5 40 2.2 290-299 12.6-12.9 27 1.5 300-309 13.0-13.3 35 1.9 310-319 13.4-13.8 11 0.6 320-329 13.9-14.2 24 1.3 330-339 14.3-14.7 30 1.7 340-349 14.8-15.1 16 0.9 350-359 15.2-15.5 17 0.9 360-369 15.6-15.9 19 1.0 370-379 16.0-16.4 10 0.6 380-389 16.5-16.9 i a 6 0.3 Source: Analysis by Consultants 32 .. - - - n , - - -- 51_ 52 b4- DEVELOPMENT aa_ SUITABILITY 67 -PLAN 2000 58_ 59 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 80- 33 c =NORTH SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES • ,WYS A WAYN,E W^S Y, ASSOCTA..S HIM 34 Population 35 36 POPULATION ANALYSIS The rapid population increase in College Station over the past ten years resulted in the Bryan -College Station Metropolitan Area being named the fastest growing area in Texas. College Station increased at an annual rate of 7.8 percent from 1970 to 1980, as compared with most Texas cities' growth rates of 1 to 3 percent per year. This rapid change in City size has required continuing response by local government, the school system, and other institutions. Population analysis and projections are used in various ways in the comprehensive planning process; employment projections, housing needs analysis, land use projections, industrial analysis, community facility planning, and capital improvement programming. The number of persons in College Station in the future will, to a large degree, reflect the basic need for governmental services as well as the ability to provide those services. This part of the Comprehensive Plan examines: * Current Population * Distribution of the Population * Population Density * Population Projections * Related Issues of Population Growth CURRENT POPULATION The 1980 U.S. Census reported a population of 37,296 persons in College Station; an increase of 111.0 percent since 1970. Although this count is lower than many local estimates, it does indicate the direction and, to some extent, the degree of change that has occurred over the past decade. Previous estimates of the 1980 population ranged from 39,OuO to 54,000. For both methodological and pragmatic reasons, the U.S. Census Bureau population counts will be used in the planning process. The following table shows population growth of College Station, Bryan, and Brazos County since 1940. TABLE 7 City of College ation, Texas PUPULATION OF COLLEGE STATION, BRYAN AND bRAZOS COUNTY Year College Station Bryan Brazos County 1940 2,184 11,842 26,977 1950* 7,925 18,102 38,390 1960 11,396 27,542 44,895 1970 17,676 33,719 57,978 1980 37,296 44,265 93,487 1981** 39,248 44,265 93,487 1982 41,200 --- --_ Source -U.S. Census of Population; * Starting with 1950 U.S. Census`_,_c_o_rTe_ge students were counted at their college residence, rather that their parent's residence; ** Consultant projections based on past annual growth rate. 37 College Station and Bryan have grown from being slightly over half of the County's population in 1940 to almost 90 percent today. The Components of population growth are critical to the understanding of projections. In College Station, most of the past decades' growth was caused by expanding university enrollment. This has produced not only an increase in student population, but spin-off growth from retail development, construction employment and other economic expansion. The following table indicates the importance of the student population as part of College Station. TABLE 8 City of College Station, Texas STUDENT AND NON -STUDENT RESIUENTS: 1960, 1970 & 1980 University Student Non -Student Year Enrollment Residents Residents Total 1960 7,221 4,807 6,589 11,396 1970 14,316 8,155 9,521 17,676 1980 33,499 21,600 15,696 37,296 Source: 1960 and 1970 U.S. Census, college enrollees; 1980 estimated from previous U.S. Census and Planning Department estimate; 1980 U.S. Census Since 1960 the student population that lives in College Station has increased from about 42 percent to over half (57 percent) of the population. This change has been the result of rapidly increasing enrollment during the 1970's in Texas A&M University. The student population growth is expected to diminish over the next five years as Texas A&M University officials limit enrollment of freshman and sophmores. Table 9 represents the University's projected enrollment through 1985. Other components of population growth include births, deaths and migration. In College Station from 1970 to 1980, there were 3,207 births, 603 deaths and a net in -migration of 17,016 persons. Of the net in -migrations, 13,445 persons were students who live in College Station. This leaves 3,569 in -migrants who were non -students. The growth rate for the non -student resident population has been about 5.1 percent annually, less than for the City as a whole but more than comparably sized cities. Part of this growth is accounted for by expansion of the University but the remainder is due to the general economic growth in the area and indirect factors in favor of College Station's expansion; i.e., favorable climate, good central location, positive growth and labor supply. From previous economic impact studies of University cities, an estimated 7,848 persons were non -University related residents. TABLE 9 City of College tation, Texas PROJECTED ENROLLMENT BY FALL SEMESTERS, 1981-1985 Level 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Freshman 9,141 8,575 8,270 8,021 8,021 Sophmore 6,481 7,312 6,960 6,716 6,850 Junior 7,042 6,609 7,500 7,520 7,525 Senior 6,749 7,071 7,014 7,600 7,600 Total Undergrad. 29,413 29,567 29,744 29,857 29,996 Masters 3,721 3,969 4,207 4,363 4,491 Doctoral 1,606 1,637 1,669 1,700 1,733 Professional 560 627 680 680 680 Total Graduates 5,887 6,233 6,556 6,743 6,904 TOTAL 35,300 35,800 36,300 36,600 36,900 Source: Texas A&M University. Projected enrollment figures for 1982-1985 take into account the July 28, 1981 decision to impose limitations on enrollment limitations which will affect freshman and transfer students. Actual enrollment was 35,146 for the Fall Semester. TABLE 10 City of Colleg�ation, Texas 1980 POPULATION COMPONENTS Component Number Percent Student Residents University Related Residents Non -University Residents TOTAL 21,600 57.9 7,189 19.3 8,507 22.8 37,296 100.0 Source: Estimate based on various economic impact studies of Universities on cities; University of New Mexico, University of Nebraska; Lincoln; University of Southern Mississippi, Indiana State University; Oklahoma State University; University of Colorado; and Pennsylvania State University. POPULATION PROJECTIONS Population projections are needed for decisions about future land uses and public services. To be useful, use of these projections should be understood in light of the assumptions used in making the projections. These assumptions are indicated in the following discussion. 39 POPULATION ANALYSIS The rapid population increase in College Station over the past ten years resulted in the Bryan -College Station Metropolitan Area being named the fastest growing area in Texas. College Station increased at an annual rate of 7.8 percent from 1970 to 1980, as compared with most Texas cities' growth rates of 1 to 3 percent per year. This rapid change in City size has required continuing response by local government, the school system, and other institutions. Population analysis and projections are used in various ways in the comprehensive planning process; employment projections, housing needs analysis, land use projections, industrial analysis, community facility planning, and capital improvement programming. The number of persons in College Station in the future will, to a large degree, reflect the basic need for governmental services as well as the ability to provide those services. This part of the Comprehensive Plan examines; * Current Population * Distribution of the Population * Population Density * Population Projections * Related Issues of Population Growth CURRENT POPULATION The 1980 U.S. Census reported a population of 37,29b persons in College Station; an increase of 111.0 percent since 1970. Although this count is lower than many local estimates, it does indicate the direction and, to some extent, the degree of change that has occurred over the past decade. Previous estimates of the 1980 population ranged from 39,OuO to 54,000. For both methodological and pragmatic reasons, the U.S. Census Bureau population counts will be used in the planning process. The following table shows population growth of College Station, Bryan, and Brazos County since 1940. TABLE 7 City of College ation, Texas POPULATION OF COLLEGE STATION, BRYAN AND BRAZOS COUNTY Year College Station Bryan Brazos County 1940 2,184 11,842 26,977 1950* 7,925 18,102 38,390 1960 11,396 27,542 44,895 1970 17,676 33,719 57,978 1980 37,296 44,265 93,487 1981** 39,248 44,265 93,487 1982 41,200 --- --_ Source -U.S. Census of Population; * Starting with 1950 U.S. Census­_,­E­o_TTe_ge students were counted at their college residence, rather that their parent's residence; ** Consultant projections based on past annual growth rate. 37 The following is a brief review of basic population projection techniques used by demographers. Four groups of projection techniques are available: Mathematical Methods: These methods apply some mathematical formula to population census figures to derive total population. Formulas most widely used include (a) exponential formulas with compounding or continuous compounding and (b) logistic curves. The exponential formulas applies to a rate of growth (percentage) to known population counts to project into the future. Growth rates change considerably over a long period of time, so the use of geometric curves is desirable primarily for short run projections. Ratio Methods: These methods apply the growth of a larger area to small area subdivisions. Thus, projections of the nation can be translated into state or regional growth, then to regional or county growth, and finally to the city level. For relatively small areas, such as cities, the ratio methods can not account for shifts that can change the population drastically, such as major industry movement. Economic Base Methods: It is generally believed that the migration component of population change is significantly affected by economic opportunities. Changes in the economic advantages of one area over anotner have a substantial impact on the future magnitude of migration. N number of methods are used that fall into two basic categories; (a) economic indicators and (b) economic analysis. With economic indicators, population growth is fitted to some equation comprised of an economic measurement such as per capita income. Using the historical relationship between population and per capita income, a population projection may be derived. Employment or number of jobs may be another economic indicator. In economic techniques, employment projections are made for each industry according to national and/or regional projections. This may be done very simply or may cover age specific categories of projections. Tne method requires a closed economic system where commuting employees are residing within the same geographical area. Obviously, this method presents some problems if applied to an individual city and especially to a city like College Station that has another adjacent city. Cohort Survival Method: The most readily understood and logical population projection technique is based on the components of population growth; birth, death, and migration. Data on birth rates and death rates are specific enough and collected in a fairly reliable manner. Detailed death rate stat- istics are available along with accepted projections about future rates. The problem that arises for this method is high migration rate. In a situation such as College Station where migration makes up the bulk of growth, the cohort survival projections become almost meaningless. The approach used in this study is to examine several methods, past successes in projecting population; and develop a reasonable method that provides reasonable answers. Previous Population Projections: College Station has had many population projections in previous studies. For Brazos County in the last ten years, there are at least nine different projections. For College Station, there are at least 6 projections. 4U For Brazos County, projections ranged from 67,200 for 1980 to 98,120. The closest projection was within 5 percent of the 1980 U.S. Census. The next closest missed by about 14 percent. The least accurate was within 28 percent of the 1980 count. All but one estimate were well below the population count. The closest projection was made about 10 years ago. The least accurate was made in 1972. Even the estimate made in 1979 was 15.2 percent off; made only one year before the census. All estimates were based upon some generally accepted technique for projections. The most sophisticated method included both cohort -survival and economic base analysis. Still, this method missed the current population by 15 percent. College Station population projections tend to err on the other side. Again, several acceptable techniques have been employed to produce results that are at least b percent off in the closest estimate and almost 50 percent in other instances. In this case the estimates were all more than the Census population counts. Some claim that the U.S. Census has undercounted the population. while the Census showed that the City has grown less than most people thought (based on projections), the County grew much more than most people thought. The following chart shows these projections. 41 L E G E N D Very High Suitability 0 High Suitability Normal Suitability 0 Low Suitability PLATE 11 RESIDENTIAL SUITABILITY PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS Making New Projections: Looking back and finding fault with the past projections is easy. Most population projections are wrong. Even being within five percent, 5,000 people for the County appears to be a lot of error. Looking back can also help find out what was done wrong, if anything, and how to account for such errors in future projections. Detailed analysis of previous studies is not available, but some of the methods have shortcomings which could produce the results. * In methods using dwelling units as a basis, there has been a gross underestimate of the sharply declining household size. * Mathematical methods, such as exponential methods, fail to account for drastic changes in local conditions; such as sharply rising student populations. * Cohort survival methods in a rapidly growing city cannot account for changes such as a changing student population; nor does this method accurately account for the presence of a large supply of highly mobile young married couples. * Economic base methods used by the Texas Department of Water Resources cannot predict small area shifts in population due to employment and industry growth. In a region such as the Bryan -College Station area, industry may locate within one of the two cities or even outside of the cities and still match up with the projections. Looking back at all projections for Brazos County, the results would all be relatively accurate if the expansion of Texas A&M were included. The three questions that arise about new projections are: * How can we account for future population growth at Texas A&M * How does the growth at Texas A&M affect the population growth of the City * What method best accounts for future population growth The implications are to separately project the University population, to determine the impact on the rest of the population of the University, and to separately project the rest of the City population. These are similar to the findings from previous studies. Population Projections: Initial projections for College Station are based on two assumptions; continued growth of the population; and (2) a decreased rate of growth for Texas A&M. Further analysis oetermines: * The impact of University growth on the College Station economy ana how this relates to population growth. * Cohort survival analysis of 1980 data. * Additional information on economic development actions planned within the foreseeable future. * Analysis of development trends and land use projections. 42 The economic impact of Texas A&M examined in other sections of this report shows that the University contributes at least half of the employment within the area; either directly or indirectly. Further, the future growth of the University is subject to changes in policy that cannot be predicted or controlled by local government. The assumption about the University's growth and contribution to the economy is that current policies of limiting enrollment will continue into the future. This will slow the University's growth rate to an annual rate of 1.5 percent, based on University enrollment projections for the next five years. Based on exponential growth formulas, the rate of growth should actually decline over the next 10 to 20 years. Cohort survival data for 1980 is not available as of ..pis date but contributes little to projecting future growth due to the impact of in -migration. Migration will continue to be the primary contributor to population expansion. With reduced impact of University growth, cohort -survival projections will become useful in the future. Economic development plans in College Station and the region have not reached any major turning points. Although the outlook is favorable for more diversified economic growth, no specific decisions have been announced. The Industrial Foundation property is being analyzed for future development potential, but no projections or preliminary recommendations have been made. The following table contains population projections for College Station which include the considerations shown above. The assumptions for these project- ions are: * Texas A&M will continue its current enrollment policy. * Annual growth of Texas A&M University will continue at the projected annual rate of 1.5 percent, based on University projections. * The non -University population will continue to grow at the current annual rate of 5.1 percent. * No large employers or groups of industries will locate in the College Station region. (While this assumption can be proven false, there is no known employer planning such a move.) If such a move is made, the population projections should be expanded by the growth level induced by new employment. * Projections will vary by not more than one percent above or below the projected rates. (0.5 to 2.5 for the University and 4.1 to 6.1 for the non -University population.) 43 TABLE 11 City of College Station, Texas POPULATION PROJECTIONS, 1980 - 2000 university Non - Student Related University Residents Residents Residents Total 1980 21,600 7,189 8,507 37,296 1990 Minimum 22,705 7,557 12,714 42,976 EXPECTED 25,068 8,343 13,990 47,401 Maximum 27,o50 9,203 15,379 52,232 2000 Minimum 23,866 7,943 19,002 50,811 EXPECTED 29,092 9,682 32,005 70,779 Maximum 35,394 11,780 27,802 74,976 Source: Estimates by uonsu tants It is essential that the City of College Station maintain ongoing population estimates as part of their planning and implementation process. These growth rates should oe compared with projections and annual updates published for community leaders, City Council, the Planning and Zoning Commission and City staff. These estimates can be prepared from construction data, utility connections or other secondary measures of population growth. This should be supplemented with University enrollment figures and estimates from the University on resident population. 44 70 Population 50 in Thousands 40 Mi 20- 10 5 1960 PLATE 7 VA i Projected Total Population Growth 5.1% Annual Rate/ i 1.5% Annual Rate, •-� Projected University Population Growth 1970 1984 1990 2000 Years PROJECTED CITY AND UNIVERSITY GROWTH POPULATION DISTRIBUTION The population distribution and pattern of growth over the history of the City has revolved around the location of the eastern, main campus portion of Texas A&M. Older development occurred mostly east of Texas Avenue and on both sides of the campus. The population distribution has shifted over the 45 past ten years as areas around the campus have become more fully developed. multi -family development along Harvey Road and new development south of Texas A & M are areas of primary population increase. During the past ten years, the areas north and south of the West Bypass have begun to develop with some limited construction East of the East bypass. The previous map compares the 1973 population distribution with the 1980 distribution. In terms of distance, about nalf of the population lives within one -mile of the main part of the Texas A & M University campus and almost 90 percent within two miles. POPULATION DENSITY The density of a city's population is usually expressed as either persons per square mile or persons per acre. In College Station, the gross density is 1,644 persons per square mile. This can be expressed for either the entire City ( 1,644 per square mile) or for dll developed land (5,967 per square mile). This density has increased since 1973 from 4,879 per square mile. Urban densities vary widely from city to city. They reflect, to some degree, the type and style of development. Ulder cities developed prior to the introduction of the automobile were yeared to pedestrian and slower vehicular traffic. Densities were often greater than 5,000 persons per square mile. Densities in older neighborhoods often remain at these levels of development. At either extreme --very low density and very high density --the quality of living can be affected. Urban development of less than three to five people per acre, for example, is expensive to build and maintain. Unless it is initially well-built and designed, the quality of housing and infrastructure will likely deteriorate substantially over time as maintenance needs grow. The revenue from such development usually does not meet the on-going cost of street repair and utility maintenance. Very high density development of 50 to 100 people per acre can create public health and social conditions detrimental to the residents. Even at these extremes, there are cities in the world that function adequately and are acceptable places to live. Some cities, such as New York City, accomplish this with high-rise structure. Others, such as Paris, have low-rise, compact residences. Housing and environmental quality are often issues discussed along with housing density. The implication is that the higher the housing density, the worse the quality of life. Looking at overall densities, this issue is much more complex. For example, low density suburban communities around Dallas and Fort Worth are more likely to nave a lower quality of housing (in terms of physical condition of units). In this case, the lower the density, the lower the housing quality. In examining specific types of developments such as rental apartments versus single-family owner -occupied housing, the lower density development (of the same age) is more likely to be in better condition. However, other factors nave been added; ownership, age of the building, and housing style. If two housing developments of different densities and similar age and style are compared, the differences are less obvious. The higher density development will probably not differ substantially in housing quality or quality of life. 46 RM. 11 s L fir` �\ ar " •� yes c � 1 • i EX#4 AVE icc\rtir • • f`r r--' TEXAS A d:. / _ y e • .1 ' •4 • rJ COLLEGE AVE � •c �� • ,�� • )# ms i , I) )) `) \• • Ye i / fly' i • • f j; •A • • FN. 2018 / r \ i / WELLBORN EASTERIN 00 • I AIRPORT J .• __ �_ y POPULATION i DISTRIBUTION PLAN r ;Z CITY OF COLLEGE STAT 47 L E G E N D -A II I POPULATION y DISTRIBUTION PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 47 PLATE 8 0 Q � 0 e NORTH SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES Pl.nnln i Y.n.•. t C .... lt.nt. WAYNE W. SNYDER ASSOCIATES Vl.nnlp i D.r.lo.m.nl Y.n.•.m.nl �J Fort worm T.t.. '�_J J `, sl I POPULATION y DISTRIBUTION PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 47 PLATE 8 0 Q � 0 e NORTH SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES Pl.nnln i Y.n.•. t C .... lt.nt. WAYNE W. SNYDER ASSOCIATES Vl.nnlp i D.r.lo.m.nl Y.n.•.m.nl �J Fort worm T.t.. '�_J Standards of safe and healthful densities have been suggested in many references, but most have relied on basic studies by the l;ommittee on the Hygiene of Housing of the American Public Health Association. This Committee provided residential density standards that serve as a basis for comparison with Lollege Station housing. The following table presents comparative standards for residential areas. TABLE 12 City of College Station; Texas RESIDENTIAL DENSITY STANDARDS Net Persons Per Gross Acre of Residential Land Maximum Desirable Building Type Standards Standards One and Two Family 1 family detached 19 17 1 family semi-detached or two family detached 27 24 1 family attached (row housing) or two family semi-detached 42 36 Multi -Family 3 story 72 56 6 story 99 71 Source: American Public Health Association; 1960. This standard includes residential land and streets only. It does not include any other land uses. In Gollege Station, these standards would allow from 39,000 to 43,500 on land currently developed as residential, assuming that all development was single family detached. From these maximum standards, it is apparent that housing densities could be much higher and still fall within health and safety requirements. For example, if all current housing were developed as one -family semi-detached, the total population could range from 55,000 to 61,300. Another reference point for density is the comparison of College Station with other Texas cities. Overall density for developed land in comparison Texas cities varies from about 3,300 to 6,100 persons per square mile. Net residential densities vary from 9.1 to 16.0 persons per acre (including only residential development and associated streets). Lollege Station currently has a net residential density of 16.3 persons per acre. Another measure of density is reflected in the values of the community. What kind of density is desired by the citizens of College Station"? This question can be answered from two sources, the market and community leaders. The market response has been that higher density housing has been needed during the past decade. This demand continues today as developers request zoning changes for higher density development and build attached and planned unit residences. Community standards are more difficult to determine. Comments in planning workshops suggest that lower density housing should be the primary form for future growth. Consultant projections suggest that lower density housing will likely prevail during the next decade. This is based on two premises. First, the recent rapid growth in College Station is in response to increase in Texas A&M University enrollment. Peak growth has been reached and demand for apartment development should stabilize. Second, the single family, owner -occupied housing market is severely hampered by Doth interest rates and the lack of mortgage funds. Builders and developers turn their interest to the multi -family and commercial markets during such economic periods. There is likely a considerable back -log of demand for lower density housing which will be released once the mortgage market changes and interest rates decline. Even with these shifts, the City of College Station should expect some basic changes in both developer and consumer demands for alternative and possibly higher density housing styles. 49 50 Housing 51 52 HOUSING ANALYSIS The nousing markets in the United States have changed substantially over the past few years. While some trends will be reversed, many housing experts expect continuation of some features of the current market. Among the changes are smaller homes, smaller lots, higher density development, more housing amenities and options, different ownership options, different financing methods, and new styles of homes. The national economy will play a role in the housing market in College Station, although local characteristics have tended to dominate. This part of the Gity's Comprehensive Plan examines the nousing supply and market to determine current and future needs; and to make recommendations and projections for future housing. The analysis includes: (1) examination of current housing supply as to types, numbers and locations, (2) a review of housing markets including problems and deficiencies, k3) recommended development standards for future nousing, and (4) future housing needs in terms of number of units, land requirements and locations. HOUSING SUPPLY The supply of nousing has expanded at a rate of over 1,100 units per year. In today's market that would amount to over $70 million per year (for single family units). This is an annual growth rate or about 10.5 percent, an even faster rate than the population expansion The following table shows the number of units added each year since 1971. TABLE 13 City of Col egg ation, Texas RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS jingle Year Family Duplexes Apartments Other Total 1971 130 2 450 15 598 1972 108 56 923 - 1,087 1973 119 2 1,110 8 1,239 1974 132 - 282 - 414 1975 201 108 352 6 667 1976 195 408 588 9 1,200 1977 344 98 1,324 - 1,766 1978 232 lU6 142 - 480 1979 2UO 92 298 - 590 1980 184 184 756 - 1,124 1981 295 224 1,463 - 1,982 1982 98 164 1,132 - 1,394 TOTAL 2,238 1,144 8,820 38 12,540 Source. City of College Station building permit records. 1982 through April. 53 About too -thirds of the housing units built during the past decade were apartments. Only 20 percent were single-family detached. Many cities the size of College Station are experiencing similar phenomena where multi -fam- ily, attached housing units comprise the largest portion of new construction. However, there has normally been an even split in the multi -family versus single family. Examining the changes over time in construction, there has been steady growth of single famiy housing while multi -family construction nas tended to rise and fall with the economy. Another upward cycle was occurring in 1980 start- ing in 1978, and this cycle has continued into 1981. In 1981, there were another 1,982 units of housing added. Single family units also continued to rise with 295 units. This is the highest number of single family dwellings since 1977. The rate of single family construction has been about five percent for the past decade. PLATE 9 1400 r 1200 1000 i• � j � 'Multi -Family Units 800 Number 1 of 600 / Units / 400 200 Single -Family Units 1971 '72 '73 '74 '75 '76 '77 '78 '79 1980 '81 Years RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS 54 HOUSING MARKETS Market analysis for housing is generally conducted for various income levels and life-styles. For example a retirement portion housing market exists in some areas and the income and housing preferences of that market would dictate the type of housing to be provided. In a Comprehensive Plan, the housing market includes a broader and more general level of analysis. This section identifies existing housing needs, potential future markets, income levels as related to housing and housing problems or deticiencies that are evident in College Station. Housin Needs and Problems: Many of the housing needs and problems cannot be quantified or measured, but are observations or how the College Station housing market has responded or not responded to changing demands. The types of needs revolve around the following housing issues. * Existing and future housing deterioration * Housing Costs 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 Number of 8,000 Housing 6,000 Units 4,000 Total Housing Suppl PLATE 10 Apartments Single -Family 1971 '72 '73 '74 '75 '76 '77 '78 '79 1980 '81 Years TOTAL HOUSING SUPPLY CHANGE 1971-1980 55 * Rapid Growth * Density of Development * Housing Choices * Housing Competition * Housing and Economic Growth Housing Quality: The current quality of housing is good. This is not surprising given the relatively new construction of most housing units. The predominance of multi-famiy units as a housing style makes the maintenance and operation of these facilities a potential problem area in the future. A local survey of housing conditions found about 10 percent of the housing stock to be deteriorated but suitable for rehabilitation (Housing and Population Studies, College Station, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Texas University, Planning Lab 604, 1980). About one percent of the housing units were unsuitable for dwellings and one-third of these were vacant. The majority of substandard housing units in College Station are single-family. Uver 16 percent of the single-family units are substandard, compared with seven percent of multi -family units. However, most of the substandard units are renter -occupied rather than owner -occupied. About two-thirds of the sub -standard occupied units are rental units. It is typical of most cities that rental property is more likely to be deteriorated than owner -occupied property. There is a substantial difference, however, in the way multi -family property is maintained versus smaller rental units. Apartment complexes rely on professional management and staff maintenance, while single family rental units usually rely on either the tenant or the owner for maintenance. The owner may lack the time, ability, incentive, or finances for adequate maintenance and repair. The following table compares housing conditions for different types of units and ownership: As the rate of growth levels off in College Station, housing conditions may begin to affect the housing market. Multi -family units, over time, become more expensive to maintain, and the economics and tax incentives for owning such units can limit the maintenance and repair efforts by owners. Likewise, if the the competition for tenants is met through other housing choices, such as University -built housing, the rents must be low enough to attract sufficient tenants. The current situation shows relatively low vacancies and high demand. With changes in the growth rate, this will shift to higher vacancies and a more competitive market. Housing Costs: The housing market in College Station is substantially different than most Texas communities of similar size. These differences are somewhat reflected in housing costs. Most of the housing has been built in the past ten years. Uver half of the housing units are less than ten years old. The construction costs of these units, particularly the units built in 56 TABLE 14 City of College dation Texas HOUSING CONDITIONS ALL UNITS SOUND (%) DETERIORATED % DILAPIDATED TiE�_ TOTAL 11,517 Percent (88.9) 1,244 ( 9.6) 194 (1.5) 12,955 Type of Unit 11,488 92.34 Owner -Occupied 2,966 23.84 Single -Family 3,470 (82.7) 575 (13.7) 150 (3.6) 4,195 Duplex 1,302 (86.3) i94 (12.9) 12 (0.8) 1,508 Multi -Family 6,745 (93.0) 475 ( e.5) 32 (0.4) 7,252 Tenure 213 1.71 TOTAL YEAR-ROUND HOUSING UNITS 12,441 100.00% Owner 3,001 (86.0) 361 (W.3) 128 (3.7) 3,490 Renter 8,516 (90.0) 872 ( 9.2) 77 (0.8) 9,465 Housing andPopulation Studies. 1980,City of o e_e__5tation TABLE 15 City of College Station- Texas YEAR/ROUND HOUSING UiVITS the last three years were substantially nigher tnan those of the previous decades. In similar sized cities, the housing supply is considerably older, and housing costs are potentially less. (.ollege Station has relatively little older housing stock which serves other communities as moderately priced housiny. Many university cities rely on older housing stock to 57 Persons Tenure and Vacancy Status Number Percent In Unit OCCUPIED HOUSING UNITS: 11,488 92.34 Owner -Occupied 2,966 23.84 8,988 Renter -Occupied 8,522 68.50 18,726 VACANT HOUSING UNITS. 953 7.66 For Sale Only 74 0.59 For Rent 644 5.18 Held for occasional Use 22 0.18 Other Vacant 213 1.71 TOTAL YEAR-ROUND HOUSING UNITS 12,441 100.00% 27,724 GROUP QUARTER 8.464 36,188 Source: 1980 . Gensus, Texas State Data Lenter the last three years were substantially nigher tnan those of the previous decades. In similar sized cities, the housing supply is considerably older, and housing costs are potentially less. (.ollege Station has relatively little older housing stock which serves other communities as moderately priced housiny. Many university cities rely on older housing stock to 57 TABLE 16 City of College Station, Texas YEAR-ROUND HOUSING UNITS BY TENURE NNU VACANCY STATUS Persons Tenure and Vacancy Status Number Percent In Unit COLLEGE STATION CITY OCCUPIED HOUSING UNITS: 11,488 92.34 2.08 Owner -Occupied 2,966 23.84 8,988 Renter -Occupied 8,522 68.50 18,726 VACANT HOUSING UNITS. 953 7.66 TO For Sale Only 74 0.59 $25,000 For Rent 644 5.18 3.16 Held for Occasional Use 22 0.18 94 Other Vacant 213 1.71 $39,999 TOTAL YEAR-ROUND HOUSING UNITS 12,441 100.0% 27,724 GROUP QUARTER 372 14.34 8,464 TO $79,999 1,313 36,168 Source: 1980 U.S. Census, lexas State Data Center TABLE 17 City of College Station SPECIFIED OWNER -OCCUPIED NONCONDOMINIUM HOUSING UNITS BY VALUE ague COLLEGE STATION CITY er Percent LESS THAN $10,000 54 2.08 $10,000 TO $14,999 42 1.62 $15,000 TO $19,999 49 1.89 $20,000 TO $24,999 67 2.58 $25,000 TO $29,999 82 3.16 $30,000 TO $34,999 94 3.62 $35,000 TO $39,999 109 4.20 $40,000 TO $49,999 372 14.34 $50,000 TO $79,999 1,313 50.62 $80,000 TO $99,999 241 9.29 $10U,000 TO $149,999 141 5.44 $150,000 TO $199,999 22 0.85 $200,000 OR MORE 8 0.31 MEDIAN VALUE Source. 1980 U.S. Census 58 $59,800 TABLE 18 City of College Station, Texas SPECIFIED RENTER -OCCUPIED HOUSING UNITS BY CONTRACT RENT Contract Rent Number Percent COLLEGE STATION CITY LESS THAN $50 26 0.31 $50 TO $99 188 2.24 $100 TO $119 163 1.94 $120 TO $139 266 3.17 $140 TO $149 273 3.26 $150 TO $159 93 1.11 $160 TO $169 115 1.37 WO TO $199 734 8.75 $200 TO $249 2,376 28.33 $250 TO $299 2,139 25.50 $300 TO $399 1,731 20.64 $400 TO $499 147 1.75 $500 OR MORE 27 0.32 NO CASH RENT 109 1.30 MEDIAN CASH RENT $246 Source: 1980 U.S. Census, Texas State Data Center provide student housing alternatives. The supply of such housing is very limited in College Station. University -built housing is serving as the lower cost units in place of older housing. This meets a need in the market, but also provides competitive prices. Future housing costs will continue to increase as housing construction declines and the demand grows. Low vacancy rates in 1980 all types and tenure indicated that the housing demand was outstripping supply. The higher vacancy rate in single-family units indicated a more normal situation and that the demand continues to be for multi -family housing. The current demand will not be known until construction is complete on units being developed now and they are ready for occupancy. Rapid Growth: The population and housing growth in College Station provides an unpredictable and volatile housing market. Since previous growth and housing construction is largely in response to University expansion, future growth is subject to University decision-making. With two to three years of lead time needed for the housing market, it is more likely that housing (especially rental and multi -family) will miss the demand by either under- or over -building. University decisions to build additional housing also prevents the market from responding in a more rational manner. Density of Development: Higher density housing brings more efficiency in providing services but also maintenance problems (as mentioned above), concentrated traffic, public safety problems, and larger impacts on the environment. The design and placement of nigher density housing requires more consideration to the details of traffic patterns, signage, and 59 landscaping. They present more difficult problems and more potential for incorrect decisions. Future overall housing density is expected to decline in College Station as the population composition shifts. However, individual housing projects may be higher density. Single-family housing developments with clustered units with net densities of four or more units per acre. Housing Choices: The current housing supply offers two basic styles of development, single-family detached and apartments. The duplex market is substantially larger than comparably -sized cities and continues to expand as a part of College Station housing. Often duplex developments are not owner -occupied, or if they are, they tend to shift to primarily rental units as they age. Other single-family attached housing styles such as townhouses, are more likely to be owner -occupied and are designed as such. Uther detacned housing options, such as zero lot line and patio homes, offer home owner options with lower development costs. "Look-alike" provisions can also be made for duplex, triplex, and four-plex housing to provide a single-family appearance to a subdivision. All of these options are higher density than the traditional single-family detached units. Future housing, if allowed and promoted, will offer wider choices in type, style, density, and ownership options. Whether or not a wider choice is developed depends somewhat on actions by the City and local developers. Housing Competition: College Station competes within a larger market, including Bryan, areas outside of the City limits, and University housing. With the current high demand, it is fortunate that other markets are available to absorb regional growth. Some of the conditions generated by this competition are mentioned above; higher rents, low vacancies, and pressure for additional construction of multi -family units. If College Station is to achieve some balance of development, the local housing market must respond to those aspects of housing competition which promote a more balanced condition. This may mean development incentives for single-family, owner -occupied housing of various styles and types. Otferiny these incentives may mean higher densities, sharing of development costs in beneficial manners to the developer, and possible different standards for development. Housing and Economic Growth: College Station's growth in the future will likely consist of a broader economic base and a more diversified population. Accompanying this growth is the need for an adequate housing supply. With new and expanded employment opportunities, a range of housing costs is also needed. If basic industries (even high technology) are attracted to the area, they will require lower paid employes as well as higher paid professionals. Companies moving to College Station will expect an existing labor supply and/or adequate housing for all types of employees. The current market lacks any slack to take up many new residents generated by new industries entering the market. Fortunately, the building boom which has accompanied growth provides a good supply of construction and development expertise that can meet new growth demands. If there is a substantial lag in construction, this expertise may disappear as builders and their crews find other forms of employment. Housing Market Potential: The primary housing market consists of students, University -related residents and non -University related residents. Lack of 1980 U.S. Census data prevents good measurement of numbers of units in each of these markets, but population figures suggest that about 60 percent of the 60 housing units are student occupied, 20 percent University -related, and 20 percent other residents. These markets are projected to change by the year 2000 to 40 percent student residents, 14 percent University -related residents, and 46 percent other residents. New markets will come from several sources. These include: * Employment related moves to College Station * University enrollment growth * Central city attraction from surrounding areas * Singles and unmarried persons * Retirees The projected growth of the City from employment related moves includes industrial growth and related economic expansion. This market group should require a broad range of housing types and costs with more than half being single-family detached. As economic growth occurs, employment will be available for those leaving Texas A & M and they will be able to remain in College Station. This housing market will include many small households, i.e. singles and childless couples. Singles and childless couples have also become a more prominent housing market. This group can often afford single-family housing but has relatively small space needs. higner density and attached housing units are usually developed to meet this market. College Station contains a young population overall, but university cities usually develop a substantial retirement population as the city grows. Provi- ding for this housing market is substantially different in terms of style, amenities and operation. By the year 2000, there should be sufficient demand for this part of the market to be realized. College Station may also attract persons from surrounding cities and outlying areas. This population will have similar housing needs to the non -University residents and require both single-family and multi -family types of housing. In -migrants are usually younger and more affluent than the population group they are leaving. Market projections are contained in following sections of this report. Income Levels and Housing Needs: The household income levels in the Bryan -College Station SMSA have been increasing at an annual rate of about 8.5 percent over the past W years. College Station has increased by about 7.5 percent and Bryan by 8.5 percent annually. Texas has increased at an even faster rate of 10.5 percent annually. However, College Station has a higher household income than Texas or Bryan. The student population and its growth has a leveling effect on household income with student income being considerably below that of other population groups in the City. The median income of non -University residents (including University related households) has probably grown at a faster rate and higher level than the general population of the SMSA or of Texas. This also indicates that student incomes 61 may not have kept pace with inflation and there is less money available to purchase housing. DEVELOPMENT STANDARDS The housing supply over the next 20 years will change substantially for College Station. To meet the needs of these housing types, development standards are recommended against which development proposals can be measure and/or controlled. The types of housing which will be part of the future housing market include: * Conventional single family detached * Higher density, single-family detached * Higher density attached housing * Manufactured/modular housing * Low-cost housing * Student housing In addition to providing development standards for various types of housing, location criteria are needed to establish appropriate places for various types of housing developments. These criteria are discussed following housing development standards. Conventional Single -Family Detached Housing: Single family detached subdivision has become the typical style of development in most suburban locations. Its design and layout evolved through standards produced by the Federal Housing Administration from the late 1940's and 1950's. Curvilinear street design, construction standards, grading standards, and other design requirements replaced the gridiron system that characterized many older communities. Development standards recommended here include dwelling size, lot area, density, and location. Requirements for large dwellings as the exclusive form of housing has been questioned in U.S. Courts and in some cases have been outlawed. It is recommended that dwelling sizes are based on some logical basis and that this basis in some way relate to the Comprehensive Plan for the City. Minimum dwelling sizes should be in accordance with public health requirements and adjusted to fit family size. Other dwelling unit sizes should be adjusted to fit the lot size. Larger lots may have larger homes than smaller lots. Dwelling size may also relate to lot coverage and environmental restrictions. 62 TABLE 19 City of College Station Texas MINIMUM GROSS rL00R ARLA/SINGLE FAMILY UETACHEU DWELLING Size of Unit Desirable Minimum 1 -Bedroom 700 square feet 2 -Bedroom 800 square feet 3 -Bedroom 1,100 square feet 4 -Bedroom 1,420 square feet Each Additional Bedroom 320 square feet These minimums are based on FederaThousing minimum or pu6Tic housing Source: American Public Health Association Standards. Number of bedrooms is used as the measure of nousehold size, rather than number of persons as set forth in these standards. Lot size can vary substantially depending upon the size of the unit, the des- ign of the subdivision, and the environment. Minimum Lot areas recommended: 1 or 2 bedroom 5,000 sq.ft./lot .16 FAR 16% Max. Coverage 3 or more bedrooms 7,400 sq.ft./lot .24 FAR 22% Max. Coverage 63 L E G E N D Very High Suitability High Suitability Normal Suitability 0 Low Suitability PLATE 11 RESIDENTIAL SUITABILITY PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS Floor Area Ratio is the Gross Floor Area of the unit divided by the lot size. Example: 2,000 sq.ft. house/6,600 sq. ft. lot = .30 floor area ratio (this example is too large for the lot). A 1,800 sq.ft. house would be the maximum size house for the minimum lot size (2 bedroom house). Maximum size for a 3 bedroom on the minimum lot is 1,776. Maximum Impervious Surface is the percent of the lot which can be covered by the house, accessory building, and paving (or other surfaces which don't allow water to penetrate the soil). Minimum lot size directly affects the measured in this table as the gross total number of dwelling units. 1 or 2 Bedroom 3 Bedrooms or More density of development. Density is residential land area divided by the 6.0 units per acre 5.3 units per acre The single-family detached housing environment is the most "foot -loose" of housing styles. It is generally not as constrained by transportation and accessibility requirements. Environmental factors can affect the location but are dependent on site-specific characteristics; steep slopes, high shrink -swell soils, nigh erosion levels, etc. Location criteria recommended include: * Accessability of water and sewer services. * Retail shopping within five minutes travel time. * Local parks within walking distance. * Separation from conflicting activities. * Relative quiet during evening hours. * Employment within 30 minutes commuting time. Mid -Density, Single Family Detached: Several types of homes have emerged as higher density, single-family units that are detached like the conventional home, but are located on smaller lots. These include the lot -line (or zero lot -line) house, the village nouse, and the patio home. Zero Lot Line Housing is placed on one side of the lot, with no side yard. The arrangement makes the side yard usable and requires less land than a house centered on the lot. The front yard is substantially reduced as well. Villa a Housing is a descendant of small lot housing found in small villages in the Northeast. Housing is placed close to the street, maximizing the backyard space. Alleys are used to minimize the impact of autos. Patio Homes are separated by privacy walls which contain small yards or patios. Layout of the yards amd housing is also sometimes attached or semi - attached. 64 The size of these units is governed by the same development standards as for conventional single family housing. Lot size may vary for these types of housing units. TABLE 20 City of College Station, Texas MINIMUM LOT SIZE/MID-DENSITY HOUSING 4 or more Type of Housing 2 Bedrooms 3 Bedrooms Bedrooms Zero Lot -Line 5,500 5,600 5,600 Village Housing 4,2OU 5,000 5,000 Patio Homes 2,700 3,300 4,100 Maximum Floor Area Ratios .28 .30 .32 Maximum Impervious Surface 27% 29% 31% urce: Lonsultan Higner density housing is usually coupled with greater open -space and landscaping requirements to soften the impact of buildings and paved surfaces. Net Density, the number of units per acre of residential land including only streets, alleys and rights-of-way directly serving the residences, will range from 7.3 to 8.6 units per acre. Gross Density, the number of units per acre including all open space, landscaped areas, residential streets, and all residential lands, will range from 5.1 to 6.1 units per acre. Locations for these types of units are similar to the conventional single family housing area. Additional location standards may include. * Areas where vegetation and natural settings can be preserved with clustered locations for mousing. * Near but not necessarily on mayor thoroughfares. * Adjacent to parks where part of the land may be used as public park areas. * Buffer zones for transition from single family detached to higher density uses. 65 Higher Density Attached Housing: This is the widest range of housing types including everything from duplexes to high rise apartments. Development standards can vary widely. Types of mousing under this category include: The duplex is a single-family unit attached on one wall. Space is saved by eliminating two side yards. Atrium Housing is housing is similar to patio housing but has an even smaller yard (atrium). The house usually totally or partially surrounds the atrium. Townhouses consist of several housing units attached side-by-side (also called row houses). Both side yards are eliminated with small front yards and larger rear yards sometimes separated with fences. One form of row houses uses the garage as the point of attachment (semi-detach- ed) and may resemble single-famiy detached housing. Multiplex housing types often take on the appearance of a single-family unit, but may contain three or more units. There are a variety of configurations; row, corner units, back-to-back, etc. Apartments are conventional multi -family housing. Outside access is shared with common open space and private recreation facilities being somewhat standard. The size of units is governed by the same development standards as for conventional single family -housing. TABLE 21 City of Co l l eg�i on , Texas MINIMUM LOT AREA/HIGHER DENSITY HOUSING Lot Area Duplex Atrium Townhouse Multiplex Apts. 2 Bedrooms 3,200 2,050 2,000 1,700 1,650 3 Bedrooms 3,900 1,400 2,000 1,750 1,850 4 or more 4,400 2,900 2,600 2,150 2,050 Bedrooms Max. Floor .32 .50 .56 .60 .64 Area Ratio Max. Impervious 40% 65% 58% 56% b5% Surface Source: Consultant L E G E N D Very High Suitability High Suitability Normal Suitability Low Suitability PLATE 12 MULTI -FAMILY SUITABILITY PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS These housing styles are intended for higher aensity development and are usually accompanied with greater open space and landscaping requirements. TABLE 22 City of College Station, Texas MAXIMUM DENSITY/HIGHER DENSITY HOUSING Density Duplex Atrium own ouse-Multiplex pts. Net Density 14.3 17.6 19.8 21.5 31.2 Gross Density 10.01 12.4 14.0 16.0 24.0 Source: Consultant Net density is the number of units per acre of residential land including only the building site and required yard. Gross density is the number of units per acre including all open space, parking, streets, alleys and rights-of-way. Sites for these types of housing are more sensitive to location conditions and other development. "Look-alike" housing which approximates single-family 67 detached housing can be placed more easily near or adjacent to single-family detached development. Multiplex and some townhouses development achieves these results. Duplex, atrium, row -housing, and apartments require sites that are somewhat buffered from conventional neighborhoods. Location standards include: * Near or adjacent to major arterials. * Near or at major intersections. * Within walking distance of convenience commercial areas or contained on site as part of the development. * Within walking distance of park facilities or contained on site. * Located so as not to send traffic through lower density areas such as single-family detached housing areas). * Away from areas where drainage problems are sensitive to added run- off. * In locations associated with other complementary activity centers. Manufactured/Modular Housing: Adequate controls exist in most cities for mobile homes and mobile home parks. However, many are just facing the introduction of permanent mobile homes (manufactured housing) and modular, kit, or factory built conventional housing. Although much of this housing is readily identifiable in appearance because of the standardization of sizes, they are becoming less and less obvious in design and construction. Some larger cities are now permitting mobile homes on foundations in conventional subdivisions. This is not yet common practice, but with rising housing costs, this will become an issue (if not already) in College Station. It is recommended that single-family detached housing standards be applied if and when manufactured subdivision or individual units are utilized. Additional requirements are needed because of the nature of construction techniques and past experience with design. * Mobile homes should meet structural and building standards of the Manufactured Housing Association. * Off-street paved parking should be the same as conventional housing. * Accessory buildings should be on foundations or slabs and meet other requirements of the City. * A special or specific use permit process should be utilized to insure proper review and protection. "Look alike" provisions should be created within City ordinances to help assure that this type of nousing does not result in the creation of future deteriorated areas. Examples of look-alike provisions include: * The main body of the house should be rectangular * The main roof should be pitched (specify pitch) * The house should appear to face the street * The exterior should look like wood or masonry. * The main roof should be shingled (specify types of shingles) * Within the subdivision, there should be some variety (specify) in the types, layouts, and colors used * There should be some continuity and similarity in size of units (some sameness but not all the same) As with multi -family housing, new housing styles introduced into a City require consideration as to location and the impact on surrounding development. Manufactured housing areas should be located so that it doesn't disrupt existing development or preempt other development from taking place in adjacent areas. Mobile home parks in outlying areas have, at times, preempted other development because of the general market's view of mobile homes, such as transitory housing, rapid depreciation of mobile home units, impacts of storms on mobile homes, and inadequate maintenance in some mobile home parks. Low -Cost Housing: As mentioned, the absence of low-cost housing in the future can serve as a deterrent for future development. It has been proposed in some cities to provide incentives in local development ordinances for low-cost housing. Examples of bonus provisions are as follows: * Any unit subsidized by the federal, state or local government shall earn a bonus of one additional awelling unit. (Bonuses can be used to increase the density of a development up to a specified maximum.) * However, no development shall consist of more than 20 percent low income subsidized units. * Any unit to be offered for sale which is priced at no more than 2.5 times the current median income (as established by H.U.O.) shall earn a bonus of 2 additional awelling units. Lowered costs can also be achieved by allowing some flexibility in the design of subdivisions and use of new materials. This approach allows the developer/builder to demonstrate to the pity's satisfaction that the proposed project will meet the intent, spirit and performance of all affected ordinances. Other standards apply depending upon the type of development. Student Housing: Three types of student nousing exist in College Station, 1) apartments built primarily for students in the market, (2) housing built by Texas A&M for students only, and (3) housing converted for primary use by students. Student housing needs can differ substantially from a broader section of the housing market. Household sizes are usually small with very young children (if any). There are more cars per household, requiring more parking space. Budgets are limited. Recreation demands are higher than the average population group. Living spaces needs are often minimal. Furnishings are usually.required. Transportation may be required. Travel is often a single area of the City rather than several areas. We] No alternative development standards are suggested as part of this analysis, but the considerations mentioned above can be utilized in decision-making on planned unit development or other student housing issues. FUTURE HOUSING NEEDS The following are projections and recommendations for future housing needs. The number of units by general types of housing, the amount of land and location critera are illustrated. Even though population projections are made, the previous decade has shown how drastically household size can change, thus, impacting the future supply of needed housing units. Generally, one housing unit is needed for each household. In 1970, when three or more persons per househould was common, 50,000 people would need about 15,000 to 17,000 housing units. Today with household sizes between 2.0 and 3.0 per household, up to 25,000 housing units may be needed. If College Station's 1980 household size continues to the year 2000, an estimated 29,500 housing units wiII be needed (based on a mean household size of 2.41 persons). However, it is expected that the household size in College Station will increase as the student population becomes a less prominent part of the population (and as housing units take on more occupants to meet rising housing costs). Tenure: To estimate the impact of Texas A&M enrollment on housing, rental housing is used as a surrogate measure of student housing characteristics. The following table indicates the number of occupied units by tenure and number of persons per unit. TABLE 23 City of College Station, Texas NUMBER OF UNITS by TENURE, 1980 Number of Persons Owner Occupied Renter Occupied Total One person 367 2,112 2,479 Two 887 3,923 4,810 Three 606 1,508 2,114 Four 685 765 1,450 Five 292 132 424 Six or more 129 82 211 source: 1980 U. S. Census The average number of persons per unit for owner -occupied housing was 3.01 in 1980 and 2.02 persons for rental housing. In 198U, about 8,400 students lived in group quarters (U.S. Census 1980). The following table projects owner -occupied and renter -occupied housing for the year 2000. 70 TABLE 24 City of College Station, Texas HOUSING PROJECTIONS FOR 2000 BY TENURE Persons Units Units In Group for for Total Housing Group Quarters Renters Owners Units Resident Student Pop. Housing Units Other Population Housing Units TOTAL 11,300 13,200 4,900 111" 11 �sr.T n Source: Consultant Projections Average Persons per housing unit = 2.74 0 13,200 7,700 12,600 Assuming current portion of students in group quarters. Distribution of student renters and student owners is unknown. Assuming non -student population is composed of 30 percent renters. This would require a rate of construction of about 440 units of rental housing per year for the next 20 years as compared with a current rate of about 700 units (over the past 10 years). The owner -occupied types of units would increase from the curren� rate of almost 200 per year to about 240 per year. Type of Units: Lie detailed mix of housing alternatives could not be reasonably projected, although some tentative estimate is needed for land planning purposes. The major housing types of interest are (1) single family detached, (2) higher -density attached housing, and (3) apartment/multi-family Using the above projections as a basis, several scenarios are proposed for development mixes. TABLE 25 City of College Station, Texas PERCENT OF FUTURE HOUSING CONSTRUCTION Single Higher Dens - Family sity Attached Housing Scenario Detached Housinq Apartments Continuation of Current 100% of Minimal 100% of Pattern Owner Construction Renter Occupied Occupied Moderate Change in 80% of 20% of Owner 80% of Housing Styles Owner 20% of Renter Renter Occupied Occupied Strong Change in 60% of 40% of Owner 70% of Housing Styles Uwner 30% of Renter Renter Occupied Occupied urce: Lonsultant Estimates 71 Since there is no rational method for projecting changes in the mix of housing, projected changes in the national market and logical extensions of today's shifts in the housing market are used. By looking at the impact of these three housing scenarios, some idea of the future housing market can be envisoned. TABLE 27 City of College Ration, Texas TOTAL HOUSING PROJECTIONS FOR 2000 BY HOUSING STYLE Single Higher Dens - Family sity Attached Housing Scenario Detached Housing Apartments Continuation of Current 9,000 2,000 14,800 Pattern acres acres acres Moderate Change in 8,000 4,400 13,400 Housing Styles acres acres acres Strong Change in 7,000 6,300 12,500 Housing Styles acres acres acres Current Housing (1980) 4,195 1,546 7,214 Source: Consultant Estimates, 1980, U.S. Census Land Area Requirements: Each of the housing types mentioned above can vary in density, yielding different land acreage demands. The following projections illustrate the amount of land that will be needed for the different housing types. TABLE 27 City of College Station, Texas HOUSING PROJECTIONS FUR 2000 BY ACRES NEEDED Moaerate Strong Current Change Change Type of Housing Pattern In Styles In Styles Single -Family 1,000 80U 600 Detached acres acres acres Higher Density 50 330 560 Attached acres acres acres Apartments 465 380 325 acres acres acres TOTAL ADDITIONAL 1,515 1,510 1,485 RESIDENTIAL LAND acres acres acres TOTAL 2000 RESIDENTIAL 3,346 3,341 3,316 LAND REQUIREMENTS acres acres acres Source:-- ConsuTtant Estimates Recommended development standards for single family is 4.7 units per acre. The recommended development standards for attached single family development is 8.8 units per acre and apartments and other higher density residential uses should not exceed 16.3 acres per acre. 72 Land Use 73 74 LAND USE PLANS An evaluation of the arrangement and relationship of existing forms of land usage, such as the relationship of residential areas to recreational areas, transportation routes, and business and retail centers is necessary in order to fully understand the physical composition of an urban area. This evaluation, along with the projected population growth and environmental considerations, will be the major determinants in projecting future land use requirements and the arrangement of those uses. Although land use patterns are often determined through man's right of free choice, they are more often achieved through the perspective of economic improvement. The analysis of population in this Plan shows the growth which Burleson can expect over the next twenty years. Land uses should be located so as to best serve the needs of the population while at the same time being economical to develop and service municipal facilities such as utilities, streets, schools, and parks. Land uses can generally be divided into two basic categories - living areas and working areas. Living areas which include residential uses and those facilties such as schools, parks, and churches necessary for urban family life should be designed to be safe, quiet, and leisurely while being convenient and active. These areas should be protected from undesirable traffic and incompatible land uses while providing necessary access and services to the area residents. Working areas entail a contrasting environment and require different planning for their use. Commercial areas should oe located at high -access points, provide ample parking and circulation, and be free from encroachment by residential and industrial uses. Industrial areas should have convenient access to all modes of transportation, providing the particular utility needs of industries, with ample space for expansion. EXISTING LAND USE Before any planning for urban activities can be developed, a study must be made of past and present uses of land in the area. This study is necessary in order to establish trends in development, evaluate existing conditions and relationships, determine present problems or deficiencies, and help to define future needs Tor various types of land use. As part of this planning process, the detailed land use survey of the Burleson Planning Area was updated using available data, aerial photos, and on -ground surveys. tach parcel of land was classified under several general categories as to its present use. This information was tabulated by acreage for the Planning Area, and an analysis of the existing use of the land was developed in terms that could be related to other cities and to basic planning criteria. 75 There are certain accepted Planning Standards used as a base for all studies. As such they will be used here to analyze the adequacy of existing land use and public facilities. The averagae urban area uses about 15 acres of land for each 100 persons for all uses. This figure was based on studies of land use in other geographical areas. The following criteria is the result of this analysis. TABLE 28 City of College Station, Texas URBAN LAND USE CRITERIA Land Use %Developed Acres Per Area 100 Persons Single Family 25.0 - 40.0% 4.00 - 8.00 Two Family 1.0 - 2.0% .20 - .30 Multi -Family 1.0 - 4.0% .25 - .50 Commercial 2.0 - 5.0% .30 - .60 Schools & Parks 5.0 - 10.0% 1.00 - 2.00 Public & Semi -Public 4.0 - 8.0% .50 - 1.00 Streets & Alleys 22.0 - 30.0% 3.00 - 5.00 Light Industrial 1.5 - 3.0% .30 - .40 Heavy Industrial 2.0 - 4.0% .40 - .70 Railroad R.O.W. 3.0 - 6.0% .50 - .90 TOTAL DEVtLOPEU 100% 10.45 - 19.40 Source: ConsuTtants, from studies o u er ci ies in lexas. The City of College Station Comprehensive Development Plan was published in 1973. The population of the City was estimated at 22,000 at that time. This population was used in the analysis of land use at that time. The land use data developed during 1973 is shown on Table 29. For purposes of comparison, this data has been adjusted from that shown in the previous plan to reflect only land uses within the City limits. A comparison of land use in 1973 with the latest updated information indicates the manner in which the City has developed. The City limits has expanded by over 1,000 acres or about 8 percent. This expansion is due to annexations of developing areas to the east and south of the City. Institutional uses within the City, which includes all University -owned property, have remained essentially unchanged over this period. These areas constitute the largest single use of land in the College Station area. While institutional uses are recognized as a primary component of the City, they have been excluded from the past and present analyses of land uses. Such exclusion was done to allow closer comparisons of development in College Station with other cities in the State of Texas. '�` i\ o \ its sl�J Z \mss iIWAS AVE s •E %ABS �J J COLLEGE AV � � •' \ pR \ _J �. F4. 2818 WELLBORN i \ I EXISTING S NG \ LAND USE PLAIN s t s� (� CITY OF COLLEGE STAT 77 L E G E N D Single -Family Residential 0 Multi -Family Residential 0 Commercial Schools & Parks .J Y Other Public Industrial I ,\ I S l / f—; F7 Plan n lrp 8 Y.n.q.m.nt Con.Wt.nt. .J Y it-loi Pl.nnPlanning.r.lopm.nt Y.n.y.m.nl i D I Fort Worth T.... i . r I �I EXISTING LAND USE PLAN r CITY OF COLLEGE 77 WELLBORN 2000 STATION, TEXAS PLATE 13 NORTH N SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES r � f—; F7 Plan n lrp 8 Y.n.q.m.nt Con.Wt.nt. WAYNEW ASSOCIATES it-loi Pl.nnPlanning.r.lopm.nt Y.n.y.m.nl i D Fort Worth T.... TABLE 29 City of College Station, Texas PAST LAND USE CITY LIMITS, 1973 LAND USE TOTAL ACRES PER PERCENT OF CATEGORY ACRES 100 PERSONS DEVELOPED AREA Single -Family 1,063.56 ac. 4.83 36.86% Multi -Family 175.84 .80 6.09 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 1,239.40 ac. 5.63 42.95% TOTAL COMMERCIAL 147.25 ac. .67 5.10% Public & Semi -Public 267.60 ac. 1.22 9.27% Streets & Highways 1,221.90 5.55 42.35 TOTAL PUBLIC 1,489.50 ac. 6.77 51.62% TOTAL INDUSTRIAL 9.41 ac. .04 .33% TOTAL DEVELOPED AREA 2,885.56 ac. 13.11 100% TOTAL INSTITUTIONAL 5,136.24 ac. TOTAL LAND USE 8,021.80 ac. TOTAL VACANT TOTAL AREA 5,141.86 ac. Population - 1973 22,000 13,163.66 ac. PERCENT DEVELOPED 60.9% PERCENT UNDEVELOPED 39.1% Source: Comprehensive Development Plan, Pinnell -Anderson -Wilshire and Associates, Inc., Dallas, Texas ME Since 1973, the City of College Station has increased its population by over 15,000 people, or about 70 percent. The developed area of the City, however, has increased by less than 40 percent. This is due primarily to the large increase in multi -family housing over the past few years. Single-family residential areas have increased by only 192 acres or 21 percent while multi -family uses increased by 366 acres or 208 percent. This is another indication of the increasing density of development in the City in recent years. Existing land uses within the City and the Planning area are presented on Tables 30 and 31. The following is a brief narrative analysis for each major category of land use with a description of recent growth patterns. Residential: This category includes all land uses for residential purposes irregardless of the condition or occupancy of the structure but excludes on -campus dormitories. Sub -categories include single-family, duplex, fourplex, apartments, and mobile homes. The land use analysis indicates that College Station has 1,831 acres of all residential uses within the City. This is an increase of 592 acres or nearly 50 percent since 1973. As previously mentioned, the majority of residential growth has been in multi -family uses including duplex, fourplex, and apartments. Over 160 percent of the increase in residential uses has been in multi -family uses. Single-family uses since 1973 have declined both in terms of acres per 100 population and in percentage of total developed area in the City. In comparison with the land use criteria developed from other cities, single-family uses in College Station are well within the normal range of percentage of developed area but are low in terms of acres per 100 population. Multi -family uses have again shown a much different trend. In 1973, the amounts of multi -family uses stood at the upper ends of the ranges found in other cities, 6 percent of developed land and 0.8 acres per 100 persons. At present, all multi -family uses account for 13.55 percent of developed land and 1.45 acres per 100 persons. This is about double the area that would be expected to be found in a City of this population. The total amount of residential uses has increased as a percentage of total developed area while declining in acres per 100 population. At present, all residential uses are at the top of the percentage range expected to be found but are quite low in terms of acres per 100 persons. This again testifies to the increased density of development in recent years. Commercial: Commercial uses include retail and services, office, and various related commercial uses. Since 1973, College Station has added 230 acres of commercial uses, a 157 percent increase. Most of the recent commercial development has taken place along East University, Highway 3U, and South Highway 6. The new regional mall at Highway 30 and the East Loop has been included and accounts for a major part of this increase. 79 TABLE 30 City of College Station, Texas EXISTING LAND USE - CITY LIMITS, 1981 LAND USE TOTAL ACRES PER PERCENT OF CATEGORY ACRES 100 PERSONS DEVELOPED AREA Single -Family 1,255.43 ac. 3.35 31.24% Duplex 109.50 0.29 2.73 Fourplex 44.90 0.12 1.12 Apartments 387.43 1.03 9.64 Mobile Homes 33.91 0.09 0.84 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 1,831.17 ac. 4.88 45.57% TOTAL COMMERCIAL 377.85 ac. 1.02 9.40% Schools 99.78 ac. 0.27 2.48% Parks & Recreation 311.58 0.83 7.75 Other Public 67.32 0.18 1.68 Streets & Highways 1,262.23 3.36 31.42 TOTAL PUBLIC 1,740.91 ac. 4.64 43.33% Light Industry 50.10 ac. 0.13 1.25% Railroad 18.03 0.05 0.45 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL 68.13 ac. 0.18 1.70% TOTAL DEVELOPED AREA 4,018.06 ac. 10.71 100.00% TOTAL INSTITUTIONAL 3,845.25 ac. TOTAL LAND USE 7,863.31 ac. Population Within City Limits - 1981 37,509 Vacant Land 3,780.77 ac. Flood Plain 2,548.70 TOTAL UNDEVELOPED AREA 6,329.07 ac. TOTAL AREA 14,192.38 ac. PERCENT DEVELOPED - 55.4% PERCENT UNDEVELOPED - 44.6% Source: Update by Consultants 80 TABLE 31 City of College Station, Texas EXISTING LAND USE - PLANNING AREA, 1981 LAND USE CATEGORY TOTAL ACRES ACRES PER 100 PERSONS PERCENT OF DEVELOPED AREA Single -Family 1,730.49 ac. 4.37 34.04% Duplex 109.50 0.28 2.15 Fourplex 44.90 0.11 0.88 Apartments 387.43 0.98 7.62 Mobile Homes 53.01 0.13 1.04 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 2,325.33 ac. 5.87 45.73% TOTAL COMMERCIAL 427.93 ac. 1.08 8.42% Schools 99.78 ac. 0.25 1.96% Parks & Recreation 311.58 0.79 6.13 Other Public 70.14 0.18 1.38 Streets & Highways 1,733.04 4.37 34.09 TOTAL PUBLIC 2,214.54 ac. 5.59 43.56% Light Industry 80.40 ac. 0.20 1.58% Railroad 36.05 0.09 0.71 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL 116.45 ac. 0.29 2.29% TOTAL DEVELOPED AREA 5,084.25 ac. 12.83 100.00% TOTAL INSTITUTIONAL 3,845.25 ac. Population Within Planning Area - 1981 TOTAL LAND USE 8,929.50 ac. 39,612 Vacant Land 22,076.47 ac. Flood Plain 6,143.33 TOTAL UNDEVELOPED AREA 28,219.80 ac. TOTAL AREA 37,149.30 ac. PERCENT DEVELOPED - 24.04% Source: Update by Consultants wo PERCENT UNDEVELOPED - 75.96% According to the land use criteria, College Station should devote between two percent and five percent of its developed land to commercial uses, or about .30-.60 acres per 100 persons. In 1973, the City was at the upper end of these ranges. Increases in commercial uses over the past few years have put these levels at about double what would be expected in a city with College Station's present population. There are several reasons for the large amount of commercial activiy in the City. Several developments, such as Post Oak Mall, serve a market area larger than College Station. The University students constitute a young relatively affluent consumer group that spends more than normal populations. In addition, the University attracts a great number of visitors requiring higher than normal hotel/motel, restaurant, and similar development Public and Semi -Public: This category includes all publicly -owned property that is presently in use except University -owned property. This includes all municipal and governmental offices and facilities, schools, parks, streets, and highways. Semi-public uses such as churches, lodges, and clubs are also included. Over the past several years, public and semi-public uses in College Station have increased by 251 acres, or aoout 17 percent. The greatest increase has been in the amount of park land in the City. Schools and parks are presently at the high end of the criteria range in terms of percentage of developed area but are at the low end of the acres per 1U0 persons range. Other public and semi-public uses are very low compared to both criteria. There is only about 25 percent of the other public land that should be expected in the City. This is probably due to the public facilities classified as Institutional and to the governmental services which are located in Bryan rather than College Station. Streets and highways always account for a surprisingly high portion of the developed area of a city. In 1973, however, the City of College Station had an unusually large amount of land devoted to roads. This can be accounted for by the large rights-of-way of the loops around the City. Since that time, population growth has caught up with this use. At present, streets are only slightly high as a percentage of the total developed area and are well within the range of acres per 100 persons. Industrial: This category of land use includes light industry (light manufacturing, storage, repair), heavy industry (heavy manufacturing which may cause potential danger or nuisance due to noise, odor, dust, or glare), and railroads. In 1973, there was virtually no industry located in College Station. While industrial development has increased in recent years, there is only about 10 percent of the industry in College Station that would be expected in a city of this size. Developed Area: The total developed area is the sum of all the preceeding categories. At present, College Station has 4,000 acres of developed urban land within its city limits. This is an increase of 1,115 acres or nearly 40 percent since 1973. At that time, about 36 percent of the City (not including the University -owned land) was developed. At present, 43 percent of the area of the City is developed in urban uses. The increased density of development can again be shown by the change in developed area compared to population. Normally, a City the size of College Station would have about 15 acres of total developed land per 100 population. In 1973, the City as using 13.11 acres per 100 persons, but this has decreased to 10.72 acres per 100 persons at present. If the City had continued its growth sincd 1973 at the same density, it would have another 890 acres or 22 percent more developed land than presently found. LAND USE DEMANDS The amount of land that will oe necessary for various uses in the future will be determined largely by market demand. Markets are defined by both income levels and population. It has been shown that there will be a broad range of incomes in College Station in the future, but income levels are expected to rise. These ranges of incomes have already been taken into consideration in the estimates of housing markets. The size of the population will be the primary determinant in demands for other uses in the future. By the year 2000, the population of College Station is expected to increase by about 35,000 people to a total of 71,650. Estimates of demand for future land uses nave been made on the basis of this anticipated population growth. It should be remembered that these figures do not necessarily represent absolute demand but only estimates under typical conditions. Actual future changes in income levels could appreciably affect these markets. These estimates should, therefore, be taken as an order of magnitude guide to insure a proper balance of land use to serve future needs. The Housing Study has provided an analysis of housing needs in the future. It is estimated that housing markets from the present until the year 2000 will demand about 4,805 single-family residences, 454 duplex and fourplex units, 7,586 apartment units, and about 84 mobile homes. These are in addition to existing units. At normal densities, these new residences will require about 1,000 acres for single-family residential, 50 acres for duplex and fourplex, 4b5 acres for apartments, and 7 acres for mobile homes. This is a total of 1,522 acres of new residential uses. Combined with existing residential land, this represents about 3,840 acres of residential land in the future. Demands for future commercial development have been analyzed in another section of this report. It is estimated that in the future each person in the market will support about 110 square feet of commercial building space. This is estimated at 65 square feet of shopping (3.12 million square feet total), 28 square feet of office space (2.0 million square feet total), and 17 square feet of hotels (1.2 million square feet total). The ratio of 5.3 square feet of land for each one square foot of building is used to include parking, landscaping, and building setbacks. This ratio gives a total of about b90 acres of shopping, 200 acres of office uses, and 80 acres of hotel/motel. With present commercial uses, a total of 970 acres of commercial land will be required in the future. 83 Tnn� r `fn City of College Station, Texas FUTURE LAND USE - PLANNING AREA, 2000 LAND USE TOTAL ACRES PER PERCENT OF CATEGORY ACRES 100 PERSONS DEVELOPED AREA Single -Family 2,725 ac. 3.80 28.81% Duplex 145 0.21 1.53 Fourplex 60 0.08 0.63 Apartments 850 1.19 8.99 Mobile Homes 60 0.08 0.63 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 3,840 ac. 5.36 40.59% Retail 690 ac. 0.96 7.29% Services & Offices 200 0.28 2.11 Hotel/Motel 80 0.11 0.85 TOTAL COMMERCIAL 970 ac. 1.35 10.25% Schools 170 ac. 0.24 1.80% Parks & Open Space 1,240 1.73 13.11 Other Public 130 0.18 1.37 Streets & Highway 2,610 3.64 27.59 TOTAL PUBLIC 4,150 ac. 5.79 43.87% Light Industry 235 ac. 0.33 2.49°% Heavy Industry 215 0.30 2.27 Railroad 50 0.07 0.53 TOTAL INDUSTRIAL 500 ac. 0.70 5.29% TOTAL DEVELOPED AREA 9,460 ac TOTAL INSTITUTIONAL 3,845 ac. TOTAL LAND USE 13,305 ac. Vacant Land 18,415 ac. Flood Plain 5,430 TOTAL UNDEVELOPED AREA 23,845 ac. TOTAL AREA 37,150 ac. PERCENT DEVELOPED - 35.8% Source: Projections by Consultants 84 13.20 100.00011, Future Population Within Planning Area - 2000 71,650 PERCENT UNDEVELOPED - 64.2% EAST SOUTH WEST PLATE 14 L E G E N D Residential 0 Multi -Family Commercial Institutional O Industrial Open Space 0 PLAN ALTERNATIVES PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS School land will be required at the rate of about 0.2 acres per 100 persons to meet presently accepted standards. Existing land plus the 70 acres required by the additional population in the future will provide about 170 acres of school land. Land will also be required for other public uses at about 0.2 acres per 100 persons, or about 60 acres to meet the needs of the added population. This, plus existing land, will provide about 130 acres of other public and semi-public uses. Developed park and recreation space will be required at the rate of about 0.75 acres per 100 persons, or about 27U acres. With existing parks this will provide 537 acres of developed park lands. In order to meet recommended standards for park lands, additional lands should be maintained as undeveloped open space. The open spaces could include flood plains, greenbelts, and other environmental areas. Acquisition of open space is recommended at about one acre per 100 persons or about 710 acres. Total parks and open space will, therefore, make up about 1,240 acres in the future. Streets will make up about 25 percent of the land that is developed in the future. Future population growth will require an additional 877 acres of land for streets, alleys, and highways. Needs for future industrial uses have been analyzed in the Industrial Development section of this report. Industrial uses have been based on projected employment, anticipated industry types, and intensity of uses and employees. It is estimated that by the year 2000, there will be about 6,100 industrial employees in the City. Industries are expected to be fairy intensive with most industries providing 26-40 workers per acre. Light industrial uses, including high technology and research activities, will require about 235 acres of land in the future. Less intensive heavy industrial uses, ranging from 12-26 workers per acre, will require about 215 acres of land. It is anticipated that some additional land will be required in the future for railroad spurs, switching areas, and related facilities. The right-of-way of the existing Southern Pacific main line along Wellborn Road plus these new requirements, will require about 50 acres of railroad in the future. These developed uses will require about 9,460 acres of land in the future, an 86 percent increase over the amount of land being used at present. In addition to developed uses, it is estimated that markets for future growth will demand that an additional 5-8 percent will be platted and in the process of being developed but not yet actually used. This demand will require about 473-757 acres of platted but vacant land. Institutional uses, which include all of the University owned land, is assumed to remain at 3,845 acres. PLAN ALTERNATIVES There are basically three alternatives for the future direction of growth for the City of College Station. These alternatives each represent a direction the City could take in expanding its urban area and controlling development. Growth toward the west would be away from present development in the City. Flood plains are limited to an area in close proximity of the Brazos River. However, there is no sewer service into this portion of the City at this time, and the addition of sewer service into the area would be a mayor capital investment for the City. Another factor limiting growth in this direction is Easterwood Airport and its corresponding noise and construction limitations. The major sewage facilities are presently located to the east of the State Highway b Bypass. Growth toward the east would take optimum advantage of these systems. Flooding in the area, along Carters Creek, would pose serious problems for develoment. Most industry is presently located in this direction, which could cause conflicts with future residential development. The present development trend is toward the south along State Highway 6. This trend will be strengthened by the planned development of an extensive residential and industrial development south of the City. Growth toward the south would require extensions of existing utility systems along with new utility facilities. Southerly growth would tend to futher extend the traffic congestion along Texas Avenue and State Highway 6. Commercial Of COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT Commercial activity and development in College Station consists of retail sales, services, offices, hotels, motels, and general commercial development. Although commercial development is usually considered a secondary rather than the basic part of the economy, much of the income spent on commercial services is "imported" from outside of the region, University employees and students. In the past, the City has not been the commercial center of the region. Recent growth is turning this role around. PRESENT CONDITIONS Most of the establishments and commercial space in College Station is devoted to retail sales. There are about 250 retail establishments and 1.6 million square feet of retail space (not including the new mall which will add another 1.0 million square feet). This is over two-thirds of the total establishments and 60 percent of all commercial building space. Hotels and motels comprise the second largest category of commercial space with almost 50,000 square feet in 11 hotel/motels. These establishments are important to the local economy in terms of the property tax base, the services they provide, and the hotel/motel tax (currently about $255,000 per year). Visitors also provide additional revenue from sales to College Station which provides additional sales tax revenue for the City. Services and offices overlap considerably since many services (legal and other professional services) are provided rrom offices. Likewise, financial services, insurance and real estate are provided from offices rather than retail -types of establishments. These three areas comprise the remaining 630,000 square feet of commerial space. The following table shows the mumber of establishments and space in College Station. This table does not include the mall since it was not open at the time of the survey. TABLE 33 City of College Station, Texas TOTAL COMMERCIAL SPACE, 1982 Commercial No. o quare Percent Category Establishments Feet of Space Retail 252 1,582,05U 59.2% Hotel/Motel 11 456,150 17.1 Services 6U 211,600 7.9 Office 27 220,825 8.3 Finance, Ins., meal Estate 25 199,900 7.5 TOTAL 375 2,670,525 100.0% Source: Survey by Consultants 91 Retail space, as mentioned, is an important aspect of College Station's economy. It contributes $1.5 million to City tax revenues and about one-fourth of the City's property tax. The following table shows the number of establishments and size of various retail groups: TABLE 34 City of Col egl e ation, Texas RETAIL SPACE, 1982 Total Retail 252 1,582,050 100.0% Source: Survey by Consultants The largest retail group is miscellaneous retail with 77 establishments and 26.8 percent of the total retail space. The next largest group is eating and drinKing establishments with 19.7 percent of all retail space. The opening of the mall will greatly increase the amount of general merchandise space and its importance to the local economy. Apparel, miscellaneous retail and eating/ drinking places will also be increased. Commercial acreage in College Station, including the mall, utilizes 377.65 acres. This is almost 10 percent of developed land which is a considerably larger percentage than found in other Texas cities. College Station has unique characteristics which explain the large percentage of commercial land. First is the relatively high density of residential development. Second, the University population is younger and more consumer -oriented. Third, much of the recent commercial development draws from a larger retail market than just College Station. Over the past decade there has been about $43 million in commercial construction in College Station. The last few years have been consistently more than the average over the last decade in terms of construction value. No. of Square Percent Retail Group Establishments Feet of Space Building Materials 9 148,475 9.4% General Merchandise 6 278,800 17.6 Food Stores 20 154,300 9.8 Auto Parts & Service 33 90,400 5.7 Apparel 20 76,250 4.8 Furniture 6 61,800 3.9 Eating/Drinking 72 312,100 19.7 Drug Store 3 18,200 1.2 Liquor 6 18,150 1.1 Misc. Retail 77 1,582,050 26.8 Total Retail 252 1,582,050 100.0% Source: Survey by Consultants The largest retail group is miscellaneous retail with 77 establishments and 26.8 percent of the total retail space. The next largest group is eating and drinKing establishments with 19.7 percent of all retail space. The opening of the mall will greatly increase the amount of general merchandise space and its importance to the local economy. Apparel, miscellaneous retail and eating/ drinking places will also be increased. Commercial acreage in College Station, including the mall, utilizes 377.65 acres. This is almost 10 percent of developed land which is a considerably larger percentage than found in other Texas cities. College Station has unique characteristics which explain the large percentage of commercial land. First is the relatively high density of residential development. Second, the University population is younger and more consumer -oriented. Third, much of the recent commercial development draws from a larger retail market than just College Station. Over the past decade there has been about $43 million in commercial construction in College Station. The last few years have been consistently more than the average over the last decade in terms of construction value. TABLE 35 City of College Station, Texas COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION, 1971 - 1980 Year Number of Permits Value 1971 21 $ 863,434 1972 62 2,079,220 1973 87 7,100,637 1974 78 2,321,316 1975 75 1,972,874 1976 101 2,808,315 1977 121 4,655,365 1978 13U 7,584,960 1979 130 5,118,647 1980 121 8,394,531 1981 284 23,260,835 1982 (thru April) 172 11,9bO,304 Source: City of College Station Commercial Analysis: The various types of commercial activity are examined using different approaches to estimate future needs and impacts. Retail sales and space needs are calculated from historical trends. Services and offices are projected based on employment data. Hotel and motel needs are difficult to project, although it can be presumed that as Texas A&M expands and the local economy diversifies, the demand for hotel/motel space will increase. Other commercial space needs generally follow growth of the local economy. As mentioned previously in this report, there is no method of accounting for movement to or from College Station by a major employer. Retail Analysis: Several sources of data were examined to determine current eves of activity, changes over time, and comparisons with other retail markets. In 1977 when the U.S. Census of Retail Trade was conducted, College Station experiences reported sales of $69.4 million from 177 establishments. The largest retail category in College Station was Food Stores with 27.5 percent of all sales. The next largest was eating and drinking establishments with 14.0 percent of the sales. General merchandise establishments followed with 12.2 percent. (Since these figures are primarily estimates based on Brazos County figures, care should be taken in using them.) TABLE 36 City of College -Station, Texas TOTAL RETAIL SALES, 1977 Retail No. of Sales Percent Group Establishments (000's) of Space Building Materials 8 $ b, % hardware, garden supply General Merchandise 1 --- 12.2 (dept. stores) Food Stores 16 --- 27.5a Auto Dealers 13 $ 4,053 5.8 Gas Stations 15 $ 5,514 7.9 Apparel 12 $ 2,423 3.5 Furniture 10 $ b22 9.0 Eating/Drinking 43 $ 9,700 14.0 Drug Store 5 $ --- 3.3a Misc. Retail 51 $ 6,245 9.0 TOTAL RETAIL 177 $69,440 100.0% Source: U. S. Census of Retail Trade, Estimated from Brazos County percentages. Retail sales per capita in 1977 totaled $2,210 per person. This data is reported by the establishments, not the consumer, so it is possible to examine how well or poorly the local market is doing in competition with other market areas. The largest category of expenditures was food stores with $722 per person. Since the same population base is used for all calculations, other data is comparable to the total retail sales table. In comparing retail sales per capita, College Station shows a substantially lower expenditure than either Bryan or the State of Texas. In 1977, bryan experienced about twice the retail sales per capita as College Station. Brazos County also experienced a lower retail sales rate than the State; almost 25 percent less. Tne following table contains retail sales expenditures in 1977 for the comparison areas. 94 TABLE 37 City of College Station, Texas RETAIL SALES PER CAPITA, 1977 Retail College Group Station Bryan SMSA Texas Building Materials $ 171 $ 380 $ 253 $ 187 hardware, garden supply General Merchandise --- 530 482* 480 Food Stores --- 830 570 794 Auto Dealers 129 1,189 638 918 Gasoline 176 254 192 281 Furniture 20 214 114 167 Eating/Drinking 309 297 264 300 Drug Stores --- 101 107* 107 Misc. Retail 199 303 226 303 TOTAL $2,210 $4,398 $3,025 $3,737 ource: U.S. Census of Retail rade From this information, two hypotheses can be developed. First, College Station has a lower per capita expenditure than comparison areas because the persons in College Station spend less (lower income, different consumer behavior). The second hypotheses is that some of the retail dollars from College Station are being spent in other market areas, in bryan, in Waco, or at hometowns of students. The first hypothesis is discounted because income data shows that College Station's income is not lower than the State, but considerably higher. In fact, Bryan's median income is lower than College Station, yet there are more retail dollars spent in Bryan. The following table shows that an estimated $9.67 million was lost in 1979 to competing markets. 95 TABLE 38 City of College Station, Texas RATIO OF EFFECTIVE BUYING INCUME, 1979 Market EBI Retail Sales Ratio Southwest Market Bryan $165,348,744 321,648 $99,387,010 226,OU3 College Station 211,531 117,460 Estimated Leakage from College Station Retail = $9.67 (8.2% retail Source: Survey of Buying Power; Estimates by Consultants .601 .703 .555 million of 1979 sales) The Southwest Market (includes all surrounding states) has a ratio of Effective Buying Income (income minus taxes) and retail sales of .601. This means that 60 cents of every dollar of buying income is spent on retail sales. Since the market area is so large, it is unlikely that there is any significant "leakage" of retail dollars out of the region. This provides a good comparison ratio for examining local markets. In Bryan, the ratio in 1979 was .703 about 17 percent higher than the regional ratio. In College Station, the ratio is .555. This indicates that some portion of the retail market is leaving College Station retailers. If College Station increases retail sales to the regional ratio, an additional $9.7 million would be spent locally. If the ratio is increased to that currently experienced in Bryan, an additional $31.2 million would be spent in College Station. This would be an increase of 26.6 percent over current retail sales. Since 1979, there has been considerable expansion of the retail establishments in College Station. Only limited comparative data is available to indicate shifts in retail sales. From 1977 to 1979, sales for various retail groups changed substantially. Major shifts occurred in food stores, eating and drinking establishments, general merchandise, automotive sales, and drug store sales. While Bryan declined by about 2.5 percent, College Station increased sales by 2.5 times. TABLE 39 City of Co 1 egT- elation, Texas PER CAPITA RETAIL SALES, 1977 - 1979 (in thousands of dollars) Retail Group 1977 1979 Uoliege College Bryan Station Bryan Station Food Stores $5,289 $1,310 $5,229 $3,324 Eating/Drinking 1,521 71 849 494 General Merchandise 707 -- 652 490 Furniture 235 12 287 36 Automotive 894 22 1,492 215 Drug Store 169 64 94 556 TOTAL $8,815 $1,479 $8,603 $5,115 Source: Census of RetailTrade More recent data shows that retail sales have expanded rapidly for the Bryan/College Station SMSA. From 1975 to 1980, retail sales increased by 133 percent. Adjusting these figures for inflation, retail sales showed a real growth of 12 percent for the five year period. Strong growth trends were evident in building materials, furniture, liquor, miscellaneous retail, and eating/drinking establishments. Slower growth trends occurred in general merchandise, auto dealers, and food stores to a limited extent. TABLE 40 City of College Station, Texas RETAIL SALES, 1975-1980, BRYAN/COLLEGE STATION SMSA (in thousands of dollars) Annual Growth Retail Rate Group 1975 1980 in 1975 Dollars Building Materials $ 17,551 $ 54,110 18% hdwr, garden supply General Merchandise 31,447 53,176 5% (dept. stores) Food Stores 48,345 102,837 10% Auto Dealers 49,342 98,783 8% Apparel 7,066 17,100 13% Furniture 6,540 19,981 18% Eating/Drinking 15,213 42,664 16% Drug Store 3,022 6,632 10% Liquor 2,972 9,035 18% Misc. Retail 16,067 56,643 21% TOTAL $197,563 $46U,951 12% Source: State Comptroller's Office 97 Services and Office Space: Services and office space account for 432,000 square teet 16.2 percent of commercial space in College Station. Services include such commercial uses as laundries, beauty shops, personnel agencies, computer services, rental services, auto repair, other repair shops, motion pictures, recreation/ amusement services, health services, social -services, and other professional services. General offices may include any of the above services and were inventories as a separate category where buildings functioned mostly as office buildings. The services and the finance, insurance and real estate industries are growing sectors in the National and State economies. These industries have been growing at an annual rate of about 12 percent in brazos County since 1974, as measured by growth in personal income. In terms of employment, the growth rate has been about 8 percent annually from 1974 through 1980. Higher growth rates were experienced in mining, construction, transportation and utilities, and retail trade. This indicates that the demand for office space is probably lagging behind growth in other sectors. As a portion of total employment, these two sectors remain about what they were in 1974. The following table shows changes in employment since 1974. Hotel/Motel Development: No generally accepted projection techniques are available for ote and motel development without detailed survey work of current demand and usage. Even with this information, projections can only be made for very short range, project -oriented purposes. There are 11 hotels and motels in College Station (as of the date of the field survey) with almost onehalf million square feet of space (this includes primarily rooms and lobby space, not restaurant facilities). There are two major hotel projects underway at the time of this survey. The rate of growth of the hotel/motel tax revenues is indicative of the growth and potential for future expansion. From 1977 to 1981, the revenues grew at a rate of 25 percent annually. This is a direct indicator (when adjusted for inflation) of hotel/motel usage. In addition, space was added to the inventory during this time which helps account for this rapid rate of growth. It is likely that this strong demand has yet to be fully met, but occupancy rates would need to be examined to determine if this is the case. Other Commercial Space: The primary commercial space includes wholesaling activities, construction companies, transportation businesses, contractors, and miscellaneous other commercial activities. These activities comprise only a small portion of the total commercial space and are included in other appropriate categories, retail, services or offices. College Station at one main time had a Central business District located around College Avenue and University Drive adjacent to Texas A&M called Northgate. It now functions more as an older, satellite business center serving the University and surrounding residences. It is also a specialty center in that it contains specialized retail and service establishments to serve particular departments and schools within the University. The current commercial system contains the following elements: .• * Satellite Centers 1. Old Centers: Eastgate & Northgate 2. Retail Centers a. Culpepper & Redman Terrace on Texas Avenue with 90,000 and 160,000 square feet b. Woodstone Highway 30 Center with 80,000 square feet. c. Post Oak Mall at Highway 30 and the East Bypass 3. Specialty Centers a. University Center/North side with 51,000 square feet b. University Center/South side with 40,500 square feet c. On -Campus shops 4. Magnet Centers a. Texas Avenue Center with 160,000 square feet b. K -Mart Center with 94,000 square feet c. Fed -Mart Center with 50,000 square feet d. Skaggs Center with 121,000 square feet. 5. Office/Employment Centers a. Texas Avenue: 707 Center with 94,000 square feet * Southwest Place 1. Highway -Oriented Centers 2. Development along Texas Avenue * Convenience Centers 1. 10 independent centers with services areas of less than one square mile 2. Convenience centers within all other commercial centers and along Texas Avenue The retail centers in College Station range in size from very small centers to the regional mall. The specialty centers contain no magnet stores and are about 50,000 square feet in size. They contain mixed uses including eating and drinking establishments, financial services, and specialty retail. These are the newest retailing concept in College Station. The magnet centers rely on one major aiscount, grocery, or department store for generating traffic. Only one office center is found in College Station at this time and it contains both retail and office space, although offices comprise the bulk of development. Highway oriented centers have not developed on the tast Bypass or on other highway areas. Texas Avenue contains most of the uses that would typically be found in a highway -oriented center. The convenience centers consist mostly of a convenience food store, laundromat or cleaning centers, beauty/barber shop, and an eating establishment. M Some of the imbalances and deficiencies in the network of commercial centers will be solved by the regional mall. Much of the comparison shopping absent from the market before will exist in this mall. The services areas of all shopping in College Station are compact. The orientation to Texas Avenue will continue to be a problem for those without immediate access to commercial centers. All developed areas of the City are currently served by adequate shopping facilities. Future development to the south and east will create pressure for development at key locations along the East Bypass and in the "golden triangle". Suitable locations will be needed for convenience centers near or within future residential areas. These should be closely linked with the transportation network. Development Trends: The recent addition to the commercial network in the City would indicate the possibliity of additional specialty center development (small centers with no magnet stores) are mixed use development (multi-family, offices, retail, convenience goods and services). Additionally, there is a potential market for magnet centers with a large building supply establishment as the anchor store. An entertainment center with similar uses to Texas Avenue is another possiblity, given the dollars spent in College Station and the past growth of this retail sector. The East Bypass is the most obvious location for this type of center. There are several other magnet center aevelopments that are not yet located in College Station and these could occur as the market grows. Automobile sales are another expansion area that will likely occur in College Station. Highway locations and large sites are current practices in new car sales showrooms. FUTURE COMMERCIAL MARKET The following utilizes the analysis presented above to make projections for future types and amounts of commercial development. Retail: College Station is projected to become the dominant retail center within Brazos County. First, the location of the new mall and the recent construction of new centers makes these retail locations more attractive to the consumer. Second, the presence of a concentrated population group around the University campus provides an additional market not present in other parts of the region. Finally, there is adequate land for expansion of commercial activities away from Texas Avenue. These new locations, such as around the Mall, will produce spin-off development that enhance the competitive advantage of new commercial activity. It is also likely that higher aensity housing will follow locations of retail centers, providing nearby consumers. Retail sales are expected to grow in constant collars at a rate slightly higher than population growth. This should occur as the University population becomes a smaller proportion of the population. The types of industries expected to broaden the economic base should contribute to an increasing median family income. Since 1972, household income has grown at a rate of about 7.5 percent in College Station, which is a declining rate in constant dollars. The prevalence of government employees and the growth in student population accounts formost of this situation. 100 L E G E N D Very High Suitability High Suitability Normal Suitability 0 Low Suitability PLATE 15 COMMERCIAL SUITABILITY PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS By 2000 there will be a projected population of 71,000 and about 27,000 households. This will provide $675 million in total buying income for College Station. Total retail sales will range from $375 million to $475 million (in 1975 dollars), depending upon the strength of College Station as a retail center. It is expected that the amount will be about 40U million. In current dollars, this amount of retail sales will require 4.7 million square feet of retail space. This is an additional 3.1 million square feet or an additional 155,900 square feet per year. In land area, this amount of retail development will require another 275 to 350 acres, depending upon the type of retail development. Services and Office Space This sector of the commercial economy is projected to grow within the StatTe of Texas at a higher rate during the next decade (Texas 2000 Commission, Texas Past and Future, 1981). At the current rate of growth, as measured by employment, total office demand would increase to 2.0 million square feet by the year 2000. At a rate of 9.0 percent annually, 2.4 million square feet would be needed. With these projected parameters of growth, the total land are needed would range from 185 to 220 acres of office development. This would add an additional 127 to 162 acres of new office development. Hotel/Motel: A conservative projection for this sector of commercial devel- opment is the utilization of population growth as the indicator for total demand. This yields 1.2 million square feet of hotel/motel facilities or an additional 754,000 square feet. This would add an additional 4 or b large facilities. This will require about 30 to 40 acres of additional sites. 101 TABLE 41 City of College Station, Texas PROJECTED COMMERCIAL ACTIVITY Commercial 1981 2000 Type Sq. Ft. Acres Sq. Ft. Acres Retail Development 1,582,050 295 4,700,000 650-725 Services & Office 632,325 58 2,000,000 185-220 Space Hotel/Motel Uev. 456,150 25 1,200,000 75- 85 TOTAL 2,670,525 378 7,900,000 910-1030 Source: Consultant Commercial Employment As a result of commercial development, employment will be added in retail and wholesale trade, services, and hotel/motel facilities. In addition, new construction will provide additional employment. Commercial construction will average about $12 million to $16 million over the next 20 years (in 1982 dollars). This will provide 250 to 500 local construction jobs. Trade employment should increase by about 4,200 jobs based on an average of 1 employee for each 750 square feet of retail/commercial space. Office employment usually has one employee for each 200 to 400 square feet. Office workers will increase by about 4,600 employees, using the mid -point of one employee for each 300 square feet. Hotel/motel development will add an estimated 500 additional gobs, based on current employment rates by hotels in Brazos County. 102 Industrial 103 104 INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT College Station is an integral part of the regional economy, although the individual characteristics of the City set it apart from the region; and to some degree, determine the region's future. The following describes College Station in terms of its regional interrelationships, natural resources, transportation, and labor. College Station can be viewed from several market settings and various region sizes. Within 200 miles are the major cities of Austin, Dallas/Fort Worth, Houston, San Antonio, Shreveport and others. The Southwest market includes Arkansas, Louisana, New Mexico, OKlahoma, and Texas. This market has expanded more rapidly than the rest of the nation. In Brazos County (the Bryan/College Station SMSA), there are 28,000 households and a buying power of over $600 million. College Station serves primarily as an educational, service, and residential center for the region, with a growing trade economy. It has not served as an industrial center, with relatively little in the way of basic employment. In relation to the State of Texas, College Station is a major university site with more resources for research and development activities than any other university in the State system. More recently, mining activities have expanded rapidly and have affected the local and regional economy. The immediate market for College Station includes the 11 surrounding counties. This area contains about 250,000 persons with buying power of over $1.5 billion. All of these areas are within about 50 miles of College Station. The obvious comparison and competition for this market is between Bryan and College Station. Current growth in population and retail sales is favoring College Station. The Central Texas Market is within 100 miles of College Station and includes the Cities of Waco, Temple, Austin, and Houston. The effective buying power is over $35 billion. (NOTE: The above market descriptions are adapted from the Bryan -College Station Chamber of Commerce reports.) NATURAL RESOURCES Natural resources in the region include minerals, agriculture, oil, natural gas, climate, soil, topography, and geology. Minerals: Mineral production had not played a major role in the economy of the ee rr gion until 1978. The value of crude oil and natural gas production in Brazos County has increased from about $900,000 in 1974 to almost $75 million in 1980. Agriculture: Agriculture has declined substantially as part of the local economy with lower cash receipts from farms and ranches, decreased cattle and hog production, and reduction in the number of acres harvested. Products include cotton, sorghums, and soybeans. 105 Climate: Because of the proximity to the Gulf of Mexico, the climate is predominantly maritime. The warm, moist air is felt strongly in spring and summer with autumn and winter being influenced by air masses from the north. Summers are quite warm with mild winters. Humidity is generally fairly high because of the maritime influence. Soils and Topography: Brazos County topography is defined by the two rivers that border it, the Brazos on the west and the Navasota on the east. The County is divided into two watersheds. The general slope is from the northwest to the southeast. The elevation of the uplands are 300 to 400 feet with the river bottoms from 200 to 300 feet. Two general soil groups are found in the county; upland soils and bottomland soils. Three-fourths of the County contains upland soils which are derived from underlying sedimentary deposits. The upland soils are fine, sandy and clay loams. The upland soils are underlain by impervious, plastic, gray and yellow subsoils. The bottomland and terrace soils are alluvial deposits. They occupy relatively narrow areas conforming to the direction of the rivers and large creeks. The soils are of clay and fine sandy loam. They are generally reddish in color, but vary from light reddish brown to dark chocolate red. The College Station area consists of mostly Tabor-Lufkin Soils. These soils are pale brown acid sandy loam to loamy surface, 8 to 15 inches thick. They overlay brownish yellow or yellowish brown very fine and very plastic blocky acid clay. The surface soil is crusty and tight when dry. Lufkin soil is grayish brown soil which is very firm and very plastic blocky to massive acid clay. The soil is neutral below about 40 inches. Geology: Two major yeological formations exist in Brazos County; the Yegua Group and the Jackson Group. Both are basal sandstones, with the Jackson group overlying the Yegua group. TRANSPORTATION The transportation system in the region consists of highways, air service, roads, bus service, and motor freight. Mayor Highways include State Highway 6, . Highway 190, State Highway 21, and East Bypass (State Highway 6 Loop), the Bypass (FM 2818), and State Highway 30. Air service is available at Easterwood Airport located two miles west of College Station. It is owned and operated by Texas A&M. There are three 5,000-foot paved, all-weather runways. Two of the runways are equipped with approach lighting systems. Facilities include FAA control tower, FAA radio communication and Flight Service Station, and an Omni range ILS Navigation aid. Commercial flights are available to Houston and Dallas/Fort Worth; with five flights to Houston daily and nine flights to D/FW (as of 4/1/81) on Rio Airways. Several air freight services are also available at Easterwood. 106 The area is served by two major railroads; the Missouri -Pacific and the Southern Pacific. The Santa Fe operates a main line in the southern portion of Brazos County. The Missouri -Pacific makes regular stops three days a week on southbound trains originating in Waco. Most other trains on tnis route have no regular stops in this area. The Southern Pacific lines service Bryan -College Station with a route which originates in Houston and makes connections at Hearne north of the area. This route is reversed every other day. Bus service is provided by five buses including Arrow Coach Bus Lines and Greyhound. There is a terminal in both College Station (on Texas Avenue) and in downtown Bryan. Transportation Enterprises, Inc. is an extensive bus service that provides subscription services to and from various points within the region. It primarily services the Texas A&M campus. Motor freight services are provided by six common carriers. They ship parcels to all points outside of Texas with no shipments within Texas. LABOR The labor market is described in two parts; the primary labor market within Brazos County and the secondary market from adjoining counties. The primary labor market contained 41,390 persons in 1980 with about 3.5 percent unemployment. The primary and secondary labor markets contain 71,502 persons with about 60 percent in Brazos County. The following table shows the basic characteristics of the labor force in Brazos County for 1980. TABLE 42 Bryan -College Station SMSA LABOR FORCE CHARACTERISTICS DATA ESTIMATED ANNUAL AVERAGE, 1980 Labor Percent Category Force Employment Unemployment Unemployed IUIAL 41,390 39,390 1,460 35 Male 24,865 24,201 664 2.7% Female 16,525 15,729 796 4.8% TOTAL MINORITY 8,101 7,600 501 6.2% Black 4,704 4,293 411 8.7% Spanish Amer. 3,224 3,156 68 2.1% Other Min. 173 151 22 12.7% Source: Texas Employment Commission, Bryan, Texas. 107 Labor force participation in College Station, as in other parts of the nation, has increased over the past two decades. In 1960, 31.7 percent of the population were included in the labor torce. This grew to 35.9 percent in 1970, and an estimated 44.3 percent in 1980. This has happened as more females entered the labor force. Over half of the females over 15 years of age are now in the labor force in the United States, as compared with less than 40 percent 20 years ago. The principal industry employing persons in College Station is government. This category includes University employees along with local, Federal and other State employees. The following table subtracts out government employees and considers the balance of the labor force and the types of indusries that employ them. TABLE 43 Bryan/Col el-ge ation SMSA PERCENT OF EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY, DECEMBER 1980 Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation/Com- munication/Utilities Trade Finance, Ins., Real Estate Services & Miscellaneous Government (not included in percentages) TOTAL Comparable College Other SMSA's Station in Texas SMSA Texas 2.7% 2.2% 5.0% 7.0 8.9 8.6 29.5 11.7 21.4 6.3 6.7 7.4 28.0 31.7 29.6 5.4 5.3 7.0 21.0 19.9 20.9 (42.4) (17.3) 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Source: Texas Employment Commission Government was not included in the percentages to consider non -university employment in comparison with other cities. Comparison SMSA's include Killeen -Temple, Longview -Marshall, Sherman -Denison, Tyler, ano Waco. In the College Station SMSA, Trade and Services dominate employment. This illustrates that government employment functions as a basic industry by importing dollars to support services and trade. In comparison with similar sized SMSA's in Texas, College Sation has a stronger employment base in the categories shown in Table 44. 108 TABLE 44 Bryan/College tation SMSA COMPARISON OF BRYAN/COLLEGE STATION SMSA WITH SIMILAR SIZED SMSA's IN TEXAS Stronger Employment Base Weaker Employment Base Industry and Location Quotient Industry and Location Quotient Construction 1.27 Manufacturing 0.40 Trade 1.13 Mining 0.81 Transportation 1.16 Com., Utilities Source: Texas Employment Commission Location Quotient is the ratio of the Bryan -College Station SMSA percentage and other SMSA's percent of employment by industry. The larger the number, the more "exporting" of goods or services that is taking place. Smaller number, less than 1.0 indicate importing of goods and services. Comparison with State-wide employment indicates similar findings, with the exception of Transportation, Communication, and Utilities which has a location quotient of .90 when compared with Texas. This only indicates that urban places have more importance in this particular industry. The. secondary labor market includes persons from Burleson, Grimes, Madison, Robertson, and Washington Counties. The total labor force in January 1981 was 29,050 persons with 1,033 (3.7 percent) unemployed. Unemployment has remained at this level during the past five years with 12 percent increase in the total labor force from 1976 to 1980. Several sources of new labor particpants will oe needed for future economic growth. These include: * New entrants into the labor force. * Commuters from surrounding areas. * Undeveloped potential workers. New entrants to the labor force will come as the population increases. Population growth and economic expansion generally go hand in hand. A ,fob added to the local economy in basic industries will usually have a multiplier effect on the rest of the local economy. A rule -of -thumb often used is that each basic industry fob will produce 1.5 to 2.0 jobs in service industries. Studies of the impact of universities on the towns in which they are located have shown that each University job acts to produce from 1.4 to 2.2 fobs in the rest of the community. 109 Basic industries, however, should not be looked upon as strictly heavy industries with strength in manufacturing. The concept of basic industry includes any economic activity that imports dollars. Tourism, government employment, universities, national headquarters, and any other business with concerns tha extend beyond the borders of the City are importing money. As a market center, even people coming from surrounding cities to shop for food and clothing are importing dollars to the College Station economy. The new regional mall will import dollars from surrounding communities. The following analysis reviews the types of industries, employment, land use, and problems with existing industrial development. Existing Industries: College Station currently has only 50 acres of industrial development. The Brazos County Industrial Foundation has a 400 -acre industrial park near the western boundary of the City of Bryan and the College Station Industrial Development Foundation has been formed to serve as the industrial development arm of College Station. Most of the recent industrial development in College Station has taken place in the Eastern part of the City, primarily along the East Loop(Highway 6). However, an industrial park has been developed near Wellborn Road in the Southern part of the City. Recently, the City of College Station and the College Station Industrial Foundation announced plans to develop an 800 acre industrial/technical park on Highway 6 South of the City. 111 TABLE 45 Bryan/College Station SMSA MAJOR EMPLOYERS IN THE BRYAN/CULLEGE STATION SMSA AS OF APRIL 1981 *STATE OF TEXAS 12,572 Government (9,329 at TAMU) ALENCO 850 Aluminum Building Products ST. JOSEPH HOSPITAL 450 Health Services BUTLER MANUFACTURING COMPANY 375 Wholesale Building Products THE WESTERN COMPANY 350 Oil Field Service Company * ARC, DIVISION OF KANEB, INC. 325 Mfg. Electronic Data Terminals BABCOCK & WILCOX COMPANY 250 Mfg. Oil Well Tubing BJ -HUGHES, INC. 250 Oil Well Services * TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC. 100-500 Mfg. Digital System Products MOORE BUSINESS FORMS 1UO-250 Print. Business Forms INTERNATIONAL SHOE COMPANY 150 Mfg. Rubber Healts, Soles GOOSENECK TRAILER MANUFACTURING CO. 145 Mfg. Trailers NL ATLAS BRADFORD Oil Field Pipe Threading 145 BRYAN HOSPITAL 135 Health Services NOWSCO 120 Oil Field Service SCHNADIG CORPORATION 115 Mfg. Furniture TRAILITE, INC. 100 Mfg. Trailer & Truck Equipment * WESTINGHOUSE 250-499 Mfg. Defense Electronics Business located in College Station. Source: Center for Strategic Technology, Texas A&M. Many of these mayor industries are new arrivals to College Station; Texas Instruments, Westinghouse and ARC. All of the large employers in College Station in the private sector are high technology industries. This may have occurred through purposeful marketing of College Station or it may have been the logical recognition of College Station as the type of city appropriate for high technology industries. 112 Moderate-size manufacturing operations in College Station with less than 100 employees include the following types; TABLE 46 City of College Station, Texas MODERATE SIZE MANUFACTURERS: COLLEGE STATION Type of Industry Number of Employees Sheet metal fabricator 50-80 Aggregate Suppler 25-49 Cabinet Construction 25-49 Water quality instruments & 40-50 other monitoring instruments Source: Texas Directory of Manufacturers, Center for Strategic Technology, 1980. In College Station and Bryan there are about 85 manufacturing firms employing an estimated 5,000 persons. Of these, 13 firms are located in College Station and 72 in Bryan. The average size of firms in College Station is larger with almost 100 persons per firm. The average in Bryan is about half this amount. The types of manufacturing firms in College Station and Bryan are shown in the following table. Using the location quotient to compare the two cities with Texas reveals that manufacturing is more concentrated in non -durable goods in the State than in this area. Major strengths in manufacturing include fabricated metal, lumber and wood, paper, and leather products. Relatively strong areas include furniture and fixtures, electrical machinery, transportation equipment, and food and food products. 113 TABLE 47 Bryan/College Station SMSA PERCENT OF MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT College Station and Brvan Texas DURABLE GOODS Lumber and Wood Products 8.5% 3.3% Furniture and Fixtures 2.7 1.6 Stone, Clay and Glass 2.8 4.2 Primary Metal Industries --- 4.6 Fabricated Metal 25.4 9.2 Machinery (except elect.) 2.2 15.1 Electrical Machinery 13.1 10.1 Transportation Equipment 10.1 8.0 Instruments & Related Mfg. 0.1 2.0 Miscellaneous 0.1 1.3 Total Durable Goods 66.8% 40.6% NON -DURABLE GOODS Food & Products 12.8% 9.2% Textile Mill Products --- 0.5 Apparel 3.0 7.0 Paper 4.2 2.1 Printing/Publishing 4.9 6.0 Chemicals 4.3 7.7 Petroleum & Coal Products 0.5 4.2 Leather Products 3.5 0.8 Other Non -Durable Mfg. --- 3.0 Total Non -Durable 33.2% 59.4% Source: Consultants Location and Land Utilization: There are five areas in College Station considered to be industrial; ) the industrial park east of the East Bypass, (2) an industrial area west of wellborn Road and south of the Texas A&M campus, (3) Agency Record Control on the East Bypass, (4) heavy commercial/industrial development south of Texas Avenue, and (5) the Airport with surrounding development. There are scattered small site industrial uses, but these are very limited and may be supplanted by other activities over time. Not including the airport, industrial development occupies only 50.1 acres, and is light industrial, non-polluting types of industries. Future industrial development should be located so that the best sites are provided which protect surrounding development. The following location criteria are suggested for: 114 Highways (a) Easy access to major arterials; but not necessarily facing onto an arterial. (b) Belt or loop highway locations. (c) Far enough away from highway interchanges to prevent geneal congestion and to allow efficient ingress and egress. (d) Spaces of 1000 feet between railroads and highways are good potential locations. (e) Traffic arteries as boundaries between industrial and residential uses. Railroads: (a) Near switching yards where maximum use of rail facilities is needed. (b) Avoidance of at -grade railroad crossings, where possible (c) Two percent maximum grade for railroads in industrial areas. (d) Well-designed spurs and leads to maximize efficiency. Airports: (a) Airport industries should be low bulk, high value where air shipment is involved. (b) Prohibition of industries that would interfere with airport operations generally supplied to electronics industries. (c) Limited use of industries which require large numbers or concentrations of workers. (d) Provision of bulk break and assembly points for transfer of goods from trucks and airplanes. Residential Areas: (a) Within 30 minutes or less of employee living area. Utilities: (a) Water available in sufficient amounts and pressure for industrial processes. (b) Large employee plants may require relatively large quantities of water for air conditioning. (c) The capacity of trunk lines should be sufficient to carry waste -water loads. 115 Power: Site: (d) Wet industries (using water for processing) require greater industrial sewage capacity. (e) Large employee plants will require high sewage capacities. (f) Treatment plant should be designed to handle projected types of waste from industries. (a) Sufficient power for projected loads. (a) The load bearing quality of the soil should be adequate with the need for solid ground for industry with heavy equipment and high load foundations. (b) Rolling sites may be superior to flat land to provide adequate drainage. (c) The slope of the site should be under 5 percent for most industrial applications. The 1973 Comprehensive Plan proposed two areas for industrial development with industry being limited to low impact industry; e.g. light industry. Industry was suggested for peripheral, rather than central locations using the loop highway system as the access to proposed sites. A site at the airport and another major area near the intersection of the West Bypass and University Drive were identified. These locations were identified because of the air service advantages, highway transportation, rail service, proximity to the University, and tneir being out of the direction of growth of the City. Railroad relocation was mentioned as an alternative that would provide better industrial sites and remove the railroad as a problem at its current location. Although it is difficult to ,judge if these locations will be suitable in the future, the major employers that have located in Lollege Station have opted for locations which were more peripheral to city growth than conceived in the Plan. In addition, they have chosen more accessible locations near or on major arteries. Desirable industrial site locations are identified on the following map according to the Development Suitability Criteria and considerations listed above. 116 TARGET INDUSTRIES L E G E N D Very High Suitability High Suitability Normal Suitability Low Suitability PLATE 16 INDUSTRIAL SUITABILITY PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS Three approaches were developed for identifying target industries and the direction of industrial expansion that College Station can pursue. The basic premise in these projections is that College Station, as a community goal, needs to diversify its economic base. With the size of the University and its impact, the implication is that the City will continue to grow in population. The three approaches are: * Expand industries with current strength in the local market; build on strengths. * Expand industries where there is a gap in the market; the economic base theory would require that those industries which lagged behind the larger economy receive attention. * Balanced strategy of target industries. Using current industry strengths, College Station would emphasize government employment (as part of Texas A&M), construction, retail trade, and transportation, communication and Utilities. It would not pursue manufacturing or mining as major industry areas. With the second approach, industrial growth would emphasize manufacturing and mining; the weaker of the current economy. By economic base theory, these are the areas where goods and services must be imported. 117 The third approach is recommended for several reasons. The College Station economy has functioned basically as a service economy to the University. This is not a criticism of the University since it will remain a mayor factor in the City beyond the year 2000. For the service sector to grow, the University must grow; as the City now tunctions. This does not mean that the service sector shouldn't grow. There are features of that sector which can benefit College Station. As one of the faster growing sectors of the U.S. and State economy, it must be included as a factor in the local econo my. The recommendation is (1) to diversify the economy by both taking advantage of the University's impact on the economy and (2) providing broader based employment supplemented with basic industries. Another reason for emphasizing a balanced economic approach in College Sation is the potential growth of current industries. Electronics manufacturing and related industries provide a broad base of employment with projected expansion into the next decade. This is a growth area for College Station and Texas. Looking more closely at manufacturing data, College Station could expand in several areas; machinery production, instruments and related products, apparel, printing and publishing, chemical manufacturing, petroleum and coal products manufacturing, and miscellaneous durable and non -durable goods. Of the ones mentioned above, the best that fit with College Station today include: * Instruments and Related Products - high technology * Apparel - needs labor supply * Printing and Publishing - local interests and the University * Chemical and Petroleum Products - research and development; high technology; strong part of local economy. TEXAS 2000 studies have identified some areas with high growth potential in Texas. hese include (1) finance, insurance and real estate, (2) electrical machinery, and (3) other professional services. Both durable and non -durable manufacturing show less potential for growth; although partnerships through Mexico provide an avenue for expanded growth in this sector. Also, expansion in defense expenditures will provide spin-off benefits for high technology fields, communications, and defense product manufacturing. Research and development is also emphasized as a potential growth area for Texas and research and development parks are one of the measures suggested for consideration by Texas. New technology for the 80's suggests areas in which high technology and other economic growth sectors can become involved. These include: * Microelectronics * Medicine, biotechnology, psychotherapy, transplantation * Materials development, photosynthesis, supercold technology, industrial and scientific instruments and robots 118 * Energy, solar, coal mining technology, power stations * Defense technologies and electronic warfare * Agricultural technologies, genetic selection, electrostatic spraying, waste managment * Airwaves and communications * Construction It isn't suggested that College Station should be or will be the leader in any of these fields; but that each of these expanded technological areas offer industry entry points into an expanded local economy. The recommended emphasis on economic and industrial growth includes: * High Technology * Research and Development * Service Sector Growth There should be continuing growth of the retail sector as the population expands and as the real income increases with the changing population mix. INDUSTRIAL PROJECTIONS The following materials present projections of future industrial land and employment for College Station. Two projection techniques were incorporated to yield an indication of industrial potential. Population and Employment. The projected population of College Station for the year 2000 is 71,000 persons with estimates ranging from 51,000 to 75,000. The upper level of growth, in the Consultant's view, is the most likely to occur. Labor force participation in the United States has been consistently and gradually increasing over the past fifty years. This same phenomena has occurred in College Station, even with the differences in population make-up. The projected participation rate in the labor market is expected to be 41 percent by 2000. It is probable that this percentage will be fairly constant since younger and older persons will continue to be out of the labor force for the most part. Even major social shifts, such as female entry into the labor force, have produced relatively small shifts in the labor force participation rate. This will yield a year 2000 labor force of 29,110. The suggested industrial development strategy for College Station indicates that a greater portion of the future labor force will be involved in manufacturing as a basic industry. This includes high technology industries that are already a growing part of the economy. 119 The recommended goal for manufacturing by the year 2000 is to have 21 percent of the labor force in manufacturing. This goal is recommended because of the relative importance of manufacturing in similar sized SMSA's and the importance of manufacturing in the Texas economy. Because College Station offers similar advantages and particular resources that don't exist elsewhere, the goals should be feasible. It is suggested as a goal rather than a projection. because of specific steps are needed to reach the goal which might not occur without concentrated efforts in attracting industries, providing adequate sites for plant development, and other industrial development activities. This goal yields an employment level of 6,113 laborer in manufacturing. Industrial densities vary widely depending upon the type of industry. The following table contains acreage projections based on various industrial densities: TABLE 48 City of Col egl a ation, Texas INDUSTRIAL LAND NEEDS PROJECTED BY EMPLOYMENT Workers Number of Acres Industrial Per Needed by Density Class Acre 2000 in College Station Intensive 26 Z13b Intermediate 12 509 Extensive 6 1,018 ource: Consultants These projections are too wide to provide a useful figure for projection land needs in the year 2000. To provide a more detailed framework, the land use criteria for Texas cities were examined. These figures indicate that a city of 71,000 persons will ordinarily experience a range of industrial development, but hat this range falls within a much narrower band. It is also likely that future industrial development will be of mixed densities, although high technology and R&D firms are usually intensive. The following table projects industrial land use by comparing land use criteria of Texas cities: 120 TABLE 49 City of Colleg—motion, Texas INDUSTRIAL LAND NEEDS PROJECTED BY LAND USE CRITERIA Type Projected Acreage of Acres Per Needs for the Industry 100 Persons Year 2000 Light Industry 0.3 - 0.4 213 - 284 Heavy Industry 0.4 - 0.7 284 - 497 TOTAL 0.7 - 1.1 497 - 781 urce: consuitants Using both projection techniques, it is likely that College Station will have at least 400 acres of industrial land by the year 2000. The upper limit of industrial land is projected to be 600 acres. These lower ranges are suggested to reflect the higher intensity of development experience with high technology and R&D industries. They generally provide employment for more than 30 persons per acre. Preliminary plans for the Industrial Foundation indicate that about 800 acres of land will be available for industrial development. The industrial park will be able to absorb part of the projected industrial acreage. The rate of absorption and associated impact on College Station will depend upon the success of efforts in attracting target industries. If a high rate of growth is achieved by the development, both the population and land use pattern will be affected. However, the Land Use Plan is phased so that the growth pattern and land use relationships will exist, regardless of the success of the industrial park. The industrial park has preliminary projections for more industrial land than is needed during the planning period. It is conceivable that the park will grow faster than these projections and, if so, the park could become reality within the planning period. Five years from the date of this plan, the City of College Station will know the impact of this project and will be able to use this knowledge in updating the Comprehensive Plan. The growth issue points out the need for annual review of the Plan and update at least every five years. 121 122 Cost/Benefit 123 124 COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS This section provides information on the cost and benefits, expressed in economic terms, of development in College Station. The analysis includes the following: * Examination of existing fiscal impact models and cost/benefit studies. * Identification of unit costs for development. * Identification of revenues generated by development. * Identification of secondary or multiplier effects of basic activities. The purpose of the cost/benefit analysis is to provide an objective economic measure when making decisions on new development, land use alternatives, rezoning, and annexation. FISCAL IMPACT MODELS While fiscal impact analysis is complicated in its application, it is a relatively simple concept. Any such analysis attempts to measure the costs associated with development and weigh them against the benefits (revenues) derived from such develoment. The difficulty arises in identifying ana measuring the costs or benefits. Fortunately, there have been ample applications to development that provide general guidance for College Station. In Texas, many cities have utilized cost/benefit and fiscal impact analysis to examine development. Cities such as Killeen, Plano, Arlington, Bryan, Fort Worth, Bellaire, and Grand Prairie have used such analysis in development decision making. Most have applied this analysis to specific projects or limited purposes rather than an on-going analytical tool. Most have also used very direct measures of costs and benefits of particular developments, rather than more complicated projections and assumptions. Fiscal impact models are extensively described in the Fiscal Impact Handbook by Burchell and Listokin. The calculations for College station are based on applications of principles from this book. Six different models of cost analysis include: * Per Capita Multiplier * Service Standards * Proportional Valuation * Case Study * Comparable City * Employment Anticipation The Per Capital Multiplier method is most frequently used in Texas, case studies and other applications throughout the country. The method applies readily to residential growth. The Proportional Valuation, Case Study, and Employment Anticipation methods are used for non-residential development. 125 All of the methods measure only direct impacts; new police needed for additional population growth, new teachers for added students, etc. Direct revenues include added property tax, added sales tax, and other direct revenues. If new development produces other development through some multiplier effect, this is not included in the analysis. The analysis assumes that costs and revenues are current; as if the development were to occur today. Inflation (or deflation), future conditions, and start-up costs are not considered. Some of the methods use average costing while others measure marginal costs. The difference can be illustrated with a sewage treatment plant. Each individual added to the population contributes an additional impact on the sewage treatment plant. It can be assumed that each person will add an equal cost. However, at some point a new plant will be needed. As this point is approached, costs can escalate drastically. Measuring these costs "at the margin" is sometimes required and some methods include this consideration. The cost and review analysis methods include the following: Per Capita Multiplier Method: This methods applies average municipal and school cost per person or pupil. Case Study Method: This method uses additional service demand projections provided by municipal and school administrators. It allows for marginal costs where there is excess or deficit capacities in the service systems. Service Standard Method: This method uses service standards for City and school employees as multipliers for the impact of future development. The standards are provided by professional organizations and U.S. Census data. Comparable City Method: This method compares the study city with comparable cities' expenditures, assuming that as the study city grows, similar fiscal impacts will occur. Tables of multipliers have been developed for various governmental functions. Proportional Valuation Method: This method is used for non-residential development. It assigns a portion of municipal costs according to the market value development. Employment Anticipation Method: This method measures the cost for servicing non-residential development by using employment as the measure of impact. Again, multipliers have been developed for various governmental functions. Calculating Revenues: Revenues are calculated the same way, regardless of the costing procedures. Each source of revenue is measured in a different manner. For example, population growth will produce some increase in property tax revenue. Increases in population will increase Federal grants geared to population size. Most of these calculations are based on comparison with current conditions. 126 DEVELOPMENT COSTS Several models apply to College Station, depending upon the purpose of the analysis. College Station is a growing city, at capacity for many services with a slightly deficient capacity to rapid growth. In various situations, the following models apply: TABLE 50 City of Col egl�tation, Texas ANALYTICAL METHODS FOR VARIOUS UEVELOPMENT SITUATIONS Development Situation Fiscal Impact Mode * Residential Development * Non-Residental * Land Use Alternatives * Rezoning * Annexation urce: Consultants Per Capita Multiplier Service Standard Proportional Valuation Employment Anticipation Per Capita Service Standards Per Capita Service Standards Per Capita Service Standards The Per Capita Multiplier and the Proportional Valuation methods are the most applicable to College Station. These methods are supplemented with the Employment Anticipation method. Methodology: The Per Capita Multiplier and Proportional Valuation require various sets of data for calculations. The basic steps are shown in Table 51. 127 TABLE 51 City of College Station, Texas STEPS IN APPLICATION OF IMPACT MODELS Per Capita Multiplier Proportional Valuation for Residential for Non -Residential Step 1: Obtain Data a. Total operating expenses of yovernment b. Current Population c. Population Projections Step 2: Categorize Local Expenditures a. General Government b. Public Safety c. Public Works d. Health and Welfare e. Recreation and Culture Step 3: Calculate New Annual Per Capita Costs Step 4: Calculate Future Pop- -ulation (using demographic multipliers) Step 5: Calculate Residentially Induced Costs Step 6: Calculate Revenues Step 7: Compare Costs and Revenues ource: Uonsultants Step 1: Obtain Data a. Real Property Data b. Real Property Value c. Number of tax Parcels d. Market Value of Future Development Step 2. Assign Non -Residen- tial S7hare of Government Costs Step 3: Project Future Costs Step 4: Assign Total Non Residential Costs to Serv- ices Step 5: Calculate Revenues Step 6: Compare Costs and Revenues Cost Calculations: The total operating costs of the City of Lolleye Station are budgeted for FY 81-82 at $21,950,527. The estimated population for 1982 is 41,200 persons, yielding a total per capita cost of $532.78. Divided into general categories of local expenditures yields: 128 TABLE 52 City of College Station, Texas 1981 PER CAPITA DOST COMPARISONS Department Dollars Per Capita Comparisons* * General Government $ 36.44 $ 31.23 * Public Safety 81.36 66.67 * Public Works 384.61 110.74 * Health and Welfare - - * Recreation and Culture 30.37 23.81 TOTAL $532.78 $232.45 Minus Electrical Utilities $226.84 * Comparison: Cities with populations under 50,000, 1981 Municipal Finance Survey, Turner, Collie & Branden, Inc. urce: uonsuitants College Station is higher in most categories of expenditures per capita. Public works shows the greatest extreme when compared to comparably sized cities. Even removing the electric utility, public works account for about $119 per capita. This is attributed to rapid population growth and the need to "catch up" in the provision of public works. Residential and Non -Residential Cost Factors The Proportional Valuation methods allow for separating residential and non-residential costs. Using this method, an estimated 28.38% of municipal expenditures are for non-residential uses. Further analysis of this distribution indicates that the method provides a good distribution of costs and does not over- or under -represent non-residential costs. The municipal cost per acre of developed non-residential land is estimated to be $14,556. IDENTIFICATION OF REVENUES Revenues for municipal services come from a variety of sources. The 1981-82 Budget projects the following revenues. 129 TABLE 53 City of College Station, Texas MUNICIPAL REVENUES, 1981-1982 Source of Revenue Amount Property Tax _ 1,2 5,923 Franchise Tax 147,000 Sales Tax 1,55U,000 Revenue Sharing 222,513 Beverage Sales 54,000 Utility Contribution 1,647,247 Utility Transfer 1,072,287 Permits, Fees, Licenses 134,035 Fines, Forfeit, Penalities 420,000 Charges for Services 127,600 Interest 50,000 Misc. 329,718 Utilities 16,200,280 TOTAL $23,170,603 Source; Consultant Per capita revenues and proportional valuation can be utilized to determine what kinds of impacts are generated by development. These estimates include: TABLE 54 City of Col egg e motion, Texas REVENUES FROM VARIOUS SOURCES: 1981 Source Non- Per Per of Total Residential Housing Square Foot Revenue Per Capita Per Acre Unit of Building Property Tax $ 29.51 $ 806.92 $201.50 - Sales Tax 37.62 4,102.00 121.70 $0.853 Other City 36.02 984.00 81.76 - Revenues Utilities 393.21 10,750.00 892.00 - Source: Consultant 130 Thoroughfares 131 132 THOROUGHFARE PLAN Traffic arteries are the structural elements that provide for the rapid, safe, and efficient movement of the people and goods through the City. Access is of primary importance to the economic development of a community. Much of College Station's growth in recent years must be attributed to the location of State Highway 6 linking the Cities of College Station and Bryan with Houston and the remainder of the region. The local street system provides the basic structural framework around which the City is built. The street pattern determines to a considerable extent the distribution of residences, shopping, schools, industries, and even lots and individual buildings. Few of the physical facilities of the City are quite as permanent as the streets. Once a street is opened, the utilities installed, and buildings erected on abutting properties, any change in the location or width is likely to be both difficult and expensive. Since 25 to 30 percent of the developed area of a City is normally devoted to streets, proper planning for the development of these facilities is extremely important. The predominant form of transportation, today and for the foreseeable future, is the automobile. Motor vehicle registrations in Texas over the past 25 years have increased by over 300 percent to some 10 million vehicles. There are nearly 50,000 vehicles operating in the College Station/Bryan area. The universal use of the automobile has given rise to a variety of problems. Three major problems are accidents, the enormous cost of street construction and maintenance, and congestion aue to breakdowns in the system. All of these and other minor problems, can be minimized by a properly designed street system. Due to sheer volume, it nas become increasingly imperative to concentrate traffic on a system of thoroughfares designed to relieve the pressure on other minor local streets. Added safety results when traffic is concentrated on a well-defined thoroughfare system. By minimizing vehicular movements on local residential streets, the hazards to pedestrians and particularly children are reduced. A thoroughfare system also allows the proper development of traffic control devices to expedite traffic movement and enhance safety. The City cannot afford to construct every street to carry heavy through traffic. But when such traffic is concentrated on thoroughfares designed to accommdate heavy traffic, the wear and tear on other local streets will be greatly reduced. Narrower, less expensive pavements on residential streets should then be adequate for the traffic generated by those who live in the immediate neighborhood. In order to preserve desirable residential neighborhoods, it is necessary to keep unrelated traffic off residential streets. Residential districts need protection against the noise, danger, and fumes which may be generated by heavy vehicular traffic. The development of undesirable conditions in residential areas bordering thoroughfares may be minimized if the effects of future traffic flow is anticipated in advance. 133 EXISTING STREETS As a part of this planning process, a survey was made of the present conditions of the streets in College Station. This survey was conducted only within the City limits. Most roads in the Planning Area and outside the City are unpaved County roads or State Highways. It was found that there are about 598,230 linear feet or 113.30 miles of streets and alleys within the City of College Station. There are about 55.30 more miles of road within the Planning Area outside the City limits. The majority of streets in College Station are asphalt paved with concrete curb and gutter. Most of the streets in the area are in good condition, even the asphalt streets in older sections of College Station. The City maintains a program to resurface asphalt streets periodically. About 75 percent of all streets in the City are in good condition, 20 percent in fair condition, and only about b percent in poor condition. A study was made of traffic controls along major streets in the City. There are 13 intersections in the area with full controlled traffic signals. Except along the State Highway 6 Bypass, there is only one separation in the City. This is located where Wellborn Road and the Southern Pacific Railroad crosses University Drive. There are several at -grade railroad crossings within the Planning Area. These grade crossings often cause lengthy traffic delays. The following tables provide an analysis of the existing conditions of thoroughfares and collector streets in the City. The first table indicates the right-of-way width, pavement width, and condition of the riding surface. The second table provides an analysis of the major problems found on individual street sections. It will be noted that some of these problems have been programmed for corrective action with funds under the 1981 Bond Program. THOROUGHFARE STANDARDS The purpose of planning a street system is to ensure taster, safer, and more convenient travel throughout the urban area. A clear understanding of the functional relationships between various types of streets is essential. 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O (3) N •r QJ C V) r- (3) 4- 4-. r6 C Cn -0>< X X S.- O I Q) O Q1 W Z L/) LL p EXISTING THOROUGHFARES PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 139 rI-MIr- Ir .� VN0FffM SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCT...S WAY .n roWn .�.. oon..R ASY OCIAT ES ...=, � Freeways: Freeways are intended to move high volumes of traffic at relatively high speeds over long distances. They are direct between major traffic generators, and have controlled access to ensure uninterrupted traffic flow and safety. Frontage is provided along service roads. Freeways provide a system of high-volume radial routes to the central business district, and circumferential or "loop" routes to serve other areas. Freeways also connect local cities to those outside the region. State Highway 6 is considered as a freeway. Principal Arterials: These routes serve to provide a direct traffic route over fairly long distances within the metropolitan area. It is intended that traffic volumes be relatively high, but speeds are high enough only to ensure smooth flow. Access controls are provided only at major traffic punctures with traffic controls located at most intersections. Frontage is either limited or controlled by use of service roads. Texas Avenue and University Drive are examples of principle arterials. Minor Arterials: Minor arterials serve the high volume traffic needs of the local area. 7fiese routes are continuous through the community, and should connect with similar thoroughfares in adjacent cities. Access is controlled through placement of entering streets, driveway prohibitions, medians, left -turn lanes, and signalization. Frontage is normally allowed only at arterial intersections. Holleman Drive and Southwest Parkway are examples of minor arterials. Collectors: Collector streets or secondary thoroughfares serve as feeder streets for the arterial system, collecting traffic from local streets and feeding onto thoroughfares. These routes should be somewhat discontinuous through the community to discourage their substitution as thoroughfares. Collectors may be closely spaced in business or industrial areas to handle higher volumes of local traffic. Francis Drive and Longmire Drive are examples of collector streets. Residential: As the name implies, these streets provide local access to residential areas. They should be designed to serve only the residents of the immediate area, and should feed into the collector street system. Residential streets should be short, curvilinear, and discontinuous to discourage through traffic. The location and design of these streets depend primarily on the purpose they will serve and the traffic load which they must handle. There is a limit to the number of vehicles that a street may carry in a given time period. Under ideal conditions, a single lane with an uninterrupted flow of traffic can carry up to 1,500 vehicles per hour. Such conditions are rarely obtained due to limitations influenced by a number of interference factors: * Width of traffic lanes -- for each foot the moving traffic lanes are reduced below 12 feet, the carrying capacity drops approximately 10 percent. * Volume and direction of turning movements -- turning lanes in both directions are necessary for a constant traffic flow on high volume thoroughfares. 140 * Number of intersections at access points -- cross traffic is the most serious cause of interference; any significant amount of cross traffic can reduce the carrying capacity by as much as 40 percent. * Traffic control systems -- synchronization of traffic signals and duration of the time at signalized intersections can either enhance or impede traffic flow. * On -street parking -- all types of parking along thoroughfares not only prevents the use of part of the street by moving traffic but also reduces the capacity of the adjacent moving lane by as much as 20 percent. * Type of frontage -- the type of adjacent land uses also affect the capacity of streets. Driveway entrances, in shopping centers for example, can appreciabaly reduce traffic flow. * Type of vehicle -- if one of every five vehicles is a truck, as in industrial areas, traffic flow may be reduced as much as 20 percent. * Materials ano maintenance of streets -- the use of proper materials in constructing roadways plays an important part in the cost and maintenance of a road system. Poor conditions cause delays in travel time and the volume of traffic, and the blocking of lanes for maintenance may critically hamper flows. The combined effects of such interferences can reduce the traffic carrying capacity of the average lane on a heavily traveled street to as few as 500 vehicles per hour, and under severe conditions, even fewer. When it is considered that the average thoroughfare must carry 2,000-3,000 vehicles during peak -hour traffic, these conditions may become critical. The principles which should govern the design of the City's street system may be briefly summarized as follows: * Through traffic should be concentrated on a few arterial streets. * Arterial streets should be sized and paved to accommodate the anticipated traffic load. They should also have adequte traffic control devices including turn lanes, frontage control, and signalization. * Freeways and principle arterials should be located to serve regional traffic needs continuing uninterrupted over long distances. To adequately serve urban development, one of these facilities should be located at about three to six mile intervals. * Minor arterials should be spaced to accommodate the traffic needs of the local area more closely spaced in business and densely populated sections and further apart in outlying areas. The maximum desirable spacing is generally at one -mile intervals between freeways and principle arterials. * Minor arterials should be continuous and as straight as possible, depending on local conditions. They should be designed to carry traffic rapidly and freely throughout the urban area. 141 * Arterials should border on, but not penetrate, functional urban units such as residential neighborhoods. * Collector streets should direct traffic flow into arterials, but should be less continuous than the arterial system. They should be sized and paved according to their intended use. Generally two traffic lanes plus two parking lanes will be adequate. * Residential streets should be indirect and discontinuous to discourage high-speea through traffic. In most cases, they need not be wider than is necessary for one traffic lane and two parking lanes. * All streets should intersect at right angles, or within 10 degrees of a right angle, and be of uniform width without off -sets or abrupt bends. Where off -sets occur on residential streets, the distance between center lines should be a least 125 feet. FUTURE TRAFFIC The routing and sizing of thoroughfares are primarily dependent on the number of vehicular traffic movements anticipated to be carried by a particular segment of roadway. Traffic movements may be fairly accurately forecast once the land use pattern in an area has been established. Past studies have shown that particular types of traffic generators, such as residential areas, schools, shopping centers, or industrial parks, generate an average number of vehicular movements each aay. Based on the proposed Development Plan and the anticipated ultimate population and land use in each area of College Station in the future, forecasts have been made of the average daily traffic that will be generated by each Planning District. These traffic generaton forecasts are shown on the following table. 142 TABLE 57 City of College Station, Texas FUTURE DAILY VEHICULAR TRAFFIC PLANNING DISTRICT ULTIMATE POPULATION RESIDENTIAL TRAFFIC OTHER USES OTHER TRAFFIC TOTAL TRAFFIC 1 3,297 10,970 45.5 ac. 18,340 29,310 2 2,585 10,820 71.4 29,350 40,170 3 7,882 25,820 81.4 25,480 51,300 4 9,537 33,270 264.3 63,700 96,970 5 6,950 26,030 199.5 70,720 97,880 6 7,218 26,030 105.8 23,060 49,090 7 10,220 30,680 87.0 35,840 66,520 8 6,587 28,640 117.9 43,500 72,140 9* 10,000 27,925 3,480.0 52,500 80,425 10 20,372 55,315 284.6 32,640 87,955 11 19,130 53,420 173.4 50,370 103,790 12 26,192 73,140 223.0 59,875 133,015 *Planning District 9 is University -owned property. Source: Forecasts by Consultants For the purposes of projecting ultimate needs for thoroughfares, these forecasts utilize anticipated ultimate populations and other land uses. By the year 2000, however, the City will have only about one-half of the ultimate population which could be supported within these areas. As was shown in the discussion of Future Development, it is anticipated that most of the area within the present city limits will be approaching full development by the year 2000. However, those areas to the east, west, and south of the present City will have only a portion of their ultimate population. Therefore, future traffic should be near indicated volumes for areas presently within the City but well below those shown for areas now within the City's ETJ. It may also be noted that the University (Planning District 9) will remain a high-volume traffic generator but will be proportionately less importat as traffic builds in other developing areas of the City. It is anticipated that those areas oriented to State Highway 6 will generate the highest traffic volumes in the future. Traffic volumes along any particular thoroughfare segment tend to be additive, depending on the anticipated directions of the traffic flow. Within the College Station area, it is predicted that primary traffic flows will continue to be toward the University and will increase toward and along State Highway 6. Traffic volumes will increase moving into the interior of the City and will decrease toward the fringes. The proposed Thoroughfare Plan is intended to disperse traffic flow over the City by providing a system of both major and secondary thoroughfares. The purpose of this system is to provide a coordinated system of direct routes throughout the City offering a better choice of travel patterns and eliminating the concentration of traffic on a few major streets. The routes and proposed design sections are shown on the Thoroughfare Plan map. 143 THOROUGHFARE PROGRAM The standards for street development previously yiven were used to guide the Thoroughfare Plan with consideration being given to existing conditions and probable future development. The existing system of highways and other major roads provides the framework for the Thoroughfare Plan. Improvements recommended are oriented first to alleviating existing problems then to serving traffic needs as the comunity grows. The entire Thoroughfare Plan shoud be re-examined periodically and adjustments made in accordance with changes in development. In order that the thoroughfare system may be developed in an efficient and timely manner to accommodate the future yrowth of the City, the following thoroughfare goals and objectives are recommeded for the next five years: * Adopt the Thoroughfare Plan to place property owners on notice as to the City's intentions and utilize the Plan to evaluate development proposals. * tstablish a policy requiring the owners of adjacent properties to dedicate necessary right-of-way and participate in the paving of streets to full standards at the time any development or construction takes place. * Extension of Holleman Street from Texas Avenue to East Loop. * Widen Krenek Tap Road from Texas Avenue to East Loop. * Rebuild Southwest Parkway from Texas Avenue to F.M. 2154. * Extend Lincoln Street from Ashburn to University Drive. * Extension of Uartmouth from Woodstock Subdivision to Brentwood Subdivision and from Southwest Parkway to East Loop. * Urbanize and widen Harvey Road from Texas Avenue to East Loop. * Urbanize and widen University Drive from Texas Avenue to East Loop. * Construct overpasses on East Loop at Southwest Parkway and Emerald Parkway. DEVELOPMENT POLICIES It is desirable from the standpoint of both circulation and maintenance costs for the City to develop all thoroughfares to adequate standards. However, it is not necessary to construct thoroughfares to their full anticipated capacity if such capacity conditions will not occur for several years. Improvements should be made according to the proposed standards as the street approaches its anticipated capacity. However, all required rights -of way should be designated as soon as possible. The designation of rights-of-way for thoroughfares yet to be constructed will aid the City of Burleson in acquiring adequate rights-of-way as streets are 144 s l e Ef► `° -Jr- . J E� ti j sr er F. Y. 2 B 1 !\ / 1 _ L AIRPORTwood J� I r/r 145 \� FUTURE THOROUGHFAF PLAN CITY OF COLLEGE STAT 2�1 \ in ;m PEI I J, J l 4I L—. 1 � 1 I lr 145 L E Major Arterials Minor Arterials Collectors G E N D I � L % __ WELLBORN V ~\\ PLATE 18 FUTURE g NORTH SAMUEL L. W YSE ASSOCIATES \ PlRnnlnp { MRnR°Rrrrnl Con�ultPn[� THOROUGHFARES TR.R. PLAN 2000 WAYNE W SNYDER ASSOCIATES CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS P"""' { °°m' "'"'°'m'"' 'or( Worth T .... actually developed. In developed areas where thoroughfares are planned, prompt attention should be given to the acquisition of additional rights-of-way. kight-of-way acquisition in developed areas will be costly; and if not begun soon, the necessary property may be almost prohibitively expensive in the future. The City should amend its policy of developer participation in the development of the thoroughfares. Under the present policy, developers dedicate up to b0 feet of right-of-way and pay for up to 39 feet of pavement. For designated thoroughfares, the City should require developers to dedicate all necessary right-of-way. The developer should be further responsible for two traffic lanes on each side abutting his property. If a six -lane roadway is required, the City can complete the thoroughfare as traffic demands further improvements. There are several State Highways which have been integrated into the Thoroughfare Plan. The City should tully utilize the capabilities of the State Department of Highways and Public Transportation in the expansion of these facilities. In addition, there are a number of City streets which have been designated for assistance under the Urban Systems Program. Many future thoroughfare improvements must be accomplished with City funds. The Thorouyhfare Plan should be examined regularly and necessary construction programmed as a part of any bonding program. 146 Facilities 147 148 COMMUNITY FACILITIES The provision of certain services and facilities has become an accepted responsibility of local government. These include schools, parks and recreation, administrative services, police and fire protection, social and cultural facilities, water and sewer utilities, and health and sanitation services. The demand for more and varied community facilities and services increases as population grows. Urban areas expand, old facilities become inadequate and living standards rise, producing a more sophisticated, expectant public. As the City of College Station grows, services and personnel to perform the services must be continually increased to maintain an adequate level of public services to all residents of the community. Since 1970, the population of Lollege Station has nearly doubled. Over the next twenty years, it is anticipated that College Station will increase by almost two times its present size. This growth potential presents both opportunities and problems. The opportunity to relate facilities and services in a coordinated and efficient manner offers the promise of a high quality of urban life. However, the increasing demand for facilities and services will often strain the resources and abilities of the community to provide such services. Because of the multiplicity of governing bodies and the division of responsibility that exists, various kinds of facilities will be provided in a multitude of ways oy various levels of government including the City, the County, speical districts, and possibly even private institutions. The needs of an expanding population cannot be met unless governmental units cooperate in providing services and facilities. Even in a cooperative atmosphere, these needs may not be filled or may be filled only at a higher -than - necessary cost without a program of planning for future needs prior to the time they are actually needed. The purpose of this study is to identify and analyze the existing community facilities and services offered to the public together with the needs of the future population. This plan can serve as a guide to the provision of future facilties enabling public officials to foresee some of the problems in providing these facilities. It should also provide an insight into providing adequate and timely facilities to serve an ever expanding population in addition to providing coordination and communication between governmental agencies and other public/private plans for development. PUBLIC BUILDINGS The functions and responsibilities of municipal government are so varied and complex that the operation of the city often represents one of the community's principal enterprises. Many types of buildings and facilities are required for public administration. Buildings are required for the rendering of city services. Facilities are needed for the protection of life and property. Still others are essential to serve cultural and social needs in the community. 149 The selection of a site for any public building requires careful study and analysis to determine the long-range needs and the effect on development of the city. In determining the location of a public building, it must be determined whether the facility is to serve the entire city or only a portion of the city. Those buildings which serve the whole city would include the City Hall, the County Courthouse, a Central Library, the Police Station, and Auditorium or Civic Center. Facilities which would serve only a portion of the city would include fire stations, neighborhood centers, and branch libraries. Public buildings which serve the entire city should logically be located near the center of the city while those serving specific areas should be placed in relation to the area they are intended to serve. This section will set standards for the loction and service area for various public buildings, will evaluate the existing municipal facilities, and will make recommendations for the development of additional public buildings in the future. EXISTING PUBLIC BUILDINGS The City of College Station provides public services from six buildings. The City Hall houses the administrative offices as well as the Council Chambers. There are two fire stations which serve the City. The Police Station complex also includes Municipal Court facilities. The Service Center area includes operations offices, warehouse, garage, and storage yard. The recently completed Community Center provides meeting rooms for the City. There are 344 full-time employees working for the City at present. The following describes the facilities available in the City of College Station at this time. Numbers correspond to locations shown on the map of Existing Public Buildings. 1. City Hall. The City Hall houses the administrative offices at the present time. The City Hall is located at the corner of Francis Street and Texas Avenue. The building has 15,824 square feet and contains the Council Chambers, 7,468 square feet of office space, a kitchen, and restrooms. There are 54 employees housed in this building. 2. Central Fire Station: The Central Fire Station faces Texas Avenue adjacent to the City Hall. The Central Fire Station has 11,772 square feet of space and provides four bays for fire fighting and rescue equipment. It also has a dormitory, day room, kitchen, and restrooms. 3. Fire Station No. 2: Fire Station No. 2 is located in the southern portion of the City at the corner of Rio Grande and FM 2818. The station has 3,933 square feet of space and provides two bays for fire fighting and rescue equipment. It also has a dormitory, day room, kitchen, and restrooms. 4. Police Station: The Police Station is located on Texas Avenue between Krenek Tap Road and Miller's Lane. The building currently contains a total of 9,264 square feet which includes office space, a day room, dispatch room, squad room, restrooms, holding cells, and Municipal Court facilities. 150 5. Service Center: The Service Center is located on the same property as the Police Cation and is adjacent to it. The yard has a total of 13 acres and supports the offices for water, sewer and elecrtrical distribution, a warehouse, service garage, storage for equipment, and materials stockpiles. The building has about 19,316 square feet of floor area. Offices occupy 1,665 square feet, warehousing 12,215 square feet, and the garage 4,000 square feet. 6. Community Center: The Community Center is located on Jersey Street east of Timber street. The center is housed in a recently renovated College Station Independent School District building and contains a total of 12,484 square feet. This includes a total of 2,698 square feet of meeting rooms, a 2,450 square foot multi-purpose room, office space, kitchen, and gallery spaces. Information on the number of employees to be located at the facility was not available at the time this report was prepared. PUBLIC BUILDING STANDARDS The following principles are presented as a general guide toward the location and development of future public buildings in College Station. A more definite study of actual locations and facility requirements should be made at the time actual construction of any public building is contemplated. Municipal Administration: Because municipal administration and public service functions are generally related and because of the frequent need of citizens to visit several City offices on one trip, the public building housing these functions is best located near the center of transportation and business activity and grouped together wherever possible. In addition, this allows for more efficient communication between other government and private offices which frequently interact - city, county, state, utility, and law offices. These municipal administration and public service functions might include offices for city officials, public works and utilities offices, police station, corporate court, fire station, and central library. The following standards may be used as a guide in development of these services. * Should be within the central area of the City. * Should be easily accessible by major thoroughfares from all parts of the City. * Site or sites should be sized for the grouping of related functions with adequate room for expansion. * Administrative office buildings should have a minimum of 25U square feet per employee plus specialized areas such as City Council Chambers. * Adequate parking should be provided on and near the site for the convenience of both employees and visitors. * The building should be planned internally stressing good functional relationships and convenience. 151 Libraries: The public library is playing an ever increasing role as an important community facility due to the expanding population growth in leisure time, higher educational goals and attainment, and an increasing proportion of young people in the community. In a small city, a single library may well serve the entire city. As the city grows, however, the central library should expand and possible include a system of branch libraries. The following standards may be used in the general development of library facilities: * The central library should be located within the central part of the City to afford maximum accessibility. * The central library site should be prominent, large enough for expansion, service vehicles, and landscaping. * The library should provide adequate parking for both the users and the staff but should not interfer with pedestrian traffic. * The library system should react to population increases and City development patterns possible by the creation of branch libraries. * The library should provide a total of 2.5 to 3 books per capita with a minimum of 6,000 volumes. * The library should provide about 0.5 to 0.6 square feet of space per capita. Fire Stations: The fire station locations and buildings are dependent on the ape o aevelopment they are intended to serve, the population density of the area, the type of facilities that must be provided on the site, and possible obstacles to the service area. The following standards may be used as a general guide toward location of fire stations and facilities: * The central station should be located within 3/4 mile radius around the area of highest development. * The central station should house at least two ladder companies and two pumper companies. * Substations should be located to serve areas with a mile and a quarter radius. * Substations should house at least une ladder company and one pumper company. * Substations should be located adjacent to, but not facing on, a major thoroughfare. * Substation sites should be from 3/4 to one acre in size. * Specialized equipment, such as foam or snorkles, should be provided in areas as needed. * The site should provide adequate parking, space for company drills, and open recreation areas in addition to the facility itself. 152 I \ � � _ ■ ,,.� r , z \may us ✓Ser e C nterILI Y.S.VE I CI Ceme s T / � 1 COLLEGE .Vl. cmmani me .Jr._ �I / wet k \ / _ F N. 2 81 6 WELLBORN E.STERW00D Y .IMPORT r.J \ J FACILITIES PL i i PLAN s s (r CITY OF COLLEGE STAT 153 —\ L E G E N D \ Fire Service Area 1 r Police Service Area �1 i \ Existing Fire Stations ❑ \ ` \ Future Fire Stations Existing Police Station l \ \ ( Future Police Station / 1 Other Facilities J S I us ✓ er e C nter C \ r 1 i I �r 153 XIS AVE / a J { ` r 00,l WELLBORN v PLATE 19 o 8 e NORTH SAMUEL L WYSE ASSOCIATES FACILITIES PLAN ° a M.°�°-°�°t °°� D�I1�• T.a.• PLAN 2000 WAYNE W. SNYDER ASSOCIATES CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS Fort Worth �r�lopm�nt Wn�yT.... * The ultimate development pattern and land use of an area should be considered when substations are to be built in outlying areas. Police Stations: Police Stations are highly specialized facilities which require particular attention in design. Space should be provided for administrative functions, detention facilities, day rooms and lockers, and adequate storage. Municipal Court and Emergency Uperating facilities might also be built as part of the Police Station. * The police department may occupy one section of another municipal building but should have a separate public entrance and exit. * The interior should be carefully planned to enable efficient operation and avoid possible conflicts. * The police station site should be located near the geographic center of the area; on a major street with good access to all parts of the City and near concentration of commercial and industrial use. Hospitals: Health facilities, particularly hopsitals, are a highly technical and complex field. Planning standards such as the ones listed below may be used in a very general nature toward location and development of a hospital. * Should be centrally located within its service area. * Should be easily accessible by major thoroughfares from all parts of the service area. * The hospital location should not cause conflicts because of traffic, noise, or night activity. * The site should be adequate for the intended facility with off-street parking on a minimum of five acres. * The hospital should provide 2.5 to 3 beds per 1,000 persons served. Maintenance Centers: Maintenance centers include a variety of components and uses including storage and maintenance of refuse collection and disposal equipment, street maintenance and construction equipment, sewer maintenance equipment, street signs and traffic devices, repair and upkeep of municipal vehicles, and other general housekeping functions. The following standards may be used as a guide in locating and designing maintenance centers. * The center should centralize storage facilities, shops, and other maintenance functions. * The center should provide about 0.25 acres of land and about 75U square feet of buildings per 1,000 population served. * The site should be readily accessible by thorougfhfares from the entire service area. * The site should provide adequate room for offices, both employee and City vehicle parking, shop facilities, and open and enclosed equipment and material storage areas. 154 * The site should be located in an industrial area and screened from adjacent land uses. PARKS AND RECREATION The development of an adequate park system is a major obligation of municipal government. Recreation areas and open space are indispensable in providing a desirable and wholesome environment for residential neighborhoods. A long range park plan should be adopted, and finances toward implementation of the plan should be included in annual budgets and in bonding programs. Park lands should be designated in subdivision plats and acquired by the City as development takes place. Actual development of the park should occur as the population of the area increases the demand for recreation uses. The Park and Recreation Plan should be used as a guide for the size and siting of parks as developments are brought forth for approval by the City. In most cases, the accessibility of recreation areas and proximity of preserved aesthetic areas are of definite benefit in residential development markets. EXISTING PARKS The City of College Station has 22 parks at present with a total area of 268.06 acres. At the accepted standard of one acre of park land for each 100 persons served, there should be about 375 acres of developed parks in the College Station area. This deficienty is largely made up by the use of school facilities as playgrounds and for sports programs. 155 L E G E N D I' Vary High SuNabOty High Sultabtity 0 Normal SultabEty 0 Low SultabWty 0 s� • rr \ PLATE 20 INSTITUTIONAL/ OPEN SPACE SUITABILITY PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS EXISTING PARKS The City of College Station has 22 parks at present with a total area of 268.06 acres. At the accepted standard of one acre of park land for each 100 persons served, there should be about 375 acres of developed parks in the College Station area. This deficienty is largely made up by the use of school facilities as playgrounds and for sports programs. 155 There are also a number of semi-public and private recreation facilities in the area. However, these are generally restricted to use by members of the organization or by residents of the subdivision served. A description of existing recreation facilities in the College Station area is given below. Central Park: The main City park is located on Krenek Tap Road at the East Bypass. The park has a total of 47.2 acres. Facilities include playground equipment, a pavilion, twenty picnic tables, two lighted tennis courts, four lighted softball fields, and a fishing pier. The equipment is in excellent condition. Additional facilities at the park will include a maintenance facility and the Parks Office building. Bee Creek Park. Bee Creek Park is located on Anderson Street, south of Southwest Parkway and has a total area of 43.5 acres. Facilities in the park include two lighted softball fields, four lighted tennis courts, a swimming pool, and two trails. The facilities at Bee Lreek Park are in good condition. Anderson Athletic Park: Anderson Athletic Park is located on Anderson Street at Holleman Drive. The park contains 6.7 acres of land which are devoted to four soccer fields. Wayne Smith Park: Wayne Smith Park is located at the intersection of Luther and Montclair Streets and has a total area of 4.1 acres. The park consists of one lighted baseball field. The park is in good condition with some maintenance required on the field. Southwest Park: Southwest Park is located off Southwest Parkway west of Anderson Urive. It contains a total of 3.0 acres of undeveloped land. Raintree Park: Raintree Park is located at the intersection of Munson Avenue and Parkway and has a total area of 1.0 acre. The park contains playground equipment and is in good condition. Oaks Park: Oaks Park is located on Stallings Urive at Highway 30 and contains 7.5 acres of land. The park has a number of picnic tables and a pavilion area plus a lighted multi -use court. The equipment is in yooa condiation with the pavilion in the process of being renovated. Merry Oaks Park: Merry Oaks Park is located on Merry Oaks Urive and has a total of 4.6 acres of undeveloped land. Longmire Park: Longmier Park is located on Longmire Boulevard in the southern portion of the laity. Currently, the park contains 4.0 acres of undeveloped land. Lions Club Park: Lions Club Park is located on University Drive at Chapel Street. The park has a total area of 1.5 acres and contains one lighted basketball court, playground equipment, and four picnic tables. The equipmenat is in fair condition with some improvement needed. 156 Lincoln Park: Lincoln Park is located at the intersection of Eleanor and Holleman Streets and has a total of 8.0 acres. The facilities include the Parks and Recreation Department headquarters, maintenance facilities, lighted playground and softball field, an indoor multi -use court and several picnic tables. The indoor court facility is in need of some repair and eventually should be completely renovated. Gabbard Park: Gabbard Park is located by Haines and Dexter Streets and contains 9.0 acres of undeveloped land. The park is used primarily as a green space and contains a one acre pond. Georgie K. Fitch Park: Georgie K. Fitch Park, located on Balcones Drive at 8, contains —= acres of currently undeveloped park land. Future plans for the park include picnic areas, a practice field, and a basketball court. Fairview Park: Fairview Park is located at Fairview and Park Place. The park contains 1.80 acres of land of which 1.0 acre is currently developed. The park is primarily used as a practice baseball field and is in good condition. Eastgate Park: tastgate Park is located on Walton Drive and Foster Avenue and contains 1.0 acre of land which is undeveloped. Brison Park: Brison Park is located along Dexter Drive and Bee Creek. The Parc contains 9.20 acres of undeveloped land with open play areas and a footbridge across the creek. Brother's Pond: Brother's Pond Park contains 16.12 acres of currently undeveloped land located in the Southwood Valley Area of the City. Future plans call for the park to contain a gazebo, fishing pier, basketball court, playground equipment, and picnic areas. Brentwood Park: Brentwood Park is located in an undeveloped area of the City north of Southwest Parkway and east of Dartmouth Avenue. The park contains 7.69 acres with a 1.0 acre pond. There are currently no future plans for Brentwood Park. Lemon Tree Park: Lemon Tree Park is located on Anderson Street and Lemon Tree rive and has a total area of 15.43 acres. The facilities include one unlighted softball field, an unpaved parking lot for 39 cars and a three-quarter mile ,logging/exercise trail. The park is in good condition with the jogging/exercise trail in need of some repair. Thomas Park: Thomas Park is located between Puryear Drive and James Parkway and has a total area of 16.10 acres. The park contains two playgrounds, five picnic tables, four basketball backstops, two unlighted tennis courts, two youth soccer fields, a 25 meter swimming pool and bath house with air dome for winter, a covered pavilion, and a 0.3 mile dogging path. The park is in excellent condition with recently completed renovation of the park. Southwood Athletic Complex: Southwood Athletic Complex is located in an undeveloped area in the southern portion of the City. It contains 44.65 acres of land. Future plans for the park include lighted athletic facilities. 157 PARK STANDARDS The importance of public recreation as a community function has been seriously neglected in many cities in the past. Because of rapid urbanization and overcrowding in the cities, however, parks and open spaces have been gaining recognition over the past decade. The problem is that by the time the need for parks becomes obvious to the community most of the land has been developed; and the acquisition of park sites can be most expensive, if not impossible, to accomplish. Criteria for the development of various types of park facilities in the future were adapted from the National Recreation and Park Association general standards and are detailed below. These standards are related to recreational functions which serve the various design components of the City and should be coordinated with other community facilities standards, particularly schools, in actual development. Playground Park: A playground is a small park providing play equipment for younger children with extensive recreation facilities. The primary purpose of the playground is to provide a recreational area for preschool and younger elementary age children at locations near their residence. In apartment developments which include children, the playground should be an integral part of the apartment complex. In single-family residential areas, the playground may consist of a single lot. playgrounds should be provided when other play facilities are not located nearby according to the following standards: * The service area should be a radius of no more than two or three blocks. * The playground should be provided where no larger parks exist within the service are. * The site should be located on a residential street protected from traffic and incompatible uses. * Facilities should include playground equipment, picnic tables, and a small open shelter. * Adequate parking can generally be provided on the street. Neighborhood Parks: The neighborhood park concept should serve the needs of the "neighborhood unit" and be combined with educational facilities whenever possible to provide a wider variety of opportunities on less acreage and at lower costs. The park, primarily designed to serve children under 14 years of age, has increasingly oecome the center of neighborhood activity to serve the wide variety of needs expressed by all its residents. In addition, the neighborhood park plays an importnat role in setting a standard for neighborhood asthetics. The following standards should provide the City with the proper criteria in planning for neighborhood parks: * The service area, location, and access should coincide with the limits of the neighborhood and of an adjacent school whenever possible. 158 * The park should be locataed near the center of the neighborhood and removed from heavily traveled streets and other hazards. * The park should contain 0.2 acres per 100 persons within the service area with a minimum of five acres. * The particular facilities required should be structured to the nature of the neighborhood but could include open turf areas for ball and field games, hard surface areas for court games, general open space, traditional play apparatus with creative, imaginative equipment, and a shelter and comfort station. * Off-street parking should be provided at the rate of six to ten spaces per developed acre depending on facilities provided. * Creative planning should utilize contouring, natural materials and colors, contrasting surfaces, and other imaginative techniques to provide both eye appeal and utility. Community Park: The community park should serve three to six neighborhoods or a community unit and should, whenever possible, be developed in conjunction with a ,junior or senior high school in order to ensure the maximum utilization of all facilities. The community park is designed to provide a variety of activities and recreational services for all age groups. The standards for development of community parks are as follows: * The service area, location, and access should coincide with those of the junior or senior high school whenever possible or within 1/2 to 1 1/2 miles of the residents in its service area. * The community park should contain U.2 acres per 100 persons within the service area with a minimum of 15 to 20 acres. * Facilities should include lighted turf fields for ball and field games, lighted hard surface courts for tennis, basketball and other games, open recreational areas, shelter and comfort station, picnic facilities, and may incorporate a neighborhood playground. Additional facilities could include a swimming pool, recreational building, and gymnasium. * Off-street parking should be provided at the rate of 10 to 15 spaces per developed acre depending on facilities provided. * The total community park should be landscaped to create a setting which enhances and does not interfer or impinge on the surrounding area. 159 Citywide or Central Park: The citywide or central park is designed to serve the total community. This type of park should be an area of natural beauty and large enough to instill a feeling of openness and sense of peace. No definite standards can be set for the development of the park since the particular requirements should be determined by the natural environment and terrain and the facilities offered in other places. However, the following principles should be considered in the development of a citywide or central park: * The park should be centrally located and accessible by major thoroughfares from all parts of the City. * The park should contain 0.6 acres per 100 persons served with a minimum of 50 acres. * The park should be designed for use by all groups. * A wide variety of components should be offered individually but not limited to ball fields, courts, picnic areas, nature trails, paths and tracks, swimming pool, undesignated open space, recreation buildings, outdoor theater, parking areas, and playground apparatus. Other facilities might include a golf course, zoo, botanical gardens, etc. * Parking requirements will depend primarily on the needs of actual facilities provided. PARKS & RECREATION ANALYSIS The City of College Station presently has 268.06 acres of park lands within the City. In addition, approximately 75 acres of school property can be considered to serve recreation needs of the community. The combined total of these park and recreation facilities is 343.06 acres. By generally accepted park standards; there should be about 375 acres of parks in the College Station area. Overall, this difference is not significant. The University provides extensive recreational facilities on -campus including swimming pool, tennis courts, ball fields, and golf course for use of students and faculty. However, except for the golf course, these facilities are not available to many residents of the City. As most students, faculty and staff, and their families reside off -campus; the City must provide additional facilities to meet their needs. The greatest need for parks in College Station at present is for adequate space to serve surrounding residential neighborhoods. The majority of this need is presently being served by school lands. Combining all park and recreation serving the City at present, there is still a need for an additional 32 acres of park land to be located within the City to serve the existing population. There is only one small park located east of the State Highway 6 Bypass where 356 people reside, and some areas are not even served by school recreation facilities. These areas are primarily outside the City limits at present. 160 Within the city limits, there are 398.06 acres of developed parks and school recreation facilities serving a population of 37,296. At full standards, this population would require over 370 acres of recreation areas. Thomas Park is designed to serve a population of 4,025 but is actually serving 5,085. Lincoln Center, designed for 4,000, is covering an area of 5,100 population. At present time, the Southwood Valley area (Planning District d) is not served by a developed park. Virtually every area of the City is in need of some type of park and recreation development both in terms of land and facilities. Table 58 indicates the amount of recreation space available within each Planning District and an estimate of present needs based on the existing population within each area. The following is a summary of problems indicated by the analysis of existing parks and recreation facilities in College Station at present: * Both facilities and grounds in existing parks are in need of repairs. * Existing City parks are being utilized beyond their capacities to serve residents. * More park sites are needed within developed areas of the City. * Much dependence has been placed on the ability of school grounds to serve recreation needs. * Development is encroaching on natural areas, particularly flood plain areas. * A total of 32 acres of additional park lands are presently needed to adequately serve the existing population of the City. 161 TABLE 58 City of ColegT e tation, Texas EXISTING PARKS & RECREATION PLANNING EXISTING SCHOOL TOTAL PARKS DISTRICT PARKS RECREATION RECREATION NEEDED 1 -0- -0- -0- 32.70 ac 2 2.50 ac 10.50 ac 16.00 ac 13.94 3 29.20 -0- 29.20 67.20 4 2.28 -0- 2.28 3.56 5 54.91 -0- 54.91 11.10 6 32.01 25.10 57.11 41.51 7 70.93 39.50 110.43 84.42 8 76.23 -0- 76.23 33.45 9 -0- -0- -0- 87.12 10 -0- -0- -0- -0- 11 -0- -0- -0- -0- 12 -0- -0- -0- -0- TOTALS 268.06 ac 75.10 ac 343.16 ac 375.0 ac Source: Analysis by Consultants PARKS & OPEN SPACE PLAN The City of College Station should provide developed park areas at the rate of about 0.75 acres for each 100 persons served. By the year 2000, the College Station area should have about 532 acres of park lands including the existing City parks. In addition, the City should provide enough undeveloped open space for about 1.0 acre per 100 persons. These open spaces should be acquired as flood plains along creeks and drainage ways. As development occurs, flood plains should be protected, and all areas remaining in flood plains after development should be dedicated to the public as open space. By developing schools and parks on adjacent sites, however, both the City and the School District may save 25 to 30 percent of the land that would otherwise be required. As an example, a typical elementary school might require ten acres for all education and play facilities while a neighborhood park might also require ten acres. By locating both facilities on one contiguous site, a tract of 14 to 15 acres would serve both purposes equally as well. A system of parks based generally on this principle has been planned to serve the population of College Station to the year 2000. By this time, the City will have a population of about 71,000 which will require about 530 acres of developed park lands and 710 acres of open spaces. Table 59 gives the amount of park and open space land that will need to be acquired in addition to that already available in order to adequately serve these future needs. 162 r = 1 I •fir' \ J �'-'r o i aF aypgss N � c' r— — TE%AB AY RE / Y 1 g / r COLLEGE AVE — eN _ N COMPL X )EN % RO \\ �/ •tare. \ �J /' I `*ref i F. M. 2$1B (� D\\ \ EISTERWOOD AIRPORT \� PARKS SITE PLAN PLAN r \\s rKg 1 r CITY OF COLLEGE STAT 163 L E G E N D Park Sites 0 Existing Service Area Future Service Area ---� Proposed Neighborhood Park Proposed Community Park SOUTH.., _ TYLE COMP 2W s' � N i 1 WELLBORN L_ PARKS SITE PLAN PLAN 2000 CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 11163 #e,-,37' l PLATE 21 1 0 1 51t 8 NORTH N N SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES Plsnn ln. 8 ml-"—, Consult. nts D.II.s T.... WAYNE W SNYDER ASSOCIATES Pl.nnln9 .D.v.l.ta —1 YM.IIMNRt Fort Worth i.i.• TABLE 59 City of College Station, Texas FUTURE PARKS & OPEN SPACE ACQUISITION PLANNING NEIGHBORHOOD COMMUNITY CITY OPEN TOTAL DISTRICT PARKS PARKS PARK SPACE AREA 1 - - - 24.7 ac 24.7 ac 2 5.8 ac - - 11.0 16.8 3 - - - 44.3 44.3 4 6.9 56.0 ac - 153.8 216.7 5 - - - 94.0 94.0 6 - - - 27.0 27.0 7 - - - 44.6 44.6 8 - - - 21.9 21.9 9 - - - 63.4 63.4 10 - - - 95.9 95.9 11 14.5 - - 56.9 71.4 12 15.3 64.3 107.5 ac. 72.5 259.6 TOTALS 42.5 ac 120.3 ac 107.5 ac 710.0 ac 980.3 ac Source: Estimates by Consultants FACILITIES PROGRAM The deveopment of an adequate parks and recreation system is an expensive undertaking that cannot be financially accomplished in the immediate future. However, the commitment to fund a continuing program of park development will quickly begin to show positive results. In its 1981 bond program, the City authorized $3,138,040 for the parks and recreation program. This included $1,150,000 for park land acquisition, $329,000 for offices and maintenance facilities, and $1,751,000 for development of existing parks. The park development program for the next year proposes $210,000 for development of Anderson Park, $50,000 for Raintree, and $97,000 for Brothers Pond. Priorities for 1983-84 include development of Gabbard and Lemon Tree Parks and for 1984-85 development of Merry Oaks, G. K. Fitch, and Longmire Parks. Parks are normally considered to be a general responsibility of the City, and are usually acquired and developed through general obligation or tax bonds of the City. However, not all costs of the park development program need be assumed by the City. The Texas Parks and Wildlife Department administers a bO percent matching grant program for park acquisition and development. However, the designated land cannot be acquired by the City until the grant is funded. Open space acquisition is also eligible under this grant program. Many cities are putting more responsibility on developers to provide park facilities as they may contribute to population growth. Often dedications of park land are requested as a part of subdivision plat approval. The City of College Station's present policy requires dedication of one acre of land for each 133 dwelling units or a contribution of $225 per dwelling unit for both single-family and multi -family units. 164 Private trust funds, estates, and corporations can also be a source of funding for park development. Several cities in the State, including Austin and Temple, have set up a semi -private Community Improvement Corporation to accept gifts of land and money. This body could also aid in financing libraries, museums, art galleries, community centers, and other public improvements. User fees can also be a source of funds. Charges are generally made for special use recreation facilities such 'as golf courses, swimming pools, zoos, gardens, and tennis. However, more cities are beginning to charge fees to organized athletic associations for the use and maintenance of baseball, softball, and soccer fields. These charges are generally passed on to the actual paraticipants as player fees by the organization. SCHOOLS The existence of the independent school district system in Texas presents a unique situation to the planning process since the city is not responsible for providing schools. However, the interactive impact of such elements of the planning process as population distribution, land use, recreation, and traffic circulation upon school sites indicates the need to plan for school facilities as an integral part of the process. EXISTING SCHOOLS The College Station Independent School District presently has two elementary schools for grades K-4, one middle school for grades 5-6, one junior high school for grades 7-8, and one senior high school for grades 9-12. A facilities survey and building needs study was conducted by SHWC, Inc., Architects Engineers Planners, and compiled into report form February, 1981. As that report provides a thorough analysis of all facilities and conditions of each building, that information will not be repeated herein. College Hills Elementary: Located on Williams Street at Francis Street, this elementary school has a 17 acre site. The numerous ouildings, totaling 65,932 square feet, house kindergarten through 4th grade, a cafeteria, library, multi-purpose bulding , and speech building. There is some room for expansion at this site. South Knoll Elementary: South Knoll Elementary is on a 13.5 acre site located on Boswell Street at Southwest Parkway and Langfora. The facility has 58,375 square feet consisting of a main building, kindergarten building, and multi-purpose building. The school serves Kindergarten through 4th grade. Area for expansion is available but limited at this site. Middle School/Oakwood Campus: The middle school serving 5th and 6th grades is located on Holik Street at Jersey Street. Facilities include the main building, gymnasium, and six detached buildings for school use. The site is shared by two City -owned buildings and tennis/basketball courts. This is a 15 acre site with no room for expansion in any direction. 165 Middle School/Junior High Campus: 7th and 8th grade middle school students attend the Junior High Campus located north of the Oakwood Campus on Anderson Street at Jersey Street. The site has almost 22 acres, part of which is taken up by the football field and stadium. School facilities include the main building, cafeteria/gymnasium, auditorium, three smaller classroom buildings, plus a music building. The School District Administrative Building is also located at this site. A&M Consolidated High School: The senior high school is centrally located or the future growth potential of the City. The 39.8 acre site located on West Loop South between Welsh Street and Nueces Street adequately contains the large building complex, field house, tennis courts, running track, and practice football field. It also provides room for future expansion. SCHOOL STANDARDS The following standards are adopted from the U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Office of Education. Elementary Schools: The elementary school serves as the basic design element in delineation o the neighborhood unit. The following standards apply in planning for the elementary school grades K-5. * The service area of the elementary school should coincide with the limits of the neighborhood. * The service area should be bounded but not interrupted by major thoroughfare so that no child would have to cross a heavily traveled street on his way to or from school. * The service area should be limited, wherever possible, to a half -mile walking distance from home to school. * The elementary school should serve a population of 4,000 to 6,000 persons. * The elementary school should have an enrollment of 250 to 750 students with an average school having 500 students. * The school site should have a minimum area of five acres plus one acre for each 100 students. * The school site should be located adjacent to a neighborhood park. Middle Schools: The.desirable service area for a middle school, grades 6-8, is what has been previously described as the "community unit". The following standards are recommended in development of middle school facilities: * The service area should consist of three to six neighborhoods. * The service area should be limited, wherever possible, to a one to one and one-half mile radius. * The middle school should serve a population of 10,000 to 17,500 persons. 166 r - S ' I e T-1 -E 1 + \RJ~ r i 8AV r`;�: D SCHOOLS SITE PLAN PLAN CITY OF COLLEGE STAT L E G E N D Existing Elementary School Service Areas Existing Middle School --► Service Area Future Elementary School — — Service Areas Future Middle School Service Area School Sites IT Nk ffi� s WELLBORN 0 �L A l.. µ L_ PLATE 22 0 \ SCHOOLS NORTH N N r' SITE PLAN PLAN 2000 c r CITY OF COLLEGE STATION, TEXAS 1167 SAMUEL L. WYSE ASSOCIATES Pl.nnhty 3 M.n.B.m.nt Con.ult.nt. (-] (-j j� D.II.• T. a.• ���L,I��� J� WAYNE W .NYDER ASSOCIATES Pl...'.. 8 O...lopm.nt M.n.B.m.nt Fort Worth T.R. �,� * The middle school should have an enrollment of 800 to 1,200 students with an average school having 1,000 students. * The school site should be centrally located in the service area and accessible by thoroughfares and major pedestrian -ways to the related neighborhoods within the community unit. * The middle school should be located adjacent to a commity park. Senior High Schools: The service area of a senior high school, grades 9-12, consists of at least two "community units". Standards for development of senior high schools are as follows: * The senior high school should be located at the center of the service area and be accessible by thoroughfares from all the service area. * The service area should be limited, wherever possible, to a one and one-half to two mile radius. * The senior high school should serve a population of approximately 30,000 persons. * The school site should have 20 acres plus one acre per 100 students plus additional area for a sports stadium and related parking. FUTURE SCHOOLS The College Station Independent School District has prepared two reports which provide an in-depth analysis of existing school facilities and short-term needs. The first of these "Facilities Survey and Building Needs Study" was prepared by SHWC, Inc. Architects in February 1981. This report presents detailed information on existing sites, buildings, facilities, programs, and enrollments. It further recommends needed improvements to present school facilities. The second study, "Report on Facility Planning Needs", was prepared by the Superintendent of Schools in August, 1981. This report summarizes the findings of the previous study, and makes specific recommendations for improvements through the 1985-86 school year for inclusion in the recent bond issue. This $15.5 million bond issue included tunds for construction of Southwood Valley Elementary, expansion of the High School, site development at all schools, improvements to College Hills Elementary, improvements for pre-school and special education, handicapped provisions, and new site acquisitions. The recommended program calls for acquisition of two new school sites totaling 40 acres. One site of 15 acres would be for an elementary school. The other site of 25 acres would accommodate both an elementary school and middle school. These sites are both proposed at the Southeastern edge of the City. The report concludes that the recommended improvements and site acquisitions would serve the School District through the year 1990. Two additional elementary schools will be needed in the Southern part of the City as shown on the Schools Site Plan Map, plate 22. 168 Improvements 169 170 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENTS Municipal government in College Station, as in any city, has three general areas of responsibility: (1) to provide services in return for taxes, (2) to regulate private activities in the public interest; and (3) to promote individual, family, and community welfare. It is to these three areas of responsibility that the Comprehensive Plan is addressed. As College Station grows, demands are placed upon the City for an expansion of its services. Old facilities must be maintained and improved to adequately serve the needs of the citizens. Streets and utility systems must be extended and upgraded. Police and fire protection must be expanded. Good schools and attractive parks must be provided, and with the increased demand for services, governmental facilities must likewise be increased. The Comprehensive Plan for College Station indicates that the City's population should increase to about twice its present level over the next twenty years, from about 38,000 at present to approximately 71,650 by the year 2000. In order that all citizens might be well serviced, the City must optimize the allocation of its limited resources so as to not unduly burden its citizens. Within the scope of the comprehensive planning process for the City of College Station, the Capital Improvement Program is a financial plan. As a companion to the multi -element Comprehensive Plan, it is an analysis of the past and present financial capacity of the City to provide its services. Along with the Comprehensive Plan, it proposes the means to schedule and finance needed City facilities over the planning period to the year 2000. The determination of these facilities has been made trom a study of existing and proposed land use patterns within the City, as well as from studies of the utilities systems, thoroughfare system, and community facilities made as a part of the Comprehensive Plan. The Capital Improvements Program is essentially a four-part study. The first section, Financial Analysis, relates College Station's financial position to other cities, examines overlapping debt, and analyzes revenues and expenditures of the City. The second part examines bonded debt and proposes a plan for financing improvements in the future. Possible alternative sources of funding are then discussed. Finally, a priority listing of recommended improvements and their costs are presented. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Prior to the development of a specific Capital Improvements Program for College Station, a study must be made of the City's abilitiy to finance needed improvements. College Station's present financial position is first compared with that of other comparable cities in the area. Then outstanding debt of taxing bodies overlapping with the City of College Station is examined. The Financial Analysis also presents a study of College Station's past revenues and expenditures together with five-year projections based on past trends, assessed valuation, tax rates, and anticipated population. The study further considers the City's outstanding debt, amortization schedules, debt 171 J Q W r Cil Ln N Ol X F- M Ct N n tD F- Q Q Q ~ b4 M q:t r� N tD Q C M m M N F- F- Ln N F - r N X Ln W Z F- O O W C. W O r N >- L1 Q p ta4 O O O O U F- J L/) M: WF r r N U) O M LP F- W N 00 M M N in O O0 M v7 ::r - W Z� O Q p W O Cl N -C*- r O > C O �t Q C n p W O b4 r •r J W -- tO r U) O M \ r M Ln O 00 O0 U) Z • Eff C N cn M C C C CT. 00 r n Cil in ^ CL Q Q ^ r C3 r Cil If W r > EH Q F- W J O Z U X F- P� O O O O W Q Q r CA U) N Cil LL- F- tY N -Ct N n tD LL r M M r CT W b4 W O C C r J Q W r Cil Ln N Ol X F- M Ct N n tD F- Q Q Q ~ b4 W J ^ V) Q r r C71 U) Cn M N > b4 O M tO n Ln 64 i It tD r- 00 tD r F- O Cil M r M n Q 00 N M CTl Cil J Cll C r ^ U) M Ln d M qzr N N Z N V) I N C O Lt) P- N F- t \ F - X Ln W Z F- O O O O C N >- LN UJ Q co O O O O F- J L/) M: WF r r r r CD Q Q O J Z CC F- ::r - O Q 00 N -C*- C O S O Z Q C n C C r •r J F- W r tO r U) O +) Q = — C C W a J C tD N r. C71 tD CL Q Q r r r N U> 4 - W Q J O Z CO C lD N M Cil 00 Q N LL. \ O r M M r CT F- r W O C C r Ln Ln r W = O O O > J r r CT Lf) CA M U+ Q r n M 1p n U) F- > M n r 4- Q Q H? O Q >) d p +) M W O M N M m 00 •r C L/) W O r 00 co r Cil U U Ln O CO to r Ln Ln n W J ^ V) Q r r C71 U) Cn M N > b4 O M tO n Ln 64 i It tD r- 00 tD r F- O Cil M r M n Q 00 N M CTl Cil J Cll C r ^ U) M Ln d M qzr N N Z O F - Q F- W L/) J J Q WF - CD W > O J Q CC F- ::r - O CD W U CO S S Z 172 Ln r d' d cf tD LO U) Gt N N r M r Ln tD N M r� N r U) M K3' LO N t l N N Ln U) Lf) LO O C71 Cf I M N Ln N tD M to O tD U) Ln :*, M O I CY N O U) Lc M r r U) Ln -::r O m O Ln Ln I co tD O Cil U) N M O O N U) N N M -zr r 1 ^ Ln CT M U) Lf) cY r tO N N O O O C O N O O O n Ln Ln M Cil r O M rl, Rd, Ln tD tD tD LO tD M O n U) Ln M m r O m � LO tD tD tD Ln tD M 00 °\° \ °\° \ °\° \ \ 3A° C C O O O C O O O M Cil lD r M Gt tD 00 M n Ln Ln C 00 N 00 N tO C Cil tD r t7 -,:I' r N r Ln tD r r Ln v Ln M N d r r r N r r N N co Ln CT tD 00 O 00 n O Cf M In N n r -,:*- LO O O r M to 00 r C M CilCil Ln M M N U) Cil C N O C r n �t Cf 00 CO 00 N Ln LO � tD n M r r NN Cn Ln Cil tD co C 00 I\ O Ch M Ln N n r � U) O r Cil tD 00 r CO M CilCn Lr M M N Ln CT O N O O r r --OO CO co N Ln Ln ¢t n tD n M r r r ^t0 N M M M r CY) M M C)1 Cil r 00 O n LO C M N L) Rt cr d N CO M tD O O N r r Gr M Gt �' Mm t7 t7' M N J J S p Z Z } W J r~� Z J O C7 Z S Z U Q J Z W U Q W �c O w W J J J CC LY d Q Q Q W Q O 2 W W W U Cl S Y Z Ln F- F- -M limitations, and bonding capacity. Based on these factors, a bonding program is prepared to support the recommended Capital Improvements Program. Comparative Financial Analysis: A comparison of the general financial status of College Station and several other cities in Texas is shown on Table 60. Two groups of cities are shown for comparison. The first group are those cities immediately surrounding the City of College Station. The second group has approximately the same population size as College Station by the 1980 Census. The first group of comparabale cities has an average per capita market valuation (value at 100 percent) of $11,078. College Station, with a per capita market valuation of $10,626 is somewhat below average. The second group of cities has an average per capita market valuation of $20,586, while the average for all cities is $17,190 per capita. Per capita value in College Station is, therefore, 41-50 percent below the average for these cities. However, a revaluation of property in College Station in 1982 raised the per capita market valuation to $16,442. The average effective tax rate (actual tax rate adjusted to 100 percent assessment ratio) for the first group of cities is $0.473 per $100 market valuation. The average for the second group is $0.595. College Station's effective tax rate is, therefore, significantly lower than the average. A study of almost 600 Texas cities conducted by the Consultants indicate that cities of the largest 10 percent, which would include College Station, generally had an effective tax rate in the range of $0.70 to $0.80. Cities of the second largest 25 percent generally had tax rates in the range of $0.60 to $0.70. The next largest 25 percent had rates of $0.50 to $0.60, while the smallest cities had rates generally less than $0.50. This would indicate that College Station now has a tax rate significantly low for a city its size. The average per capita debt for the first group of comparable cities is $360, while College Station's per capita debt is $564. The average for the second group of cities is- also $360. In summary, College Station's overall valuation is low, and its tax rate is also low; but the total bonded debt of the City is above average. Overlapping Debt: In addition to the City itself, citizens of College Station are required to pay taxes imposed by Brazos County and by the School District in which they reside. In addition, they must share the tax debt of these taxing bodies. Table bl presents the total outstanding debt of these taxing bodies and gives an estimate of the portion of that debt that accrues to residents of College Station. The total debt of these bodies in 1980 was $29,905,000. About 92 percent, or $26,538,000, accrues to residents of College Station as overlapping debt. This is a per capita overlapping debt for College Station of $712. The majority of this is due to debt of the laity. REVENUES AND EXPENDITURES In order to determine College Station's ability to finance Capital Improvements, the City's revenues and expenditures were studied, analyzed, 173 and projected. City audits and budgets were examined back through 1976 to determine past sources of revenue, types of expenditures, and revenue and expenditure trends. It was found that both revenues and expenditures have continually increased, reflecting the increased costs of municipal operations and the increased demand for services. From this study of past operations, projections were made of revenue and expenditures from 1982 through 1987 in order that the City's ability to pay for improvements during this period might be more clearly understood. Projections have been made by major functions for both the General Fund and the Utility Fund. The City also has a number of special funds which were examined and taken into consideration in this Financial Analysis. General Fund: Revenues and expenditures of the City's General Fund for fiscal years 1976 through 1982 are presented on Table 62. The General Fund includes those activities which are supported by tax revenues and charges of the City other than utilities. The fiscal year ends on June 30 of each year. The data presented was taken from official City audits for the years 1976-1980, and from the City budget for 1981-1982. Revenues are presented as they are listed in the City audits, but additional detail is also given in the audits. Categories of revenues for the General Fund are as follows: * Taxes include current ad valorem taxes, delinquent tax collections, penalities and interest, franchise taxes, and City sales taxes. * License & Permits include rental of property, recreation fees, and other services. * Fines & Forfeits cover corporation court fines, parking penalties, and other such charges. * Other Income includes interest on investments, fund transfers, reimbursements, grants, and other miscellaneous fees. Expenditures shown from the General Fund are exactly as detailed in the City audits and budgets, except that expenses for Uapital Outlay have been taken out of the individual department accounts and totaled for the entire General Funds. Expenditures of the General Fund are detailed as follows: * Administrative includes the Administration, Finance, and Engineering epratments. * Public Safety includes the Police and Fire Departments. * Public Works includes the Street and Sanitation Departments along with the Service Center, and Buildings and Grounds. 174 TABLE 61 City of College Station, Texas ANALYSIS OF OVERLAPPING DEBT - 1981 GOVERNMENTAL POPULATION OUTSTANDING PER PORTION AMOUNT BODY 1980 DEBT CAPITA OVER- OVERLAPPING ($1,000) DEBT LAPPING ($1,000) City of College Station 37,296 $21,767 $583 100% $21,767 Brazos County 93,487 595 5 32% 190 A&M Consolidated ISD 41.826 7,266 173 73% 5,304 TOTAL OVERLAPPING DEBT $27,261 PER CAPITA OVERLAPPING DEBT $ 731 Source: Municipal Advisory Council of Texas Estimates of the future revenues and expenditures of the General Fund for the period 1982-1987 are given on Table 63. These projections are based on trends shown by major categories over the past several years. In general, revenues have been increasing at an average of 21 percent per year, while expenditures have increased by an average of 22 percent per year. It is anticipated that these trends will continue in the foreseeable future unless the City makes changes in its policies regarding revenues and expenditures. Utility Fund: Revenues and expenditures of the City -owned water and sanitary sewer systems and electrical distribution for the year 1976-1982 are shown on Table 64. Only operating revenues and expenditures are shown in order to determine the net operating revenues available for bond debt service. Transfers to other funds are not shown. The categories of Utility Fund revenues are defined as follows: * Electricity Sales represent the sale of electricity to customers. * Water Sales represent the sale of water to customers. * Sewer Charges are collected with the water bill and are based on water consumption. * Interest is collected on debt service and operating fund investments. * Miscellaneous revenues include service fees, reconnect fees, use of City forces, and sale of scrap. As for the General Fund, expenditures for capital Outlays have been separeted out of departmental accounts for the Utility Fund. Otherwise, Utility Funds expenses are as presented in the audits and budgets. Categories of Utility Fund expenditures are as follows: 175 N CXR CT r n 01 In r X LL Ln H W CL' C F- O •r Q i- Z N ra W (0 +-) m N X W W J CU ca C ca Q N �-- r N r W O � U Z. W 4- O W � Q •r Z U � LL. 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W •r 4-) S- u U N v s co r (A 4-) 4-) r i O O 0-0 N U N 4- E N C Le) O N X i C i O La La co 4- C F- til i N F- N > N >1 Q) -)4- S- O 4 -)4- a) N i •r Ln r W Cl (v r C (a O 4-) •r La +) Z i a +) i O waw-, W a 64 I t+4 0M1000NI Cil ORd- MNLo LD 01-- O r N r U7 Cil Ql M n LC) L.0 N r Lo LA L,D N Ln tR} b4 O 00 r -I U'7 O O U')LDr NN 00 N U") n Lf) r O 0 LD M Cl Ln Cil r r-� M r N LP b4 b4 O r M r LLQ cf r� Cil n Cf I I r ^O O i 00 Ql I i —00 O r r M 64 v4 � N r O Ln N La Ln 4-) Ln O a) Cl- 'a O a) a) i C Z 4-) LL- .LrO -0O i-) La CO 4- Z Ln •r sZ O 4-) r C C C C U O +> O (1) QJ N C C 0) 0 - _W•ri-) LU -- 4-)NVQ X o` i Ln E Ln W O a O d 1 N CTf F- �-• -0 a) r (U •r co O C 4-) i-) +-) 4-) z O C O C La O a X W io n •r U N O CJ) m C La Ln •r O Q •U 4- 4- C) Q) L) i O O Ln * Electrical Transmission represents the purchase of electricity from Gulf States Utilities for distribution. * Electrical Distribution includes supplies, salaries and benefits, and bui ding and equipment maintenance. * Water Production covers expenses of operations and maintenance of the City's water wells and storage facilities. * Water Distribution includes maintenance and repairs to water lines and fire hydrants. * Sewage Collection is for operations, repairs, and upgrading of sewage co— lectios and manholes. * Sewage Treatment represents costs on the laity's waste water treatment plant. * Miscellaneous includes contingency funds, insurance, and other benefits. Projections of future Utility Fund revenues and expenditures for 1982-1987 are shown on Table 65. In the past, utility revenues have increased at an average of about 16 percent per year, while utility expenditures have increased at about 10 percent per year This trend is expected to continue in the future. The new operating revenues of the utility systems have averaged about $3,000,000 to $4,000,000 per year in the past, more than adequate for all existing bond debt coverage. Debt Service Fund: The City maintains a separate fund for the repayment of its bonded de t. The Debt Service Fund includes General Obligation bonds, Certificates of Ubligation, and Notes Payable. These debts are paid by an allocation of the laity's annual ad valorem tax revenues and transfers from the Utility Fund. Requirements of the Debt Service Fund are shown on Table b6. DEBT STRUCTURE The nature of capital improvements is such that large expenditures are generally required today for improvements which will serve the City for many years in the future. College Station, however, does not have the resources at present to pay for many long-term facilities since its revenues are collected and expenditures are made from year to year. The City finds it necessary, therefore, to issue bonds in order that it might have the funds required to fianace capital improvements when they are needed. These bonds allow the City to spread the cost of improvements over the life of the facilities. Depending on the limitations on debt service coverage to be discussed herein, bonds should be sold in the earliest favorable market following the approval of the bond sale. Any funds not appropriated for immediate construction should be invested in short-term government securities. This allows the City to absorb interest charges on the bonds until the money is needed for improvements. 181 The capital improvements which College Station will need during the planning period have been determined from previous sections of the Comprehensive Plan and have been assigned costs in this study. Funds available for financing improvements have been determined from the analysis of revenues and expenditures. The City's bonding capabilities and proposed bonding programs are presented on the following pages. General Obligation Bonds: General Obligation Bonds are used to finance the construction or purchase of streets, drainage, parks, public buildings, and other facilities which generally contribute no direct revenues to the City. These bonds are generally financed through tax revenue. In College Station they are paid for by an allocation of current tax collections to the Debt Service Fund. Revenue Bonds: Revenue Bonds are normally used to finance electric, water, sewer, and gas utilities. Sometimes parks, parking lots, garages, transportation systems, or other facilities collecting revenue can be financed with revenue bonds. Debt limits for utility revenue bonds are generally determined by past net revenues of the utility systems. For College Station, net revenues for the year preceding the issuance of new revenue bonds must have been 1.5 times the average annual debt service requirements, including that of the new issue. For these computations, net revenues are aetermined by subtracting utility operating expenses from utility revenues. IMPROVEMENTS PROGRAM Capital Improvements are those permanent facilities or improvements which will serve the City for over ten years. Elements of College Station's Comprehensive Plan have defined the facilities and improvements which will be needed by the City in order to meet the demands of future growth. The Capital Improvements Program provides a guide for urban growth through the scheduling and financing of these improvements. General needs for capital improvements are listed on Table 67. These needs are presented in order by priority of need. A detailed program of recommended improvements for the next five years is given on Table 69. A description is given of each project with estimates of cost and sources of possible funding. Construction cost estimates are based on present prices only, and no factor has been added for inflation. If the City formulates policies regarding provision of street and utility improvements by developers, future capital improvements will cost the City much less than would otherwise De expected. The City's major costs wi l l be for water supply and sewage treatment facilities, widening of major thoroughfares to full standards, constructaion of public buildings, and acquisition and development of parks. The recommended Capital Improvements Programs cannot be expected to cover all improvements which will be needed by the City. Each year additional small-scale improvements will be made as immediate needs are recognized. Some funds were included in the previous revenue and expenditure projections for these needs. In is not anticipated, however, that these other projects will seriously alter the Capital Improvements Program outlined herein. 182 TABLE 67 City of College Station; Texas CAPITAL NEEDS LIST, 1982 - 2000 PUBLIC BUILDINGS 1. Police Station Addition. 2. Warehouse Addition. 3. City Hall Addition. 4. Construct Fire Station #3 in East part of City. 5. Construct Fire Station #4 in South part of City. 6. Construct Fire Station #5 in Northeast part of City. 7. Construct Police Substation in Southeast part of City. 8. Construct Fire Station #6 in Southeast part of City. 9. Construct Fire Station #9 in West part of City. PARKS AND RECREATION 1. Make improvements to existing facilities - Merry Oaks, Raintree, Anderson, Lemontree, Longmire, Brother's Pond, G.K. Fitch, and Gabbard. 2. Develop Southwood Athletic Complex. 3. Construct park maintenance facilities at Central and Bee Creek. 4. Construct parks office building at Central Park. 5. Develop a system of 8 additional neighborhood parks -acquire and develop 45 acres of additional park lands. 6. Develop a system of 2 larger Community Parks - acquire and develop 120 acres of additional park lands. 7. Uevelop an additional City Park - acquire and develop 107 acres of additional park lands. 8. Establish a policy regarding utilization of flood plains along creeks, and acquire 710 acres of open space land. THOROUGHFARES 1. Acquire right-of-way and extend Holleman Street from Texas Avenue to the frontage road of the East Loop. 2. Acquire right-of-way and extend Dartmouth from Woodstock Subdivision to Brentwood Subdivision and Southwest Parkway to the East Loop. 3. Construct curb, gutter, and drainage along State Highway 30. 4. Improve Southwest Parkway from Texas Avenue to F.M. 2154. 5. Acquire additional right-of-way and construct Krenek Tap Road to collector standards. 6. Acquire right-of-way and extend Lincoln Street from Ashburn to University. 7. Acquire right-of-way for Dartmouth/East Loop overpass. 8. Acquire right-of-way for Southwest Parkway/East Loop overpass. 9. Acquire additional right-of-way for extension of F.M. 2818 from Texas Avenue to Dartmouth. 10. Acquire right-of-way for connection of Appomattox. 183 TABLE 67 Continued City of College Station, Texas CAPITAL NEEDS LIST, 1982 - 2000 11. Acquire right-of-way and construct North Graham Road from FM2154 to Texas Avenue. 12. Widen Texas Avenue to 4 -lane thoroughfare from Southwest Parkway to Green Prairie Road. 13. Widen FM 2818 to a 4 -lane thoroughfare. 14. Acquire right-of-way and extend Welsh Street to North Graham Road. 15. Widen FM60 to a 4 -lane thoroughfare. 16. Widen State Highway 30 to a 4 -lane thoroughfare. 17. Acquire right-of-way and extend Rio Grande to North Graham Road as a minor arterial. 18. Acquire right-of-way and extend Deacon to FM2154 as a minor arterial. 19. Widen Rock Prairie Road to a minor arterial from Texas Avenue to the southern boundary of the 2300 acres. 20. Acquire right-of-way and extend Emerald Parkway as a 4 -lane thoroughfare. 21. Widen Luther Street between FM 2154 and FM2818. 22. Acquire right-of-way and extend Holkeman from FM2154 to FM2818. 23. Realign, extend, and widen Dowling Road. 24. Widen North Graham Road between FM2154 to Dowling Road. 25. Acquire additional right-of-way and widen Green Prairie Road between FM2154 and FM158. 26. Acquire additional right-of-way and widen Barron Road. 27. Acquire right-of-way and extend Bird Pond Road from Rock Prairie Road to Green Prairie Road. 28. Construct improvements to Graham, Quail Run, Sebesta, and Foxfire to collector standards. 29. Acquire right-of-way and extend Raintree as a collector. 30. Acquire right-of-way and construct north -south minor arterial from North Graham Road to Green Prairie Road. 31. Acquire right-of-way and construct north -south minor arterial from Emerald Parkway to Green Prairie Road. 32. Acquire right-of-way and construct north -south minor arterial from State Highway 30 to Emerald Parkway. 33. Acquire right-of-way and extend Pate Road from FM158 to new north - south arterial. 34. Widen FM158 to 4 -lane thoroughfare. ELECTRIC SERVICE I. Addition to Gulf State Utilities switching station. 2. Additions to electrical substation. 3. Improvements to aistribution system. 4. Electric system mapping. WATER SYSTEM 1. Extension of Distribution lines from the Dowling Road Pump Station to the proposed new elevation water tower. 184 TABLE 67 Continued City of College Station, Texas CAPITAL NEEDS LIST, 1982 - 2000 2. Construct 2 mg. elevated water storage tank 3. Extend the T.I. waterline to serve the Harvey area. 4. Construct 5 mg. ground storage facility and Pump #4 at Dowling Road Pump Station. 5. Develop well #4 and cooling tower and Pump #3 at Sandy Point Pump Station. 6. Install 12" water along north side of FM2816 from Glade to FM2154 and north to Southwest Parkway. 7. Install 16" water along east side of FM2154 from Rock Prairie Road to Barron Road. 8. Install 12" water along west side of SH6 from Southwest Parkway to north of interchange with Texas Avenue. 9. Install 12" water along east side of SH6 from Emerald Parkway to Wood Creek Drive. 10. Install 16" water along Dartmouth from Southwest Parkway to Dart- mouth Elevated Tank. 11. Construct'2 mg. Dartmouth Elevated Water Storage Tank. 12. Install 24" water along FM2818 extension to Dartmouth Extension. 13. Install 24" water along Uartmouth extension from FM2818 to SH6. 14. Install 16" water south of University Drive from Munson to SH6 and along SH6 from FM60 to Brazoswood Drive. 15. Install 12" water west side of SH6 from Brazoswood to SH30. 16. Install 18" crossing of SH6 near Brazoswood Drive. 17. Install 18" east side of SH6 from FM60 to SH30. 18. Install 24" water along Rock Prairie Road from SH6 to Green Prairie Road. 19. Install 18" water along Barron Road west from SH6 to proposed north - south arterial then 12" water along Barron Road to FM2154. 20. Install 18" water along proposed north -south arterial between South- wood Athletic Park and Barron Road. 21. Install 12" water south from Wellborn and east along Green Prairie Road to proposed Elevated Tank. 22. Install 12" water from Emerald Parkway to Rock Prairie Road through Foxfire and Woodcreek. WASTE WATER SYSTEM 1. Increase treatment capacity of Carter Creek Treatment Plant to 8.0 mgd. 2. Install 15" Rock Prairie Interceptor from Rock Prairie Road and SH6 to treatment plant. 3. Extend 12" gravity sewer from FM2818 southwest to FM2154. 4. Extend 12" gravity sewer from Southwood Valley Addition southwest. 5. Install 1.0 mgd. lift station on Lick Creek east of SH6. 6. Install 12" force main from proposed lift station to Rock Prairie Interceptor. 7. Install 18" trunk main along Lick Creek from lift station. 8. Install temporary 0.5 mgd. sewage treatrment facility on Lick Creek at Landfill. 9. Extend 21" and 30" mains from lift station to proposed temporary facility. TABLE 67 Continued City of College Station, Texas CAPITAL NEEDS LIST, 1982 - 2000 10. Install 18" trunk main along southern branch of Lick Creek to temporary facility. 11. Construct 10.0 mgd. Sewage Treatment Plant on Lick Creek in proposed industrial park. 12. Install 42" trunk main up Lick Creek and abandon temporary treatment facility. 13. Install 27" main along Spring Creek and connect to 42" trunk line. 14. Extend 15" lines along branches of Spring Creek. SOLID WASTE DISPOSAL College Station utilizes a sanitary landfill for ultimate disposal of solid wastes. The landfill is on Rock Prairie Road in the Lick Creek Drainage Basis. In 1980, the landfill was receiving approximately 5 lbs. of solid waste per person. The projected landfill requirements are as follows: TABLE 68 City of Col egT—e ation, Texas PROJECTED LANDFILL REQUIREMENTS I. Between 1985 and 1990, have a feasibility study made to determine the most cost effective final aisposal of solid waste. 2. Between 1990 and 1995, begin design and construction for final disposal alternative recommended in feasibility study mentioned above. POPULATION SOLID WASTE GENERATION YEAR SERVED #/DAY C.Y./WEEK* AC.FT/YR** DEFICIENT*** 98 6 i8b,000 11609. None 1985 43,000 215,000 1340 56.8 None 1990 48,000 240,000 1500 b3.6 None 1995 60,000 300,000 1880 79.7 None 2000 72,000 360,000 ?250 95.4 362 AcFt * Based upon 800 lbs. per cubic yard and 5 days/week hauling. ** Based upon solid waste volume to landfill volume ratio of 1:1.32. *** Based upon 50 Ac of available land and 20 ft. fill (1000 AcFt). Source: Recommendations by Consultants Tne City's present landfull on Rock Prairie Road will provide adequate space for solid waste disposal until 1995, unless growth is much more rapid than projected. Recommendations for solid waste disposal are as follows: I. Between 1985 and 1990, have a feasibility study made to determine the most cost effective final aisposal of solid waste. 2. Between 1990 and 1995, begin design and construction for final disposal alternative recommended in feasibility study mentioned above. 00 Ol N r 10N X co O CT. F- r O Q •r � i-•) CD rn co O ko 4-) N a- LLJ m 0) H LLJ r O Lil U � O 4- O CL •r J U Q H a. 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Y. 2818 �u �// ` d \�( •• r \ j� �7 / WELLBORN EASTERVIOOD IN AIRPORT r.J 0 SEWERAGE IMPROVEMENT; PLAN CITY OF COLLEGE STAT 191 1 w V I r0 N X co Q) � F- C � O Q tY +-) (D r0 O 4 tY Ln Q a) Ln Cn F- aJ Z r W r � O W U � O O Q •r J U C� F - Q Q U J Q F- O F- 00 Lp 00 1 LL Ln 00 4 co 1 r LL - 00 M 00 I IL LL. M 00 N co 1 r LL - V) Ln F - Z W W IY hr C' W 3 W Z 0 0 0 o O O O C) O Ct O Ln O O O m lD LD Ln O O O 00 I- n Ln M Ln O O co d• 00 -.0 cT N L,D N of N t0 M r r -zi- C O -P N r0 +or} ct 3 64 192 N LD LC) t\ �t t\ O M tH 00 r N 00 cT r Q L O Cl - V) N Z W W O Q J Q F - Q Q U J Q C F- a O Ln O O i a) O -P N r0 ct 3 (3) N O C 3 O O O O r ro Ln O 4-) N t0 O r F -- Al -} O O O .zzt- O ul ^ LD Ln 1\ LI) M 00 lD Cil N M r fsi O O O O lD C S- 1- r- O o c7 O +-) N -Zj- Q Y Ln •N (1) U O C 4- U b4 3 O - S- E E = E r a) Oi cY o O O E C C 4- If) 4- 0.- O — O Y 27) r (n4-) i r a) E a) i N i r 3 4- a) LO C a) O •r- a) m:: a) C i -j O S- • i 3 LL_ 3- Ln C i r- -- U oo •r- a) a) •0 . - •r- •— +-) ro to N S.- 0 i 4 Q 4- E i E4--) >> >) r Cl -Ln +-� -f-)+-) +J >> r a) Y i i Y •r Ln •r () U -X C +J rO C U > () > r -o i U 4- i U ro O M 3 r0 r 0) O O i •r - W r Q S. -S --i CO E 4- Q +-) r Ln O - O O O Y= 0= E >- i-) LO +� = O = "0 a) N +-3 CO O Ln C C r a N cn (\J O r () r r S- o O a) a) r r 0 i C 4- Q • r E r U oo 3— U r 0— rW W 0 i --1r iTSr-0Lr —•r rY F- C CO rO a) C 00 C +-) r0 Y r0 +-) r0 a) Q r0 a) +3 +-L a) N a) O i-) U +- rO +-) a) 3 0_ i Ln C +J +-) o Ln •- Ln +-) N i X F- C X LL_ X V) C J C Ln C U W W L--+ W W F- N Q 3 r N M Lf) 192 N LD LC) t\ �t t\ O M tH 00 r N 00 cT r Q L O Cl - V) N Z W W O Q J Q F - Q Q U J Q C F- Future Development 193 194 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT It has been shown that the recent growth trend in College Station has been toward the east and south. In the future, it is anticipated that some development will continue toward the east, and scattered activity will continue west of wellborn Road. However, it is anticipated that the major impact of future growth will be felt toward the south. There are several factors which support the future southerly growth trend: * The land with the highest development potential for residential uses lies to the south. * State Highway 6, the primary access route through the area, is proposed to be developed as a freeway section to the south. * There are no major physical barriers to growth toward the south as there are to the east and west. * Plans for new school development will provide new facilities toward the south. * Provision of doth water and sewer utilities will be most economical toward the south. * The proposed development of a high technology/research facility to the south of the City will act as a magnet attracting development in that airection. At the time the existing land use study was made, it was estimated that about 37,509 persons resided within the present laity limits of College Station. Within the existing City limits, there are about 3,780 acres of land, not including University -owned property which could feasibly be developed. At the present intensity of development, this vacant land could support an additional 35,300 persons or all of the population growth anticipated to the year 2000. However, it is anticipated that all of this vacant land will not be developed. Some of the existing vacant land is located west of Easterwood Airport and east of Carters Creek, both of which present major physical barriers to growth. Even within the presently developed portion of the City, there will always be scattered parcels which Tor various reasons will always remain vacant. By the year 2000; it is, therefore, anticipated that an additional 18,495 persons will reside within the existing City limits. Another 15,646 will live outside the present Lity limits but within the existing two-mile ETJ of the City. The table following provides estimates of the future development of the City. These projections are based on present land use, developable areas, estimated holding capacities, and anticipated densities of population. This table also provides estimates of the distribution of population in the year 2000. 195 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES The various types of land uses have different requirements for their locations in the City. Land uses should be locatea where they can be adequately served with utilities and public facilities and proper access. The location of each particular use should be compatible with other uses nearby. Intensive uses should be located so that they do not adversely affect residential or environmentally sensitive areas. Intensive uses must be located to assure adequate capacity of utilities and traffic -ways while residential areas should be isolated from traffic and noise. Residential uses will be the predominant land use within the urban area in the future. Single-family uses should be located within easy access of shopping, schools, and recreation but should be protected from the incompatibility of more intensive uses. Duplex and apartment uses can and should be utilized to buffer single-family neighborhoods from commerical and industrial uses. Commercial activities should be located at points of high vehicular access. Points of highest access are at grade separations along the freeway. Mayor shopping, offices, and other intensive commercial activities should be located near these points. Secondary access points are located at the intersection of thoroughfares. Neighborhood shopping centers and other activities which serve the immediate community should be located at these points. Commercial activities should not be allowed to develop in extended strips along thoroughfares as this can create traffic congestion, unsightly conditions, and intrusions on residential areas. Schools and parks should be located at the center of the neighborhood or community which they serve. Elementary schools and neighborhood parks should be located on collector streets away from thoroughfares. Junior and senior high schools and larger community parks should be located near the intersection of thoroughfares. Industrial uses should be located within easy access of both the highway and the railroad. The ideal area would be fronting on the highway and backing to the railroad. wherever possible, greenbelts or other less intensive land uses should be located to buffer industrial areas from residential uses. LAND USE CONTROLS Zoning and Subdivision Ordinances are generally considered to be the primary land use controls available to a laity. However, there are a number of others which are availalbe for controlling the use of land which may be as effective. Some of these must take the legal form of an ordinance, but others may be utilized merely through City policies and practices. The authority to zone is granted to cities under Article 1011a V.T.C.S. (1959). The Zoning Ordinance establishes regulations governing the use of land and districts within the Gity in which similar uses are allowed and conflicting uses prohibited. Zoning is enforceable only within the corporate limits of the City. 196 The requirement for the recording of subdivision plats is authorized by Article 947a V.T.C.S. (1963). The authorization to extend subdivision regulations to the extra -territorial jurisdiction (ETJ) of the City is contained in the Municipal Annexation Act, Article 970a V.A.R.C.S. (1963). Subdivision regulations may establish procedures for platting and permanent marking of subdivisions and may establish standards for development. These standards may specify the sizes and types of paving, water and sewer lines, drainage, alleys, street lighting, lot sizes and building lines, location of streets and details of intersections, and other design requirements. Annexation, as authorized under Article 970a, may also be used as a land use control. Annexation will automatically extend zoning controls into new areas. It will also expand the range of subdivision controls by extending the ETJ of the City. College Station's ETJ extends to two miles outside its city limits, east, south, and west of the City. Essentially all areas within the College Station Planning Area are within or could be brought within its city limits. Policies regarding the provision of municipal utilities and the improvement of roads may also control the use of land. The direction of growth can be greatly affected through the extension of utilities and roads into areas where development is desired while withholding such services from other areas. Flood plain and open space zoning may also be effective, particularly in holding down overall densities of development. The withholding of environmental areas from development not only prevents despoiling or pollution of these areas, but also provides a more pleasant atmosphere in which to live and work. The preservation of open space and natural amenitites will tend to attract less intense and higher quality development. The transfer of development rights and use of easements can provide such open space without legislative zoning. These consist of legal instruments in which the City contracts with the landowner for some use of his property. Under transfer of development rights, the landowner maintains title to the land, but the City would pay for the right to dictate its use. Easements could be used for bicycle or pedestrian paths, or to preserve greenbelts through particular areas. The power of eminent domain, granted to Home Rule cities under Article 1175, may also be used to control the use of land. The right to take private land for such public uses as parks, schools, utilities, or civic centers will preclude other types of private development. The use of eminent domain to extend roads or utlities can open new areas to development. Public redevelopment programs will directly dictate the use of land. Older areas may be cleared and redeveloped for other land uses. Design studies for the development of particular areas may direct land uses without actual public redevelopment of private lands. Such design studies may provide agreements for improvements to be made both by the City and private landowners. 197 The Texas Water Code (60th Legislature, Ch. 313, 1971) and the Texas Clean Air Act (Article 447-5, 1969) grant authority to any city to control air and water pollution. The enactment and enforcement of appropriate ordinances may be utilized to at least indirectly control the use of land. Taxation policies may very directly influence the use of land. Taxation based on productivity of the land may retain in agricultural uses land that might otherwise be put into the development market. Higher taxation on certain properties will encourage higher intensities of land uses. Tax incentives may also be used to encourage the development of vacant lands which have been bypassed. The ability to utilize such methods while still unclear may be seriously hindered by recent State legislation. Cooperation with other units of government may also affect the use of land. Examples of such cooperative agreements by College Station might include the School District for the location of schools and parks, the Texas Department of Highways, and Brazos County on the widening and improvements to roads and nearby cities for providing such facilities as solid waste disposal sites. It will be only through the combined use of several or all of these methods that the Comprehensive Plan may be effectively implemented. DEVELOPMENT POLICIES In order to provide continuity and equity in the implementation of the Comprehensive Plan, the City should adopt a set of policies which would be applied in making decisions concerning future development. A policy is a statement of intention which expresses the City's commitment to proceed in a prescribed manner. These development policies should serve to implement the goals and objectives of the City as well as the features of the Comprehensive Plan. A well established policy statement will provide the basis for decisions on development proposals, and will not get out of date over time. Policy statements should change only as the goals and intentions of the City would change. No definite statement can cover all situations, however. Specific instances may arise which require special treatment beyond the applicable policy. These cases should be given careful study and the burden of proof should be placed on those proposing such deviations from policy. Financial factors alone should not be a consideration in such decisions. Caution should be exercised in any deviations from policy: while one decision does not necessarily establish a precedent, continual equivocation can effectively destroy a policy statement. The following are recommended as policies to be followed in the implementation of the Development Plan. The adoption of this set of policy statements will serve to implement the goals of the citizens of College Station as well as provide a basis for future development of the City. These policy statements will also provide continuity among the decision -makers of the City over time. Individuals making decisions may change, but the statements of policy would change only by official action. Development Plan * The Comprehesive Plan will be utilized as the guide to the locations for future development of various types of land uses and facilities. * The City will permit only limited development in areas which cannot be served by existing utilities east of Carters Creek and west of Wellborn Road. * Future development will tie encouraged within the planned service area of the City only when it is economically feasible to do so. * Proposed subdivisions within the planned service area shall be developed to meet urban standards established by the City. Residential Development * The City recognizes changing markets for varying housing types, but will continue to reserve appropriate close -in areas for single-family development in the future. * Appropriate single-family areas are normally located within the centers of neighborhood areas, away from the intersections of thoroughfares. * Multi -family residential developments constitute generally appropriate buffers between single-family areas and more intensive development. * Residential densities should be graduated from higher densities at the boundary of neighborhood areas to lowest densities near the center of neighborhoods. * Multi -family residential development will be encouraged to locate on arterial streets. * The City will require adequate buffers between mobile home residential development and typical single-family residential development. * Modular construction will be encouraged but must be compatible with adjacent development. Commercial Development * The City will encourage the development of aesthetic commercial developments appropriate to the economy of the City. * Commercial developments will be located at the intersection of thoroughfares adequate to handle the traffic generated. 199 * Low intensity administrative/office development may provide an appropriatae buffer between residential areas and more intensive uses. * Commercial activities will be discouraged in locations where they would present conflicts due to traffic, noise, lights, or other high activity level effects. * Commercial zoning on major and minor arterials should have a minimum depth of four hundred (400) feet wherever possible, and individual tracts should be encouraged to be developed to limit access at a minimum spacing of five hundred (500) feet. Curb cuts should be no closer than two hundred (200) feet from a major intersection, whenever possible. Detached signs should be consolidated whenever possible. Industrial Development * The City will encourage the development of research/high technology industries serving the expansion and diversification of the economy and tax base of the City. * The City supports the development of the College Station Industrial Development Foundation high technology/research park. * The City will direct appropriate industries to locate within the Industrial Foundation park. * If alternative locations are required, light industries will be located as designated in the Development Plan. * Heavy industries will be located only within designated areas along Wellborn Road and the railroad. * Appropriate buffers of greenspace or less intensive uses will be provided between all industrial and residential areas. Parks & Recreation * The City will continue to acquire and develop a system of parks in accordance with the Parks & Recreation Plan. * Developers will be required to dedicate land and/or cash to satisfy the neighborhood park needs generated by their developments. Open Space * Development within designated flood plain areas will be discouraged, and the burden of proof for any reclamation project shall rest with the proposer. * Development within designated floodway areas will not be allowed. * Open space areas and creeks shall remain as much as possible in their natural state. 200 * Creeks and other natural drainage courses shall be intended to continue functioning as natural drainage courses. * Maintenance access should be provided on all major drainage channels and on designated minor channels as shown on the Master Drainage Plan. Transportation * The City will implement the development of a system of arterial, thoroughfare, and collector streets as indicated in the Thoroughfare Plan. * The City will discourage the location of high intensity development which will place undue traffic burdens on adjacent streets. * The City will encourage the development of a limited mass transit system. * Access to thoroughfares and arterial streets shall be minimized and controlled through the curb cut and median opening policies of the City. * The City will encourage the development of expanded air transport facilities at an appropriate location. * The City will seek to establish a city-wide bicycle and pedestarian system. Facilities & Utilities * The City will provide administrative, maintenance, and protection facilities adequate to serve the needs of the population. * Development will be discouraged where it may unduly burden the capacity of facilities or utility systems. * Utilities will be extended only in a systematic manner as indicated by the utilities plan. * Development will be directed into those areas which can be adequately served by utilities and facilities. * The City will not annex nor provide services to those areas which cannot be adequately and efficiently served with facilities and utilities. * The City will annex all adjacent areas which develop and which comparably utilize City services, facilities, and utilities. 201 202 Special Concerns 203 204 SPECIAL CONCERNS PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION The support for public transit comes from several segments of the population for many reasons. Most of the existing public transportation services are provided by school buses for school children and by the shuttle bus system for Texas A&M University students. Some churches and volunteer groups provide transportation for elderly and handicapped. Very few taxicabs operate in the areas. Employment ano shopping facilities are dispersed, especially due to the over -abundant strip commercial development. There is no alternative pedestrian system. Approximately 38 percent of Bryan -College Station residents have no personal means of transportation. In several surveys, the citizens have overwhelmingly supported public transit. The industrial and more centralized commercial development in the future will enforce the efficiency of a public transit system. Low income persons who are especially affected by spiraling costs of gasoline and personal transportation, contribute over 16 percent of the local labor force but own less than 11 percent of the automobiles. The heaviest need exists in the elderly and low income areas of north Bryan. The shuttlebus seems to adequately serve the University students, but it is heavily subsidized by the University and only serves the students' needs. Compounding these problems is the fact that it will require a minimum of three years to actually implement a public transit system. Obviously, if the City waits until it is absolutely certain the system is necessary, the three year delay could be very difficult and costly. In the future, energy conservation, availability, and cost will be mayor factors in local, state, and federal decision making. On the local level, the City can accomplish much through land use control to increase the efficiency of energy usage. One way, certainly, is to encourage all types of development in a land use pattern that is conducive to an efficient public transit system. In commercial zoning and development, for instance, this means eliminating strip zoning in favor of larger and more centralized commercial areas. RIKF SYSTEM The bicycle is becoming more and more a viable mode of transportation in the United States. It is especially important in a university community such as College Station. There is a large volume of bicycles (and pedestrians) that flows to and from the University campus across major arterials and through busy intersections. There is also a volume of bicycles flowing to and from local schools each day. Each year these volumes increase, and the conflict between the automobile and bicycles and pedestrians is becoming a crucial concern. There are three main classes of bikeways which can be utilized either individually or in combination to increase safety both for bicycle traffic and motorists. These are: * Class I (Exclusive Bikeway or Bike Paths): A separate right-of-way designated for the sole use of bicycles; cross flow of pedestrian and motor traffic is minimized; usually in parks or rural areas; always off-street. 205 * Class II (Restricted Bikeway or Striped Lanes): A restricted right-of-way for semi -exclusive use of bicycles; through travel by other transportation forms is not allowed. * Class III (Share Bikeway or Signed Routes). A shared right-of-way with motor vehicles or pedestrians. When planning for future bikeways,the City should keep in mind the following: * Keep updated an inventory of existing bicycle facilities to identify travel and user characteristics. * Keep updated forecasts of demand and always be cognizant of the inter -relationships with other modes of transportation. * Establish goals and objectives to include safety, mobility, and efficiency. * Plan for storage areas and facilities to protect bicycle property. * Realize that bicycles as a mode of transportation should be limited in conflict with the automobile or the pedestrian. PEDESTRIAN SYSTEM The pedestrian system, like the bicycle system, is an essential element in an efficient and effective overall transportation system. It is particularly important in College Station as the City is presently considering the possibility of mass transit as a viable alternative to some of its transportation problems. It is imperative that the City have a city-wide system of sidewalks to effectively assist a mass transit system. People need to move to and from various points on foot in order to access the transit system. It is inefficient and costly for buses to stop at each house or at every block. At the present time the City's subdivision regulations address sidewalks. The cost of sidewalks add anywhere from a minimum of $2U0 to $500 to a new single-family home depending on the amount of lot frontage. If the taxpayers desire to have a city-wide sidewalk system, the the City will have to strictly enforce the provisions of sidewalks by deve topers in new subdivisions. This should be based on a well planned city-wide scheme that enables sidewalks to connect from area to area forming a continuous and usable system. This will, of course, require that sidewalks be provided on residential streets which have less than sixty feet of right-of-way. This will require some review and revision of the present requirement in the City's Subdivision Regulations. 206 INTERSTATE HIGHWAY The designation of State Highway 6 as a part of the Interstate Highway System has long been a topic of discussion locally. A Texas Transportation Institute study in August, 1979, evaluating the Highway 6 corridor lists three basic conclusions supporting improvement of the roadway: * Growth in Houston and in Bryan -College Station has been much greater than the State average. * Highway 6 could be a relief route to the two most congested corridors, I-45 Houston to Dallas and I-35 Dallas -Fort Worth to San Antonio. * An evaluation of corridor congestion in the State ranks Highway 6 very high in priority needs. The Highway b corridor serves over one-half the metropolitan population of Texas. Houston, Bryan, College Station, and Waco have a combined population of over three million people. The criteria for the highway corridor evaluation was ratio of traffic volumes to capacity, traffic volumes, growth in volumes, number of cities in the corridor, and population. Highway 6 ranked third in the State and was surpassed only by two interstate highways, I-45 and I-35. Highway 6 easily ranked first in two-lane sections. Other factors should be considered. All the growth forecasts for this corridor for the 1970's have been exceeded. The enrollment at Texas A&M University has doubled since 1972. Special events such as conventions, short courses, auto races, and athletic events attract approximately 1.25 million persons to the area each year. The Bryan -College Station area is becoming a major regional retail center. The area encompassed by a fifty -mile radius includes 275,000 persons. The industrial growth, especially, is creating many new jobs, and the unemployment rate is very low. The local area obviously needs the improvements planned for Highway 6. The local officials should continue to press for these. Ultimately, Highway 6 should be added to the interstate system. As a part of the interstate system, Highway 6 will be an additional factor to attract industrial, commercial, and recreational development. AIR TRANSPORTATION Commercial air transportation and air freight service for the City and the metropolitan area is available only at tasterwood Airport. Easterwood is owned and operated by Texas A&M University. The growth of the Bryan -College SMSA and the University has and will increase the demands placed upon Easterwood. The Easterwood Airport Master Plan prepared for the Texas A&M University system outlines a three -phased construction program necessary for meeting the projected airport demand. Full implementation of the Easterwood Airport Master Plan will require participation by the Cities of College Station ano Bryan as well as from Brazos County. 207 The capacity and level of air service at Easterwood Airport must increase to complement the continued growth of the SMSA. In making development decisions regarding land use in the vicinity of the Airport, care should be taken to access the impacts of development upon airport operation. Additionally, airport impacts upon any proposed developments should also be given consideration. Particular attention should be given to Noise Exposure Forecasts (as detailed in the Easterwood Airport Master Plan) when determining land use around the airport. RAILROAD The existing location of the railroad along wellborn Road (FM 2154) creates several hazards and problems for the community. Safety hazards resulting from the railroad location include the potential for train -automobile accidents, train -pedestrian accidents, and derailments. The potential for derailments of trains carrying hazardous cargo is a serious threat. Any derailment could also severely restrict emergency vehicle access to the western portions of the City. The existing railroad location creates a physical barrier that tends to limit the westward expansion of the City. These developmental constraints are now an obstruction to the westward expansion of Texas A&M University. This problem will increase when utilities necessary for development are made available in the western portions of the City. Although there are problems associated with the railroad in its present location, the provision of rail service is an important community asset. Rail service is important to local rail freight customers and to potential industries. The railroad may become increasingly important in the future as a mode of passenger transportation, particularly in light of present proposals for a Houston -Dallas -San Antonio high speed rail link. The Rail Planning Study for Bryan -College Station, developed by Wilbur Smith and Associates recommends several alternatives for resolving the railroad related problems. Preliminary findings include the following possible solutions: * Improve Rail Crossings - This alternative consists of signage improvements, installation of safety devices, and/or the construction of yrade separated crossings. * Lower Existing Tracks - This alternative provides for lowering the existing railroad tracks at critical locations. * Raise Existing Tracks - This alternative provides for elevating the existing railroad tracks at critical locations. * Relocate Tracks - This alternative provides for various new alignments of all or portions of the existing railroad tracks. The alternatives that include improving the existing crossings or altering the elevations of the tracks do not provide solutions to all of the railroad - related problems. In order to solve all the railroad related problems identified in the Rail Planning Study, several alternative alignments for relocating the railroad have been selected by the Metropolitan Planning Organization for further consideration. These alternatives must be included in the preparation of land use and transportation plans for the City. Care should be taken to insure that development along potential future railroad alignments does not limit the future rail relocation. NORTHGATE The Northgate problem is very complex because it actually involves two major problem areas, each with its own unique concerns. The whole Northgate area referred to herein is described as an area bounded by University Urive, Wellborn Road, the City limits adjacent to Bryan, and Nagle Street. The two problem areas are the commercial area on University Drive and the residential area from Church Street north to the City limits. Most of the Commerical area was developed before the City had effective controls setting standards for building setback, land use, and parking requirements. With the growth has come the entrepreneur who converts the shops providing personal services and retail sales to entertainment facilities serving alcoholic beverages. The original shops were built on small lots with little or no provision for parking. Mimimal problems resulted due to the low traffic generation of these shops. Many new businesses, on the other hand, are high traffic generators. Unfortunately, the lack of available space for vehicles or people has not kept them from congregating in the area. It is not unusual to find several hundred vehicles and several thousand people confined in only about one-fourth of this area. The Police Department has experienced crowd control type problems with, so far, only minor incidents of violence. The Fire Department is concerned about emergency access, occupancy rates, and safety of the older construction. Additionally, the overflow out of the clubs congregate in the traffic lanes of University Drive causing serious traffic hazards. The remainder of the Northgate area is primarily residential, and it also has a unique problem. The entire area was subdivided during the 1930's and 1940's for small single-family residential development. The streets were developed for that type density. What has been built during the last twenty years, however, has mostly been apartment buildings. Density is increasing annually. The popular trend is to construct a four-plex on a single lot. Since the City has never planned on density of this type in this area, the streets are inadequate, drainage is increasingly more serious, parks facilities are nonexistent, and other municipal services such as water, sewer, garbage collection, and police and fire protection are becoming difficult to maintain.. A basic problem is that the area is very poorly zoned, being mostly high-density multi -family residential. A City Council -appointed committee has completed a thorough study of these problems and has made a number of recommendations. These should be evaluated by the City, and a plan of action should be implemented. 209 210